Odi Capital

Equity analyst by day. Private investor by conviction.
6-fig portfolio | Long-term mindset | No BS

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@aleabitoreddit Hey @aleabitoreddit ! Are you still bullish on $ASMC ? Thanks mate

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@HyperTechInvest Isn’t it true ?

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@KobeissiLetter Down 6% on a beat is a gift if you believe in the AWS trajectory.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@StockSavvyShay EPS beat is noise, probably just an investment gain so we should ignore it.

But the story is cloud. $20B on an $18B estimate, and a $460B backlog up 63%. $GOOGL cloud is no longer a distant third but well in the race.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

$GOOGL JUST REPORTED 🟢

EPS of $5.11 vs $2.63 expected. nearly double the estimate.

revenue $109.9B vs $107.2B expected.
up 3-4% aftermarket and honestly could be more. when you beat EPS by that margin the algos don’t wait around.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

Well $HOOD had a solid quarter but $IBKR is just built differently right now.

77% pretax margins, $789B in client equity vs Hood’s $307B, and a natural hedge through NII that cushions them when volatility shifts take rates.

And that’s exactly what hurt Hood this quarter.

Hood’s model is more exposed to market conditions, IBKR just keeps compounding quietly regardless.

Both stocks sold off, but IBKR earned that stability. Hood still needs the big beat to get credit.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

$HOOD

ROBINHOOD Q1 2026 EARNINGS:

- Revenue $1.07B +15% YoY
- EPS $0.38 +3% YoY
- Adjusted EBITDA $534M +14% YoY
- Total Platform Assets $307B +39% YoY
- Robinhood Gold Subscribers 4.3M +36% YoY
- ARPU $157 +8% YoY

Overall, it was a strong quarter but fell short of expectations due to lower take rates across all assets. Trading volumes were strong and are improving in April, but the take rates lowered which led to a double miss.

I think the broader story so far in earnings has been around expectations vs reality and specifically if a company can decisively beat those expectations. The chip names, memory names, energy names, datacenter names are absolutely putting up beats of 50-100%, which was something Robinhood did last year.

Without those types of beats, which fintech and software haven't been able to give, it's just much harder for the street to rotate into those positions.

$HOOD -9%

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@oguzerkan revenue outgrowing members means the monetization engine is finally clicking for $SOFI.

charge-offs down across the board kills the bear case for sure. that was the last real risk hanging over this thing.​​​​​​​​​��​​​​​​ interesting case

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

Tonight is the biggest 80 seconds in markets this quarter. Here’s what actually matters:

$META: capex jumped to 115-135B for 2026. the only question is whether ad revenue growth is absorbing that spend without crushing margins. watch the margin line, not the revenue beat.

$MSFT: azure growth rate. full stop. copilot monetization needs to show up now, not as a future promise. if azure decelerates the whole cloud trade gets repriced.

$GOOGL: cloud and search holding up together. gemini adoption is the wildcard. margins will be under pressure from depreciation on prior capex builds.

$AMZN: aws growth, backlog, and capacity additions are the story. any data point on utilization or project timelines matters. watch leo/kuiper expenses dragging on margins.

the macro overlay: combined AI infrastructure commitments across these four is roughly $600B in 2026. the market needs cloud growth to justify every dollar of that tonight.

beats are already priced in like 2025. guidance is what could moves stocks.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

$POET down bad today 🔴

marvell canceled all purchase orders tied to celestial AI, including initial production units first disclosed in 2023. reason?

POET allegedly violated confidentiality obligations by publicly disclosing order and shipping details.

stock ran 165% last week on the marvell relationship. turns out they were publicly hyping the exact orders they weren’t supposed to talk about.

talked too much. got cut off. that’s a management problem, not just a customer loss.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@StockSavvyShay Not sure that’s the catalyst I was waiting for…even more if Cramer joins her

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@ecommerceshares Earnings revisions don’t lie. Even more when they account for 50% of S&P revisions People were sleeping on it and I will hold for a long time $MU

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@Gubloinvestor Honestly the SpaceX/OpenAI hype probably pulls MORE people into the space, not out of it. Rising tide lifts all boats. If anything dips on rotation I’m just adding.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

one month ago every account was “mostly cash”, “being disciplined”, “waiting for the real bottom”

markets rip back 15% in three weeks and suddenly everyone’s fully invested with a perfect average.

nobody panic sold. nobody missed the entry and everyone bought the exact low apparently.

the funniest lie in finance is the one people tell themselves after the fact. you didn’t wait for capitulation but froze and watched it rip to buy back higher.

it’s okay it happens to most people but just don’t pretend it didn’t.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

If you had to lock one up for 5 years and forget about it.

$HOOD or $SOFI ?

and actually explain why, i’m curious what you guys think 👇

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

one month ago every account was “mostly cash”, “being disciplined”, “waiting for the real bottom”

markets rip back 15% in three weeks and suddenly everyone’s fully invested with a perfect average.

nobody panic sold. nobody missed the entry and everyone bought the exact low apparently.

the funniest lie in finance is the one people tell themselves after the fact. you didn’t wait for capitulation but froze and watched it rip to buy back higher.

it’s okay it happens to most people but just don’t pretend it didn’t.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@aleabitoreddit 600% and still an under-owned AI infrastructure name is crazy. We are talking about the laser inside the transceiver inside the data center.

2027 mass production will be the real unlock.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

I bought some $AMSC today. Here is my take 👇🏼

Microsoft just said superconductors are the future of data center power delivery. AMSC makes exactly that.

Defense production act puts them on the priority manufacturing list for grid infrastructure. Meaning the government is literally backstopping the supply chain.

The risk is microsoft validated the technology but not AMSC specifically. Still seems like a loud signal

but grid + AI power demand + defense priority is a rare combo for a small cap.

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@StockSavvyShay @brewmarkets Well a year ago the debate was whether intel was a melting ice cube or just a slow one and now they’re the CPU comeback

Nobody saw that coming from $INTC

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@norveclifinance See you on the other side

[Odi Capital @oderKinvest]

@aleabitoreddit Have someone on IBKR been able to trade it on Stockholm exchange ?