Most traders lose because they trade when there is NO EDGE.
Today on NQ, my preferred New York windows from 2:00โ8:00 AM stayed below 60% probability.
So I did nothing.
No prediction.
No forced setup.
No unnecessary risk.
Then the 9:30โ10:30 Initial Balance showed 68% SHORTS.
That was the first clear directional edge of the day.
My rule is simple:
Trade only towards the more probable side.
Trading with the odds is not certainty.
It is a measurable advantage over the market.
And when the probabilities do not show an edge, risking capital makes no sense.
No edge = no trade.
Clear edge = wait for confirmation and execute.
Be honest: when thereโs no clear edge, do you stay out-or do you still force a trade?