I SAW THIS ARTICLE AT 11:27 PM AND DIDN’T SLEEP UNTIL 4:11 AM
Read it three times, then just... started building.
Took the Avellaneda-Stoikov quoting logic.
Wired it to the Hawkes process for order flow.
Added the VPIN circuit breaker exactly like the article says.
Ran 500 simulations tonight:
> Mean P&L: +$312/session
> Sharpe: 1.87
> Win rate: 68%
> VPIN saves: 11 sessions
> Max drawdown: -$890
The VPIN part is insane btw, 11 times it pulled my quotes before informed flow ran me over, without it sharpe goes negative, just like that.
Kyle's lambda estimation is literally 30 lines of python, i had no excuse not to build this.
Side effect, now i can't sleep.
BITCOIN HAS ENTERED A BEAR MARKET PHASE!
A few months ago, this scenario seemed crazy, but now it has become reality.
This chart is the cornerstone of my trading plan for this year.
I expect the bottom to be around $40,000 per $BTC.
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Q4 2025
WILL MAKE YOU RICH,
If you sell the peak before the fall!
Are you going to sell this time around & keep the money to change your life?
Like & repost if you will be brave & DO IT! 🙏
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BREAKING: Apple just proved AI "reasoning" models like Claude, DeepSeek-R1, and o3-mini don't actually reason at all.
They just memorize patterns really well.
Here's what Apple discovered:
(hint: we're not as close to AGI as the hype suggests)