How do you accuse a country's government of hacking our election systems and election interference and then host that same government for a lavish state visit a few months later?
Urea rallies $100-150/ton and the expert class is talking about national yields plummeting and some countries starving.
Urea drops $100-150/ton and you can hear a pin drop from the same people. We know what sells papers.
The headline about the $17 billion of ag products is exciting. 25MMT of soybean purchases if they happen is great.
Taking a step back, I just still don’t think China is ever going to make the U.S. their priority origin on anything that truly matters. They’re not going to let us have leverage with critical inputs. Their actions since 2017 say that.
If it keeps going at the present rate, we'll reach the point where the rise in oil prices will be deflationary rather than inflationary. Energy scarcity, even if temporary, is a negative shock to economic activity.
so LC PMPU (COT had 70k longs at the top of the cattle market
30k deltas in options as of 10/4
if they left that position on... and didnt add....that would be, rounding, a meager 120k long at the lows
if you add up all the Option OI by month... someone clearly had a problem with FND... i highly doubt all the options were in FEB
suddenly cash gets bid after a plant closure before OPEX... @CFTC
thats my 2c folks, i will leave it to u to figure out what might be going on
When the TBTF banks were doing stuff like this prior to the GFC, they knew at some level they would get bailed out when the sh*t hit the fan.
Please time stamp this:
If/when the below goes pear-shaped, the hyperscalers will get Federal bailouts just like the TBTF banks did.
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