@MikeClayNFL@MikeClayNFL Love Mike Clay's work, he is unemotional and statistics-based. However, I do think Bo Nix (who doesn't take sacks or fumble) is the main reason the Broncos OL grades well. It was essentially the same OL with Russell Wilson, and they gave up a lot of sacks/pressures.
My guest today is Paul Tudor Jones (@ptj_official), one of the greatest macro traders of all time.
He correctly predicted the 1987 stock market crash and shorted the Japanese bubble in 1990. For over 40 years, his flagship fund has had a negative correlation to the S&P 500. 100% of his returns are alpha.
He says today's market has so many similarities to 2000, "the easiest bear market I've ever seen in my whole life."
He makes the case for going long dollar-yen, why Bitcoin beats gold as an inflation hedge, and why he was wrong about Warren Buffett.
But what I'll remember most from this conversation is Paul's zest for life. He's 71 and still wakes at 2:30 every morning to trade the London open. He works out for two hours a day. He walks with his wife every evening. He travels the country chasing peak spring and peak fall. He's so excited about the songs picked for his funeral that he wishes he could be there to hear them.
Paul has lived five lifetimes in one. He's one of the most entertaining and interesting people I've met, and the conversation will leave you searching to be as passionate about what you do as he is about what he does.
Enjoy!
Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
1:00 The Kindest Thing
13:19 Trading vs. Investing
17:33 Lessons from Warren Buffet
22:24 The Existential Risks of AI
29:54 The Nature of Trading
31:46 Bitcoin
35:55 Bubbles
42:08 A Day in the Life of PTJ
46:00 Information Overload
47:07 Passion for Markets
50:49 The Robin Hood Foundation
54:18 The Workless World
56:03 Journalism
1:00:00 Principal Components of a Great Life
1:05:06 Kill Them With Kindness
Madden Orlovsky had a heartfelt message for his family and friends in honor of World Autism Awareness Day 🥹
This was a special moment for all of us at ESPN. Thanks, Madden and @danorlovsky7 ❤️
@PipeSantaBanda I believe you are looking at the 200 week moving average correct? That can be a great spot to look to pick up investments. In fact, if you look at the history of MSFT, it’s done quite well. However. I haven’t used it as much for short term trading.
@SportsNotSo@VetanzeTherapy The question was who do you most want the Broncos to add? I don’t think he is likely at 30 but it’s what I want. And if we needed to move up from 30 to say 24 or 25 it’s very possible. Apparently Daniel Jeremiah thinks it’s possible because teams don’t put a premium RBs.
@zacstevens I don’t mind them drafting a WR but I would love it more if the Broncos signed Alec Pierce. That guy made big plays consistently with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones as his QB. That is my personal favorite WR target.
@CodyRoarkNFL Tyler Allgeier and here is why. Terrell Davis was special and fell to the 6th RD because he was behind special RBs. When a team has Bijan Robinson and they still try to do everything they can to get the other running back as much work as possible, they know they have something.
Lots of conspiracy theories floating around regarding the Silver price drop on Friday. Although large, it is only back down to where it was just two weeks ago. Elevator up and then elevator back down is how it can go when the trade is emotionally driven (FOMO, Greed, Fear, Panic)
@AllbrightNFL@englishwithandr Here are his stats when his team was trailing in the 2025 regular season:
170/270 (63%)
2,112 total yards
21 total touchdowns
2 interceptions
102.4 passer rating
It’s not just 4th qtr comebacks, it’s how he does it that is “game changing”. Imagine now if he had elite weapons.
The Oil markets have fundamentally changed. The chart below is a ratio of how many barrels of Oil it takes to get 1 oz of Gold. Historically that ratio is between 10-30 barrels. Covid was an outlier as oil prices plummeted (global shutdowns). Today the ratio stands around 72.
So demand is up, why aren't Oil prices booming? Demand growth has slowed down in absolute terms. The demand growth has been running at about 1% per year. Much slower than in prior decades. Structural shifts are happening but they will move very slowly over time!
Interesting spot for the market overall. Trend line/50-day moving average were broken earlier this week. On the back of NVDA earnings we have gapped higher to underneath the broken trend line. Does it act as "resistance" and markets set a lower swing high overall? I expect yes.