Maybe. Sometimes the data knows too.
Before the recent S&P 500 announcement, NixRank was already showing elevated probabilities around Bloom Energy.
- Apr 24 — Probability: 86.7%
- $240.90 → $322.80 | +34.0%
- May 21 — Probability: 86.4%
- $286.95 → $349.99 | +22.0%
- Jun 10 — Probability: 76.7%
- $248.31 → $351.25 | +41.5%
- Jul 11 — Probability: 73.1%
- $231.48 → $253.21 | +9.4% intraday, followed by a drop to $157.65 and recovery to $253.21 (+60.6% from the low)
- Jul 23 — Probability: 71.9%
- $214.20 → $253.21 | +18.2%
Then on July 24, Pelosi bought 10,000 shares of $BE along with 100 call contracts expiring June 17, as mentioned above.
And now our probability has increased again:
- Aug 29 — Probability: 81.2%
- Sep 7 — Probability: 91.7%
The interesting part is that NixRank is not trying to predict whether $BE will go up or down.
Our algorithm looks at different signals to estimate the probability of an important company development happening in the near future.
The question we’re researching is whether these probability changes can identify important developments before they become fully reflected in the stock price.
The latest $BE signal is now at 91.7%.
BREAKING: Look at this trade by Pelosi.
Pelosi longs 10,000 Bloom Energy, $BE, on the 24th of July + 100 of the 100 calls expiring 6/17.
Then yesterday, it was announced Bloom Energy was going to be added to the S&P500.
Someone always knows.
$CRWV | NixRank Signal Update
Historical NixRank signals have preceded significant 1-month moves in CoreWeave:
- Apr 10 — Probability: 68.5%
- Return: $93.35 → $138.20 | +48.0%
- May 21 — Probability: 83.9%
- Return: $106.56 → $132.15 | +24.0%
- Jun 5 — Probability: 88.0%
- Return: $104.81 → $121.94 | +16.3%
- Aug 2 — Probability: 67.2%
- Return: $70.56 → $117.49 | +66.5%
4/4 signals were followed by positive price performance within one month.
Average return: +38.7%
The signal has now risen from 77.6% on Aug 29 to 91.8% on Sep 6.
The latest signal is still developing, but the timing is notable. CoreWeave is scheduled to participate in the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference on September 8.
We’ll be tracking how the latest signal develops over the coming weeks.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
JUST IN: $QURE surged more than 75% after the FDA confirmed that uniQure’s Phase I/II data could serve as the primary basis for a Biologics License Application (BLA) seeking accelerated approval of AMT-130 for Huntington’s disease.
Before the announcement, QURE’s significant-development probability on NixRank climbed to 88% on June 4, compared to an average of roughly 30% over the previous 90 days.
FDA alignment. Accelerated approval pathways. Breakthrough therapies.
These are exactly the types of market-moving developments NixRank is built to identify before they become headlines.
NixRank assigns every public company a live probability score representing the likelihood of a significant company development occurring in the coming days.
Looking for the next company before the announcement?
Join NixRank for free at https://t.co/jqw4CNTAOJ 🚀
#QURE #Biotech #FDA #GeneTherapy #Stocks #Healthcare #Biotechnology
JUST IN: $CIFR confirms AWS as the tenant for its Stingray project, securing approximately $2.0B in contracted revenue over a 15-year agreement.
Four days ago, CIFR's NixRank probability was just 22.5%.
By June 6, it had surged to 92%. 🚀
Today, the company confirmed one of the most anticipated details behind the project: AWS is the tenant.
The goal of NixRank isn't to predict stock prices.
It's to quantify the probability of significant company developments before they become public.
AWS partnerships. AI infrastructure deals. Multi-billion dollar contracts.
This is exactly what we're looking for.
Want to discover companies that may be approaching major developments?
Join NixRank for free at https://t.co/GFZkFxeNaB
#Stocks #AWS #AI #CIFR #DataCenter #CloudComputing
$CIFR CONFIRMS STINGRAY TENANT IS AWS
$2.0 BILLION of contracted revenue over 15-years
• 70 MW critical IT
• Triple net lease
• $2.0B to $5.7B lease payments
• 100% NOI margin
• April 2027 targeted commencement date
JUST IN: $INTC jumps +15% as reports emerge that Google and NVIDIA may use Intel as a backup chip manufacturer.
Days before the headlines, Intel's NixRank probability score rose to 76% on May 27 after averaging around 25%.
AI partnerships, manufacturing deals, strategic supplier relationships, and other major corporate developments are the exact events NixRank is designed to surface.
While markets react to announcements, we're focused on quantifying the probability of those announcements before they happen.
#Stocks #AIStocks #Intel #NVDA #GOOGL #Semiconductor
Great question.
What we’ve observed so far is that the company directly involved in the announcement often shows a stronger, earlier, or more sustained probability increase, but significant events frequently generate signals across multiple companies in the same ecosystem.
For example, an NVIDIA-related announcement might influence probabilities not only for NVIDIA itself, but also for semiconductor suppliers, networking companies, optical component manufacturers, and infrastructure providers.
That’s why NixRank focuses on the probability of a significant company development rather than predicting a specific headline.
Understanding the difference between “event originators” and “event-adjacent” companies is actually one of the most interesting research areas for us right now.
NVIDIA’s CEO says they might reveal some announcements tomorrow.
At NixRank, we assign every public company a live probability score that represents the likelihood of a significant development occurring within the next few days.
The screenshots below show the highest-probability companies across NVIDIA-related industries, including Semiconductors, Semiconductor Equipment & Materials, Electronic Components, and Communication Equipment.
Significant corporate developments often leave traces across entire ecosystems before they become public. That’s why we monitor probabilities not only at the company level, but also across industries and supply chains.
Curious to see how tomorrow’s announcements connect with the signals we’re already seeing.
Have a company you’d like me to check? Drop the ticker below and I’ll share its current NixRank probability. 🚀
$APLD signs a 15-year AI data center lease with a U.S. hyperscaler, adding approximately $5.2B in contracted revenue.
Before this announcement, Applied Digital's significant-development probability on NixRank climbed from just 13% on June 3 to over 70% on June 5.
This is exactly the type of corporate event we're tracking: major AI infrastructure deals, hyperscaler partnerships, contracts, acquisitions, clinical milestones, and other market-moving developments.
NixRank assigns public companies a live probability score representing the likelihood of a significant company development occurring in the coming days.
#Stocks #AI #DataCenter #Hyperscaler #APLD
JUST IN: $APLD signs a 15-year AI data center lease with a U.S. hyperscaler, adding approximately $5.2B in contracted revenue.
Before this announcement, Applied Digital's significant-development probability on @nixrank climbed from just 13% on June 3 to over 70% on June 5.
This is exactly the type of corporate event we're tracking: major AI infrastructure deals, hyperscaler partnerships, contracts, acquisitions, clinical milestones, and other market-moving developments.
NixRank assigns public companies a live probability score representing the likelihood of a significant company development occurring in the coming days.
#Stocks #AI #DataCenter #Hyperscaler #APLD
$APLD signed a 15-year AI data center lease with a U.S. hyperscaler for 210MW at Delta Forge 2 adding ~$5.2B of contracted revenue.
Applied Digital now has ~$36B contracted across five AI Factory campuses with 1.4GW of contracted IT load and 2.15GW of utility power.
For anyone curious, these are the companies currently showing the highest significant-development probabilities across NVIDIA-related industries on NixRank.
Industries shown:
• Semiconductors
• Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
• Electronic Components
• Communication Equipment
The probabilities update continuously as new signals emerge.
It'll be interesting to see which companies end up connected to tomorrow's announcements. 👀
🚨 JUST IN: $AAOI gained more than 20% on June 4 👀
The company released commentary on the rapid industry shift from 800G to 1.6T optical transceivers as AI infrastructure scales.
Prior to the announcement, AAOI's NixRank probability score rose to 72% on June 3, versus an average of roughly 40% over the previous month.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
800G is now the working assumption for AI infrastructure builds. The real question is how to time the move to 1.6T. AOI's Simon Ximen on supply chain risk, OSFP form factor consolidation, and why optical qualification needs to run parallel to GPU procurement, not after it.
https://t.co/lGgrB56j52 $AAOI
Another interesting biotech example from NixRank 👀
$SYRE Spyre Therapeutics' probability score was hovering around 25% before May 27.
On May 27, it surged to 95%.
Today, the company announced the completion of enrollment across all sub-studies in its Phase 2 SKYWAY trial evaluating SPY072 in rheumatic diseases, while also highlighting upcoming data presentations at EULAR 2026.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
Clinical trial milestones, enrollment updates, and data releases are exactly the types of events we're trying to surface earlier 🚀
$SYRE $ABVX $NVTS $NVDA
Today we shared that enrollment is complete for all sub-studies in the Phase 2 SKYWAY basket trial of SPY072 in rheumatic diseases.
Preclinical data in support of anti-TL1A in rheumatic diseases will be presented this week at #EULAR in London. PR and FLS: https://t.co/NGVmkUoge9
Another interesting NixRank example 👀
Before May 27, $NVTS Navitas Semiconductor's probability score was averaging around 50%.
On May 27, it surged to 91%.
Shortly after, the company showcased its 800V-to-6V AI server power solution within NVIDIA's MGX ecosystem, targeting 97.5% peak efficiency and 2100 W/in³ power density.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
Technology announcements, partnerships, contracts, clinical results, acquisitions, and other major corporate developments are exactly the types of events we aim to surface earlier 🚀
$NVTS $NVDA
Another interesting NixRank example 👀
Before May 27, $NVTS Navitas Semiconductor's probability score was averaging around 50%.
On May 27, it surged to 91%.
Shortly after, the company showcased its 800V-to-6V AI server power solution within NVIDIA's MGX ecosystem, targeting 97.5% peak efficiency and 2100 W/in³ power density.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
Technology announcements, partnerships, contracts, clinical results, acquisitions, and other major corporate developments are exactly the types of events we aim to surface earlier 🚀
$NVTS $NVDA
$NVTS showcased an 800V-to-6V AI server power solution inside $NVDA MGX ecosystem thats targeting 97.5% peak efficiency and 2100 W/in power density.
Power delivery is becoming one of the next major bottlenecks for megawatt-scale AI server racks.
Another interesting $IREN example from NixRank 👀
Over the previous 7 days, IREN's probability score averaged around 30%.
Today at 4:07 AM (ET), the score climbed to 79%.
A few hours later, around 7:00 AM (ET), IREN announced plans for an 800MW data center campus in South Australia, marking its first announced Australian data center project and one of the largest announced in the Asia-Pacific region to date.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
This is exactly the type of event-driven signal behavior we're trying to capture 🚀
Another interesting $IREN example from NixRank 👀
Over the previous 7 days, IREN's probability score averaged around 30%.
Today at 4:07 AM (ET), the score climbed to 79%.
A few hours later, around 7:00 AM (ET), IREN announced plans for an 800MW data center campus in South Australia, marking its first announced Australian data center project and one of the largest announced in the Asia-Pacific region to date.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
This is exactly the type of event-driven signal behavior we're trying to capture 🚀
IREN has announced a planned 800MW data center campus in Bundey, South Australia.
This marks IREN’s first announced Australian data center project and one of the largest in the Asia-Pacific region announced to date.
Learn more: https://t.co/3bOYCUG3pk
Another interesting biotech example from NixRank 👀
$FLGT Fulgent's probability score was around 25% before May 28.
By May 30, it had surged to 92%.
Shortly after, the company presented updated Phase 2 data for FID-007 at ASCO 2026, reporting encouraging clinical activity and a manageable safety profile in patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
Clinical data releases and trial updates are exactly the type of high-impact events we're trying to surface earlier 🚀
Today at #ASCO26, our team presented updated Phase 2 data on FID-007 + cetuximab. Thank you to the patients, investigators, and partners who made this possible. A Phase 3 study is planned.
Full release: https://t.co/beB355tQ0S
Another interesting example from NixRank 👀
$HIMS Hims & Hers' probability score climbed to 87% on May 31.
Shortly after, the company announced the completion of its acquisition of Eucalyptus, significantly expanding its international footprint across Australia, Canada, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
M&A activity and strategic expansion announcements are exactly the kind of market-moving events we're trying to surface earlier 🚀
#nyse #nasdaq #stockmarket #hims
We are thrilled to announce we have closed our acquisition of Eucalyptus. We now have the reach to redefine consumer healthcare for hundreds of millions of people across four continents. The next era of consumer health starts now.
More at the link below, including important info:
https://t.co/Ao1DpM2PyA
Another interesting biotech example from NixRank 👀
$LEGN Legend Biotech's probability score was around 24% on May 21.
By May 28, it had climbed to 68%.
Now the company has announced promising Phase 1 data for LB2501, its investigational in vivo CAR-T therapy, including a 100% overall response rate and an 83.3% complete response rate in the dose level 2 cohort of relapsed/refractory B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma patients.
NixRank analyzes public company signals and converts them into a single probability score representing the likelihood of significant company developments in the coming days.
Clinical trial updates and data readouts are exactly the kind of high-impact events we're trying to surface earlier
#LegendNews #EHA2026
#LegendNews at #EHA2026. We’ll present initial Phase 1 LB2501 data in relapsed/refractory B-cell NHL in a late-breaking oral presentation. The abstract highlights encouraging clinical activity and a favorable safety profile.
Learn more: https://t.co/1lTEqrcu00
@EHA_Hematology