Optiq

Data and AI to guide the next generation of public affairs and advocacy campaigns💻📈📊

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Happy Election Day, California!

We launched Civiq in February, and since then 200M+ audience contacts have been activated through the platform this cycle.

To our clients: thank you for trusting our team. Let's bring it home.

📈

[Cole Patterson📊 @ColePatterson]

My only hot take for this election:

Getting GOTV text messages from major GOP campaigns on election day after I already voted 6 days ago means that they aren't using the Civiq platform by @optiqdata, and that makes me sad.

[Optiq @optiqdata]

At least 390k ballots returned (almost 18% turnout) in the City of Los Angeles from this afternoon's update.

Returned: D+41.2
🔵Dem: 60.3%
🔴Rep: 19.1%
🟣Oth: 20.5%

[Cole Patterson📊 @ColePatterson]

Turnout in the city of Los Angeles jumps 5% over the weekend, now at 15% with over 330k total returned (+110k from Friday's update).

Returned ballot share was D+36 on Friday and is now sitting around D+40. Final turnout in 2022 Primary in the City of Los Angeles was D+64.

[Cole Patterson📊 @ColePatterson]

Turnout in the city of Los Angeles jumps 5% over the weekend, now at 15% with over 330k total returned (+110k from Friday's update).

Returned ballot share was D+36 on Friday and is now sitting around D+40. Final turnout in 2022 Primary in the City of Los Angeles was D+64.

[Peter Hamby @PeterHamby]

Youth turnout so far in California is absolutely abysmal via @optiqdata

5% turnout statewide
4 % turnout in LA

If you’re a Dem counting on younger voters, your GOTV game better be strong.

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Heading into GOTV weekend with over 3 million ballots returned for Tuesday's primary election in California.

13% turnout so far
Dem: 1.4M
Rep: 1.0M
Oth: 620k

We're projecting somewhere around 8 million total votes to be cast for this election, so we've still got a ways to go.

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Follow along with the latest returns here:

https://t.co/rNQictQaiv

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Heading into GOTV weekend in the city of Los Angeles, turnout is at 10% now with over 220k ballots returned so far.

We're expecting there to be around 30% total turnout citywide, so we're probably around 1/3 of what we'll see when all is said and done here.

[Peter Hamby @PeterHamby]

Based on ballot returns in Los Angeles, the low turnout electorate so far is older, whiter and more male — with Republicans holding +4% turnout edge, per @optiqdata

That favors Pratt. But lotsa Dems are holding onto their ballots, which should (?) lead to blue shift by Tuesday

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Today, we remember the Americans who gave their lives in service to our nation.

Their sacrifice will never be forgotten.

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Follow along with the latest returns here:

https://t.co/rNQictQaiv

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Over 1 million ballots have been returned so far for the California Primary on our tracker as of late last night📈

Return Share by Party
Democrat: 41.3%
Republican: 37.1%
NPP/Oth: 21.7%

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Assembly District 67, which is turning out to be the most expensive race for the legislature this cycle with over $5M spent here (H/T @rpyers and @CATargetBook), is one we're watching.

This district has almost the same amount of Asian (31%) and Hispanic (29%) voters, but Asian ballot returned share is at 36% and Hispanic ballot returned share is at 20%.

[Cole Patterson📊 @ColePatterson]

City of Los Angeles is starting to pickup a bit now, but we've still got a long ways to go. Current turnout is under 2% so far.

For comparison, here was the final turnout in the city over previous statewide primaries:

2024 Primary: 28% turnout (605k voted)
2022 Primary: 31% (657k)
2020 Primary: 36% (773k)
2018 Primary: 27% (546k)

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Follow along with the latest return numbers here:
https://t.co/rNQictQaiv

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Just hit over 500k ballots returned so far on the Civiq ballot tracker for the 2026 California Primary election.

Returned: 521k (2.3% turnout)
Dem: 41%
Rep: 36%
Oth: 22%

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Stay up to date with the latest ballot return trends using our public tracker:
https://t.co/rNQictQaiv

[Optiq @optiqdata]

Finally reached over 1% ballots returned so far for the California Statewide Primary.

We're expecting to see somewhere between 33% to 37% total turnout statewide when all is said and done, so we've got a long ways to go.

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