Seclo @opseclo - Twitter Profile

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11 months ago

Alright, time to log in twitter and talk about what went down last night. Let’s unpack why Binance pulled one of the nastiest moves in recent market memory. We’ll skip the Trump tariffs part. Yes, macro triggered the initial drop, but that’s not why thousands of traders woke up with their deposits nuked. 1/ Wintermute, Binance’s pet MM that has already been caught doing shady rug-tier plays before, casually sends $700M onto the exchange in a few hours ($200M in BTC alone). A few minutes later, crypto starts sliding with equities and suddenly every bid wall evaporates. Where did the walls go? Someone knew. Hourly BTC sell volume: 2k BTC at 23:00, then 12k BTC at 00:00. There’s even a single 1-minute candle with 1k BTC dumped. And yes, that’s spot, not perp. 2/ Once price tagged 108k, cascade liquidations kicked in like a freight train. Orders started lining up one after another. Binance’s MM straight up pulled the walls again to avoid supporting the price. That’s why ATOM literally printed zero on Binance futures. 3/ Execution. This is where it gets spicy.If you traded anywhere else during the dump, you could easily snipe the wick or close your positions before liquidation.But if you were on Binance… well. Your open/close buttons magically stopped working (taker or maker didn’t matter), yet forced liquidations executed perfectly. Imagine that. 4/ Scenario time. You’re long with 50x cross, 1% stop. Market nukes 50%. Stop doesn’t trigger.50x * 50% = 2500% move needed to cover. You don’t have that. You get insta-liquidated. Got two similar positions? That’s a 5k% account wipe. Instead of a limited stop-market loss, your full balance gets flushed into the book. This intensified the cascade and left zero chance for cross-margin traders to survive. This is likely how Max Hamaha (@HAMAHAnet) and his copytrade followers got blown up overnight. I haven’t verified fully, but chat screenshots paint the picture. 5/ Meanwhile, arb bots started doing their thing. As Binance price tanked from one-sided pressure and lack of walls, arbitrageurs shorted wherever price was still holding, reinforcing the dump. Feedback loop activated. 6/ Lending platforms got rekt too. Average alt drawdown was 50%, which means anything over 2x leverage was basically liquidation city. A lot of funds, traders and even some projects lost a massive chunk of their capital. Binance didn’t just experience volatility. They engineered a scenario where their MM frontloaded capital, pulled liquidity at the worst moment, let cascading liquidations do the dirty work, and conveniently “glitched” user execution while their liquidation engine stayed fully operational. This wasn’t a normal night. This was a surgical strike on traders’ collateral. #Binance #Wintermute

opseclo's tweet photo. Alright, time to log in twitter and talk about what went down last night.

Let’s unpack why Binance pulled one of the nastiest moves in recent market memory.
We’ll skip the Trump tariffs part. Yes, macro triggered the initial drop, but that’s not why thousands of traders woke up with their deposits nuked.

1/ Wintermute, Binance’s pet MM that has already been caught doing shady rug-tier plays before, casually sends $700M onto the exchange in a few hours ($200M in BTC alone). A few minutes later, crypto starts sliding with equities and suddenly every bid wall evaporates. Where did the walls go? Someone knew.

Hourly BTC sell volume: 2k BTC at 23:00, then 12k BTC at 00:00. There’s even a single 1-minute candle with 1k BTC dumped. And yes, that’s spot, not perp.

2/ Once price tagged 108k, cascade liquidations kicked in like a freight train. Orders started lining up one after another. Binance’s MM straight up pulled the walls again to avoid supporting the price. That’s why ATOM literally printed zero on Binance futures.

3/ Execution.
This is where it gets spicy.If you traded anywhere else during the dump, you could easily snipe the wick or close your positions before liquidation.But if you were on Binance… well. Your open/close buttons magically stopped working (taker or maker didn’t matter), yet forced liquidations executed perfectly. Imagine that.

4/ Scenario time.
You’re long with 50x cross, 1% stop. Market nukes 50%. Stop doesn’t trigger.50x * 50% = 2500% move needed to cover. You don’t have that. You get insta-liquidated. Got two similar positions? That’s a 5k% account wipe. Instead of a limited stop-market loss, your full balance gets flushed into the book. This intensified the cascade and left zero chance for cross-margin traders to survive.

This is likely how Max Hamaha (@HAMAHAnet) and his copytrade followers got blown up overnight. I haven’t verified fully, but chat screenshots paint the picture.

5/ Meanwhile, arb bots started doing their thing. As Binance price tanked from one-sided pressure and lack of walls, arbitrageurs shorted wherever price was still holding, reinforcing the dump. Feedback loop activated.

6/ Lending platforms got rekt too. Average alt drawdown was 50%, which means anything over 2x leverage was basically liquidation city. A lot of funds, traders and even some projects lost a massive chunk of their capital.

Binance didn’t just experience volatility.
They engineered a scenario where their MM frontloaded capital, pulled liquidity at the worst moment, let cascading liquidations do the dirty work, and conveniently “glitched” user execution while their liquidation engine stayed fully operational.

This wasn’t a normal night. This was a surgical strike on traders’ collateral.

#Binance #Wintermute

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