Objective analysis on the war in Ukraine. Verified sources and incisive conversations. Some opinions, many maps.
Context matters.
RT/FLW/LK โ END ๐
@Streetfilms@NoCongestionTax It's a remarkable comment given the bridge was planned and completed before private automobiles were even available en-masse. Automobile carrying was only through retrofits and eventual removal of the trolleys in the early 50s
From Kupyansk to Zap we now have cases of drone-assault units having success. There are different approaches. But drone-enabled mechanized assault is working on making a comeback.
Ukrainian forces continue to liberate territory in southern Ukraine. ISW has observed evidence to assess that Ukrainian forces have liberated 244 square kilometers in the Hulyaipole and Oleksandrivka directions since January 1, 2026, while Russian forces seized 115 square kilometers in the same period. ISWโs mapping methodology may underestimate Ukrainian advances. Recent reports and geolocated footage indicate that Ukrainian forces have made significant gains south of the Vovcha River in the area southwest, south, and southeast of Oleksandrivka and west of the Haichur River in areas north of Hulyaipole.
Communications disruptions and the thinly held nature of Russian lines likely facilitated recent Ukrainian gains. Ukrainian forces exploited the February 1 blocking of Starlink that disrupted Russian communications and command and control (C2) to launch the counterattacks in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions.
The recent Ukrainian gains could force the Russian Eastern Grouping of Forces command to choose between prioritizing offensive efforts west of Hulyaipole or protecting Russian ground lines of communications (GLOCs) toward Hulyaipole from Ukrainian counterattacks from the north.
@hasanthehun This is more likely lagging indicators from policies in effect in Q4 of 2025, as well as the extreme cold and repeated intense snowfall lasting mid-Jan through late-Feb.
@Xen_dk@Faytuks Consulates, embassies and key military bases narrow that list down to a few dozen at most in the ME, most of which already have USMC or DoD detachments.
@crazyunclelou Not in the last four days, no. But doing the same things over and over in the Middle East for the past 25 years? Yes.
And probably a total overhaul to the electric grid and power generating capacity of the entire nation thrown in there to run all those HSTs.
@DavidAstinWalsh I am constantly reminded of the first episode of Years and Years. Second term Trump, backed into a corner: "yea let's lob one just to make a point"
@steffanwatkins I'm mostly surprised to hear no clattering of small arms like in virtually every Shahed video taken in Ukraine the past three years. No one made any attempt to intercept at all?
@Biedersam It's also really simple messaging. There's no garbled subplot or vagarity. From the start of the campaign it's been:
Hi! This is happening > It is important > This is why it is important > This is what I am doing about it > Make sure to learn more for yourself about it here
@SahalieD This was one of the few places across the entire city I actively think I would die on my bike. Nothing like hitting 29mph down the W'burg only to line up a three-foot concrete gauntlet while a clueless citibiker ambles their way in the wrong direction at you
@Tejanarusa@d0wnsideofme Fully get this POVโplenty of data supports these use casesโbut these platforms are designed to apply uniform economic discrimination, thus users who *need these services arguably suffer more than those who *desire them. DTC, faith-based, and subsidized models are just better.