Radical Ron

Hospital CFO, stock speculator

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$BE reminder that just a week ago this was over $300

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@TradingWarz LEAPS

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$NBIS $SNDK inverse shorts up 40%+ since the post last week

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

Entered $NBIZ , I like $NBIS but I need to hedge. Same with $SNDQ. Small positions in to hedge in the short term. Don’t mind me though, I enjoy maximum stress

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

For context I hope these hedge positions get obliterated, it would mean my longs in the latter did exactly what I would hope they would do

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

Entered $NBIZ , I like $NBIS but I need to hedge. Same with $SNDQ. Small positions in to hedge in the short term. Don’t mind me though, I enjoy maximum stress

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@DGretta_Author Sounds like I’m not the worst investor, see mom I told you!

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

Several years ago I approached my employer about exchanging my 30% potential annual bonus for a 20% raise in my base salary. They accepted, everyone in my organization that knows think I left 10% on the table, while of course the bonus is never guaranteed and the 30% in my role would be the max.

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

So far I’m glad I did $SPCX

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$SPCX sitting this one out for the foreseeable future, you guys can have my shares.

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@Mapago9 I bought quite a bit so we are going a hell of a lot lower now, sorry

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$SPCX they will need retail to dump this on!

[mon @moninvestor]

This chart is why I'm staying away from the SpaceX IPO.

Five of the most hyped IPOs of the last 15 years, and every single one collapsed after listing.

- UBER lost 70% of its IPO price.
- META crashed 77% from its peak.
- Robin Hood fell 92%.
- Coinbase fell 93%.
- Rivian fell 95%.

The hype is always priced in on day one. The people who bought the hype got crushed.

But look at where the real money was made. At the bottom, when nobody wanted these stocks. Robinhood went up 22x from its low. Meta went up 45x. Uber 7x.

Patience beat hype in every single case and Rivian reminds us that even patience doesn't save every company.

SpaceX will be the most hyped IPO of the decade. History tells me I don't need to be there on day one. If it's a great business, there will be a better price later.

There almost always is.

First they fall.
Then they fly.

[Lee Roach @leevalueroach]

SpaceX is the most overhyped IPO of the decade and it will end exactly the way every overhyped IPO ends. Facebook IPO’d at $38 and traded under that for 15 months. Uber IPO’d at $45 and is still below that adjusted seven years later for a while. WeWork tried at $47 billion and ended at zero. Robinhood IPO’d at $38, hit $85, then $7. Coinbase IPO’d at $381 and was at $40 two years later. Rivian IPO’d at a $100 billion valuation with no meaningful revenue and gave back 90%. Beyond Meat. Peloton. Lyft. DoorDash. Bird. Each one a “generational company” the day it priced.

Each one a wealth destruction event for retail within 18 months. The pattern is not a coincidence. Hype IPOs are designed to transfer wealth from the people buying the story to the people who built the story. The bankers get paid. The early employees get out. The VCs get a markup they can show their LPs. The retail investor gets the bag. SpaceX is a great company. That has nothing to do with whether it’s a great stock at IPO. Greatness was already priced in five funding rounds ago. You are not getting in early. You are buying the exit. The only IPO worth chasing is the one nobody is talking about. Those don’t exist anymore because every IPO is marketed like a movie release. So the answer is: don’t chase. Wait two years. Buy it down 70% when the lockup unwinds and the narrative breaks. Or don’t buy it at all and put the money somewhere the bankers haven’t already extracted the alpha. Hype is not an asset class. It’s a tax.

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$MRVL $NBIS $AAOI $TE $NOW

Commonplace now

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$SPCX sitting this one out for the foreseeable future, you guys can have my shares.

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

$NOW $NBIS $MRVL - this was a rough week, there was a cheese and sour cream shortage at my local Chipotle for 2 days! Also, my account had a “dip” of 20% in the last 2 trading days, but the cheese and sour cream “issue” really put me over the edge. Call your local congressman!

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@AmericanAir I would like to speak to someone in customer service regarding a very rude flight attendant currently on flight AA 1393 to FLL this evening

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@data168 I wish, I have a little over 300 shares but if this were the case they would dilute the sh!t out of the stock

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@DGretta_Author I have a habit of eating too many rolls and not finishing my meals, I’m afraid that if I am chosen, it will be your responsibility to limit my roll intake until after I finish my meal

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

In $CELH at $33.45

[Radical Ron @ohhhron]

@Banana3Stocks Lake Tahoe is a beautiful place, was there last year when I traveled for a conference in Reno