I use 2 strategies to trade the market. 1 is an open range expansion/breakout trade setup using the first 15 minutes of the opening range 930-45am eastern time. The second Is an Equilibrium/Mean Reversion trading strategy using the 6, 630, 7, 7340, & 8 hourly candles.
10 minutes a day. That’s all you need.
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Friday NQ Initial Balance Study (867 Fridays, 2008–2026)
Where is price at 10:30am ET relative to the IB range?
📊 Upper 50% → IB High gets hit: 83.8%
📊 Lower 50% → IB Low gets hit: 78.5%
Break it down by quartile:
Q4 (top 25%) → High hit: 90.5%
Q3 (50-75%) → High hit: 74.9%
Q2 (25-50%) → Low hit: 66.0%
Q1 (bottom 25%) → Low hit: 89.4%
The edges are extreme. The middle is chop.
Know where you are in the range. ✅
How do you use the IB?
Mark the range made from 9:30 - 10:30 ET.
If the high forms first, target the low.
If the low forms first, target the high.
Best entry is at 50% of that range.
This strategy ranges from a 71-78% win rate on any given day. If it loses one day, it will make up for it on the next three.
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