Olly Wickham

Software Consultant. Loves code that makes things happen in the real world. Polyglot dev into functional programming, real-time and networking

[Simon Evans @DrSimEvans]

NEW ANALYSIS: Cutting the 'green crap' has added £22bn to UK energy bills since 2015

🏘️Insulation rates down 98%
🏚️>1.6m new homes built to low stds
🌄Onshore wind/solar growth crashed

A decade of rollbacks has left the UK more reliant on gas imports – and exposed to high gas prices

https://t.co/OWomdZWn98

[John Sweeney @johnsweeneyroar]

I’m running to be ⁦@LibDems⁩ MP for Sutton Coldfield. And my goal is to visit every single pub in the constituency. This is The Station. I wonder why they called it that?

Also been to today The Gate and The Kings Arms.

Also been canvassing: people like The Sweeney.

[Colin Walker @colinwalker79]

Remember the fire at Luton Airport? All those people claiming it was started by an EV...

Well, Beds Fire Service have completed their investigation:

"The vehicle involved was diesel-powered – it was not a mild hybrid, plug-in hybrid or electric vehicle"

https://t.co/52F6gXRsj7

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@eng_dad @Glazertwalker @clim8resistance @Protons4B Yes, indeed. I ran out of space in the tweet, so couldn’t elaborate on nuclear fission, but it is effectively unlimited. However it does have other downsides. Fusion on the other hand has all the upsides…in 20 years :-)

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Sorry, that was linked to by Drax, not actually by Drax

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Oh, and here is one by Drax for the U.K. 11 days of low wind once every 20 years https://t.co/xnmHdedLp2

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B This is a process called investing. People do it for longer term benefits. E.g. opening a well takes years, but can still make a profit.

The gas network will also be pruned, rather than a big bang, so the benefits will come before the last gas boiler is off

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B These are some facts
https://t.co/ijA5L5tZm9

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@Protons4B @MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance Twitter is terse, and as such people should be able to make some allowances for this. Some people relish not doing so as some form of one-upmanship that degrades the quality of the discussion

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Yes, the project I was working in was sub-second demand removal. Storage heaters and car chargers can stop instantaneously. See Tesla’s VPP for an example of where the tech is going

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Not only the wind’s effects, but transmission issues, large power station trip outs, etc.

As for the public, I don’t think most know much about energy policy in general, or the system.

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B The predictability depends on what you are trying to predict. The amount of potential wind power in any given year will be predicable within a limit - e.g. 10% to an extremely high probability. The price of gas in a given year cannot be predicted with a high probability

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B How can a single incident prove the frequency? I am thinking you don’t understand statistics. This is like assuming all faces on a die are six because you rolled it once and it had six on. The 2018 link is in summer, which has been discussed

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B E.g. the OBR says relying on gas is probably more expensive than net zero https://t.co/CMZ0syh39f

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Presumably that 3 trillion over the time period is offset by benefits e.g. no gas network running costs, etc. there are a bunch of estimates of net price of net zero. Some are positive within 10 years, some are negative slightly. Some, funded by Tufton Street are just daft

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B Gazprom connected to the EU, and our prices bound to theirs

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@functionalcore @_swanson 😱

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B To add to the “every second”, yes I have done frequently response with synthetic inertia. Battery packs and demand curtailment can deal with second to second.

[Olly Wickham @ollywickham]

@MhehedZherting @DiscePuer @clim8resistance @Protons4B 1. Yes, we discussed gas backup.
2.pointing out one 7 day incident in 2017 isn’t a useful tool to predict the future other than to say it is possible. It could be a once a century or once a decade event. That is why we model. Wind is more predictable than gas prices or OPEC