📊 The realized price of active Bitcoin investors is estimated at around $73,000.
Investors who have held BTC for more than seven years are excluded, as they are no longer actively participating in the market.
A portion of that supply can even be considered lost, which is why excluding it is relevant.
🔴 With Bitcoin currently trading around $70,000, the market is therefore sitting below the cost basis of these active investors.
The only times this has happened in the past were during well advanced bear market phases.
👉 Reclaiming this price zone would be an initial positive signal before we can hope that the worst is behind us.
Un breve análisis 📉 puede ser que si reaccione de nuevo a la baja, pero como todo en los mercados es probabilidad, ya veremos que pasa !!! ESTOY VENDIENDO 🔮👀✅
Over the past three years, we’ve seen euphoria zones (red bars), while no new capitulation zones have appeared yet - waiting for the return of the blue bars.
La gente busca excusas ante lo evidente, algunos dicen que BTC cayo hoy alegando que el mercado tradicional tambien lo hizo pero el oro y el mercado tradicional han estado subiendo y btc no entonces hay o no hay correlacion? BTC no es refugio, es activo de riesgo aun.
El precio promedio de acumulación de las grandes ballenas de Ethereum sigue en aumento.
Ethereum nunca en la historia ha caído por debajo de este precio y suele actuar como soporte final en los mercados bajistas.
Feliz fin de semana gente buena 💪
Para su reflexión 👇
Todo el que dice que este mercado va a caer porque la economía es débil se equivoca. ☠️
El mercado solo puede caer por exceso de apalancamiento. 🧠
Nadie puede tomar un gráfico del Bitcoin o el SP500 y encontrar un bear market sostenido. 📉
Sin embargo en la calle la gente vive peor cada dia. El dinero no les alcanza y cada vez trabajan mas.
Eso se explica fácilmente, porque la energia del conjunto de la economía esta siendo robada vía inflación mas rápido de lo que se produce. 💸
Es el equivalente de ir al gym cada dia mas cansado pero estas obligado a levantar mas peso. ☠️☠️☠️
La única salida es acumular activos de calidad, que se muevan con las fuerzas transformadoras mas importantes de la próxima década.
Porque es donde mas energía se va a concentrar, si te quedas en cash, bonos u oro tu energía sera baja e insuficiente. 🤫🤫🤫
La tesis:
1) Trade de la deuda y devaluacion: El caballo mas rápido es Bitcoin.
2) I.A: Trade de la super información.
3) Robotica: el trade de la sustitución laboral.
4) Computación cuántica: el trade que desbloquea los secretos del universo.
Lo mejor que puede ocurrir es un crash para comprar de todo barato. 🤑🤑🤑
🚨 ALERTA DEL VIX 🚨
📈 Los GAPS y el VIX nos dan la clave de lo que viene…
Los mercados no paran de subir, pero el miedo está al acecho.
📊 Análisis completo:
BTC · VIX · MSTR · IBIT · MARA · RIOT · RGTI · IONQ · QBTS · INTEL · TSLA
⚡ Prepárate para los próximos movimientos del mercado.
👉 Únete a mi app de trading favorita: Quantfury. Opera Bitcoin y criptos SIN comisiones ni tarifas de préstamo a precios spot en tiempo real desde las bolsas globales.: https://t.co/OiYz4PjrOw
Sunday Basic Leverage Flush Trading Rules to keep you from losing money.
Lesson: How to protect your value. Im tired of hearing about people losing - stick to the discipline. Dont get greedy. #1 rule of trading. PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. In crypto token balances are all that matter. The goal is to increase your token balances using consistently profitable trades and buying spot assets on the flushes.
Note on Liquidation Level trading: This is the most profitable strategy in crypto right now. It has a 90% success ratio if executed correctly with limited risk of loss if executed correctly.
Entry: Enter Long when the price goes into the blue lines on the Liquidation Levels. The closer to the bottom the better. Remember the exchange will always flush the high leverage traders. Your job is to wait for that flush to enter. Patience is key. Wait for the signal, do not trade if the setup is not right.
1. Never sit in a losing trade. If your trade turns red and goes more than a 2-3% loss - exit. Re-enter lower. This is the most important rule to trading that 99% of traders mess up. You will make it back if you do this and enter in a better position.
2. Always add a stop loss on every entry. I recommend 5% but depending on your leverage can be tighter for higher leverage, looser for lower leverage.
Exit: If you timed your entry correctly, the flush will bounce and you will be up 10-35% (depending on leverage used). Take this profit. Take this profit. Take this profit. Never try get a forever position. Dont round trip trades. Exit and repeat. Your job is to consistently pull 10-35% out the market on flushes and accumulate this liquidity to build your bag.
Note: Obviously this is a loose guide. All parameters are variable and everyone has their own style. But this is the edge.
Why? Because crypto is manipulated. It is not a free market. The exchange is selling leverage trades and manipulating the price to flush the traders. Its a business. On bullish news they will flush lower to prey on the long traders using high leverage (red and yellow lines). On bearish news they will appreciate the price to liquidate short traders who think they smart.
Yes this works the other way around and you can short for 10-35% when the top blue lines are cleared.
Macro Theory: On a high timeframe crypto is following global liquidity which follows the business cycle.
The business cycle is about to exit QT (tightening, removing liquidity) and start stimulating via injecting new liquidity and lowering interest rates called QE. This is the start of the bull run. Remember there has not been new money in the USA since COVID. New liquidity has been printed by other countries and the US is about to start. The new liquidity is coming. Learn to trade now, so you are skilled and prepared.
On a low timeframe crypto is manipulated within a range by the casino (CEX exchanges starting with a 'B'). The Liquidation Level chart shows the range. There are 3 colored lines. They are above and below the price. The red, yellow and blue lines are high leverage high risk trades. Red lines will always be flushed (100x or more). The yellow lines are flushed 90% of the time (50x-100x). The blue lines are your signal. When the blue lines (25x-50x) get flushed you enter the trade. Wait for these events. If you trade in the range because of boredom, you will most likely lose capital. The winners wait patiently and execute with conviction and discipline when the events happen.
You know what a flush looks like. We just had a series of flushes over the last days where the exchange removed 90% of the leverage traders. ($1.8b was liquidated), your job is to extract some of that liquidity.
Thats the Liquidation Level Strategy. "Enter in the blues".
Current Binance Levels (30 second chart is required). Do not trade now. The price is clearly in the middle of the range. Wait for the blues.
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Dont get liquidated. Never use high leverage. Build a spot bag and move to self custody until top of the business cycle (est Q3 2026)