NuVendi

#FOSS #BTC, #Democracy, #Independency, #Decentralization

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

https://t.co/QO6CZq3hgp

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

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[NuVendi @nuvendi]

What is a homebrew router? https://t.co/J4SjSloDTV via @YouTube

[Eco tonic | wellness 🌿 @WisdomLifeHack]

Grow like a pro. Gardening tips you need to know

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

https://t.co/HqAez6xy6z

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

https://t.co/UbfyIaO2un

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

https://t.co/Cc4JzjXkr2

[ZER @zerqfer]

i built a 2 agent system using OpenClaw and Monte Carlo simulation

> one agent predicts gold price
> second agent bets on polymarket
> second agent takes profit

$1,400 → $17,900 in 72 hours

saw a market on polymarket: "Will gold hit $3,000 by March 15?"

price was sitting at 18¢

seemed random until i remembered Monte Carlo exists

gave OpenClaw a task:

"run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations on gold price movement, calculate probability of hitting $3,000, pass results to trading agent"

the architecture:

> Agent 1 (Simulation Engine):

- pulls historical gold volatility data
- runs 10,000 price path simulations
- factors in: Fed policy, geopolitical tension, USD strength
- outputs: 73.4% probability gold hits $3,000

> Agent 2 (Trade Executor):

> receives probability from Agent 1
> compares to polymarket odds (18¢ = 18% implied probability)
> detects massive mispricing (73% vs 18%)
> xecutes position

hour 6: entered YES at 18¢ with $1,400

hour 24: gold jumps on Iran tensions, polymarket updates to 41¢

hour 48: Fed hints at rate cuts, simulation re-runs, now shows 81% probability

hour 56: polymarket hits 67¢, Agent 2 adds to position

hour 72: gold touches $2,987, market resolves YES at 94¢

final: $1,400 → $17,900

𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞'𝐬 𝐰𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐦𝐢𝐬𝐬:

polymarket prices are just crowd sentiment

Monte Carlo is actual math

> when math says 73% and crowd says 18%
> that's not a trade
> that's free money

the simulation factored in:
- 500+ historical gold price scenarios
- current macro conditions
- geopolitical risk premium
- correlation with treasury yields

ran this 4 more times on different markets:

"Bitcoin above $70K by month end" - simulation: 62%, market: 31% → won

"Unemployment rate above 4.2%" - simulation: 44%, market: 68% → bet NO, won

"Tesla stock hits $250" - simulation: 28%, market: 52% → bet NO, won

"Trump announces tariffs this week" - simulation can't model politics → skipped

7 trades total 6 wins 1 skip (non-quantifiable event)

the edge is simple:

most traders bet on vibes
i'm betting on 10,000 simulated futures

best polymarket traders use only tradefox:
https://t.co/5jLYMpy6cr

does anyone else realize polymarket is just mispriced probability distributions?

[Documenting Saylor @saylordocs]

Andreas Antonopoulos explaining Bitcoin to an empty room when it was $100.

This is one of the greatest speeches in Bitcoin history.

[Elja @Eljaboom]

THIS IS INSANE! 🤯

Someone told an AI agent to find the best trader on Polymarket and copy their bets.

18 hours later, $900 became $7,200.

We’re literally cooked.

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

Scientists Successfully Transfer Longevity Gene, Paving the Way for Extending Human Lifespan https://t.co/g5Z7ZjE8yG

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

@minchoi 6. Spend billions of USD and buy a propaganda channel or use propaganda to let the world believe (or be scared to believe) whatever the product is they need it! The American dream how to make a commercial monopoly is a outdated laughable narrative:
https://t.co/zWOGjNNmVo

[Jaynit @jaynitx]

In 2014, Peter Thiel gave a 1-hour masterclass on how to build a monopoly from scratch.

He broke down how:
• Google became untouchable
• PayPal beat the odds
• Facebook crushed competition

Here are 11 timeless lessons from his masterclass:

1. Create value, then capture it

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

Even the CEO of banks now get it about BTC

[Min Choi @minchoi]

Qwen Image Edit w/ Camera Control is wild 🤯

Quickly rotate the camera, switch between bird's eye and worm's eye views using just clicks.

Here's how plus 7 wild examples:👇

[steigan.no @SteiganN]

Stoltenberg-sitat skrubbet vekk fra internett På et møte i Warsaw Security Forum 30. september 2025 sa Jens Stoltenberg: «Jeg vet at én ekstra milliard til Ukraina eller én ekstra milliard til nasjonalt forsvar er én milliard mindre til andre … https://t.co/b7C2UkwNoS

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

MusdLA

[NuVendi @nuvendi]

https://t.co/osyWpgfpnr

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

Ep. 2 Cling to your taboos!