#Bitcoin
Historically, BTC reversals tend to follow a sequence:
1️⃣ Weekly RSI reaching extreme levels (exhaustion)
2️⃣ Market structure break (confirmation)
The first condition has already been met.
The second one is still pending ⏳
In previous cycles, it took 16–32 weeks after RSI exhaustion for structure to break and confirm the reversal.
We’re currently at 11 weeks.
If structure breaks from here, this would mark the fastest bear market in BTC history.
Bitcoin: 5 Bold Predictions
**Not Financial Advice**
1.) Bitcoin will never go below $70,000.
2.) 2026's yearly candle will close green.
3.) Jan 1, 2026 = $130k to $150k.
4.) We will see $200k+ Bitcoin in 2026.
5.) Everyone who sold in Q4 2025 will FOMO back in Q1 2026, once they realize the 4-year cycle narrative is over.
Do others besides me find it a bit awkward intellectually/emotionally when you hold contrary positions in accounts designed to trade different systems/time frames?
As an investor I have owned Bitcoin for years
As a swing trader I am now short $BTC futures based on megaphone
Moving Average Trend Road map:-
~5 EMA - Strong Momentum
~10 EMA - Short term trend
~20 EMA - Pullback support
~50 SMA - Uptrend defense line
~100 SMA-Big price dip
~200 SMA - Bull's last stand in an uptrend, bears last standing downtrend
~250 SMA - Value zone
#Bitcoin#Crypto
Imo from here:
• $ETH rally > mini alt season
• Rotation back into $BTC ($120k>$140k+) > alts lag
• Rotation back into $ETH/alts > final blowoff
This takes months to fully play out.
Hey @scottmelker
If Bitcoin can regain the broken parabolic slope then $BTC is on target to reach the bull market cycle top in the $125k to $150K level by Aug/Sep 2025, then a 50%+ correction
#BTC Daily Breakdown
#BTC is facing a critical decision zone: 93.5k–95k
Dual resistance is being tested again
Hidden bearish divergence on RSI: price is making lower highs, while RSI climbs → sign of trend weakness
Golden Line has provided strong support in the past – but now risks being retested if rejection occurs
Likely Scenario:
Bear case (my base case):• Rejection from 95k zone → correction toward 88k, then a retest of the Golden Line (76–78k)
Volume is key. RSI doesn’t lie. Price is on the edge.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldenLine #RSI #HiddenDivergence
Let’s make this clear…
As the business cycle bottoms (red zones), global liquidity leads Bitcoin.
Whatever it does, Bitcoin does a few months later.
A liquidity breakout after retest (now) starts Bitcoin’s parabolic leg.
That’s what matters.
Not the halving.
Not the ETFs.
Not the tariffs.
Follow what matters.
It’s already shown what comes next.
6 years ago, Zenon began its story.
Not a company.
A movement.
Built by cypherpunks.
For decentralization.
The path is long, but the signal is clear.
A hunt began at block #709632. Waiting to be deciphered — revealing itself only to those who truly seek.
3..2..1.. Zen on.
#BTC
If you want to keep things simple and group corrective periods, Bitcoin has seen five major pullbacks in this cycle
-22%, -22%, -22%, -33% and now -28% thus far
$BTC #Crypto#Bitcoin
Here are 10 hard truths that Wall Street doesn't want people to know:
1. The efficient market hypothesis was wrong.
2. There is no such thing as intrinsic value. All value is subjective and relative.
3. Stock market growth is based on currency debasement, not earnings growth.
4. Saving lots of cash is a guaranteed way to lose money.
5. Bonds destroy your investment returns.
6. Investing in basic indexes outperforms almost every hedge fund over the long run.
7. The more you look at your portfolio, the less likely you are to generate attractive returns.
8. Owning a home is almost always more expensive than renting. You should buy a primary home for non-economic reasons.
9. A financial advisors job is to accumulate assets and a stock brokers job is to drive trading volume. Follow their incentive.
10. Bitcoin is the new benchmark for a portfolio. If you can't beat it, you have to buy it.