IREN’s 1.4GW mega data center will be energized in April regardless of what the market’s price action tells you.
Believe in management’s flawless execution.
On days like this if you are out of buying powder the next best thing to do is to ignore the noise.
$IREN
IREN has announced a planned 800MW data center campus in Bundey, South Australia.
This marks IREN’s first announced Australian data center project and one of the largest in the Asia-Pacific region announced to date.
Learn more: https://t.co/3bOYCUG3pk
I've initiated a position in $IREN in the overnight markets.
A few hours ago, Google just told the world something important:
Demand for AI compute infrastructure has reached a scale where even $174 billion in annual operating cash flow isn't enough. They're raising $80 billion more in equity on top of $100 billion in existing debt just to keep pace.
Sundar Pichai said "compute capacity" is what keeps him up at night. "Be it power, land, supply chain constraints, how do you ramp up to meet this extraordinary demand for this moment?"
His answer? Raise $80 billion in equity. Dilute shareholders. Do whatever it takes.
They already raised over $85 billion in debt across six currencies in the last year. Total debt balance now over $100 billion. And now back for $80 billion more in equity on top of that. 2027 capex expected to significantly increase compared to 2026's $180 to $190 billion.
This is not a company managing a growth cycle. This is a company in a full sprint that cannot build fast enough.
And that money does not stay inside Google's walls.
It flows downstream into the neoclouds, the power holders, and the companies sitting in the critical path of every dollar they spend.
I initiated a position in $IREN today as the catch-up trade in this space.
Here's why:
- IREN just signed a five-year $3.4 billion AI cloud contract with Nvidia to provide managed GPU cloud services for Nvidia's internal AI and research workloads. On top of that, Nvidia was given a five-year right to purchase up to 30 million IREN shares at $70 per share -> a right to invest up to $2.1 billion. The broader strategic partnership targets deployment of up to 5 gigawatts of Nvidia DSX-aligned AI infrastructure across IREN's global pipeline.
- Nvidia chose $IREN as a strategic partner. That is not a small thing.
- The stock still trades at roughly $4 to $5 per watt while CoreWeave trades at $26 per watt and NBIS at $20 per watt. The big names already ran. $IREN is the catch-up.
Now the risk I want to be honest about:
IREN's buildout is heavily dependent on external capital. Between Nvidia's share purchase right and a $2 billion convertible note offering, dilution and debt servicing are real risks. The ATM program is still active. If the stock re-rates upward, dilution could act as a ceiling slowing the move. Eyes open on that.
But Google raising $80 billion to meet demand that is outpacing their supply is exactly the macro environment where $IREN's pipeline gets filled. That is the trade.
And the options market agrees. $50 million in premium just hit on $IREN calls at a $110 strike expiring January 2027. That is highly unusual flow. Smart money is positioning.
In summary:
- Google raising $80 billion to fund AI infrastructure is the ultimate bull-signal for neoclouds.
-I believe neoclouds are about to go on another heater.
On top of my $NBIS, $CRWV, $DGXX, $APLD, $KEEL, $CIFR, and $WULF positions... I think it's finally $IREN's time to play catch-up. The options flow seems to agree, with there being over $50 million in premium for the $110 calls expiring in January 2027.
Not financial advice. Do your own research. I have a position of 6,000 shares at a $63.70 average cost.
New $IREN Deep Dive
Our new $IREN deep dive is finally live!
It's honestly the most comprehensive report we have ever released and something I'm firmly convinced will age like fine wine.
Even though it goes into great depth, it's written in a way that virtually every investor can understand. I purposefully went light on industry and finance jargon, and whenever I did use technical terms I made sure to explain them properly.
This time around I've also unlocked the entire first chapter for free Substack subscribers to read.
So if you're on the fence, I encourage you to read the first pages to get a sense of the depth and analytical quality you can expect from the rest of the deep dive.
I'm sure every $IREN shareholder, analyst, or investor curious about the company will derive great value from this deep dive.
I very much appreciate everyone's patience. This one took a while.
Enjoy! ✌️
https://t.co/HUkfni8Ltf
𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐋𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫𝐬. 𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐞. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐈𝐑𝐄𝐍 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬.
There's been a lot happening at IREN recently.
Expansion across North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific.
The NVIDIA partnership.
The Mirantis acquisition.
New GPU deployments.
New customer discussions.
A growing global footprint.
Underneath all of it is a fairly simple view of where the world is heading, and a deliberate strategy for how we position IREN within it.
That strategy is built on three layers. Together, they compound into a structural advantage that gets harder to replicate every quarter we execute.
Layer 1: Physical infrastructure. Power, land, substations, data centers, cooling. The foundation that everything else sits on.
Layer 2: Compute infrastructure. The GPUs, servers and networking that go inside those buildings. Deployed at scale. Generating revenue. Building execution track record.
Layer 3: Software and operational capability. The orchestration, deployment tooling and enterprise expertise that makes the first two layers work harder for customers, and opens the door to a broader, higher-value market over time.
Layers 1 and 2 are where the overwhelming majority of IREN's value is being created today. Layer 3 is where that advantage compounds further over time, but only because Layers 1 and 2 are built, owned and controlled at scale by IREN, not subscale nor contracted from a third party.
Think of Amazon. They didn't win e-commerce by building a great website. They won it by controlling the fulfilment infrastructure at a scale nobody else could replicate. The foundation you don't control becomes the ceiling on your business.
That is exactly how we think about IREN. The physical infrastructure - the land, the power, the substations, the data centers - is owned and controlled by us. The compute deployed into it generates the revenue and execution track record. And the software, orchestration and enterprise capability we are more methodically building on top is what turns the total product into a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform that compounds over time and deepens into a competitive moat.
AI is still early. The bottleneck is increasingly physical. And we have spent eight years building the foundations.
There is no larger long-term strategic move than this — NVIDIA joins forces with $IREN to build the flagship AI factory deployment for the DSX architecture
The market will continue to repeatedly reinterpret the deeper intent and long-term objectives behind the partnership between NVIDIA and IREN.
On May 7, 2026, IREN’s CEO reposted NVIDIA’s official announcement on X regarding the partnership between the two companies: NVIDIA and IREN Limited today announced a strategic partnership to accelerate the deployment of next-generation AI infrastructure.
NVIDIA announcement
https://t.co/WW1RJ9ERH3
At the same time, IREN also released another announcement on its own website: IREN signs a US$3.4 billion AI cloud services agreement with NVIDIA.
IREN announcement
https://t.co/f3W6yR90Mq
The two announcements, each emphasizing different aspects of the cooperation, carry extremely significant implications.
First, after careful verification, this is the first time NVIDIA has sought external compute leasing. There are three major turning points in industry development embedded in this move.
A reversal of roles: NVIDIA becomes a “major external compute customer” for the first time
In the past, NVIDIA’s relationship with infrastructure companies was almost always centered around “selling hardware” or “borrowing hyperscaler data centers for DGX Cloud.” But in this US$3.4 billion agreement with IREN, NVIDIA is, for the first time in its history, leasing third-party compute capacity at large scale and on a long-term basis as a customer, for use by its own AI research teams. This kind of “reverse leasing” is unprecedented for NVIDIA in both scale and nature.
The selective external exposure of its most core secrets: this point carries the deepest implications
For a long time, NVIDIA has insisted on keeping its most critical R&D work — chip design, driver optimization, and large-model training — inside its self-built supercomputers such as Selene and Eos, creating a closed loop of “building the shovels and mining with them itself.” But this time, outsourcing a 60MW research workload to an external data center is highly significant. It signals that compute-chip R&D is beginning to transition toward external collaboration.
The first opening of stack management: introducing Mirantis to manage NVIDIA’s internal R&D clusters
Previously, NVIDIA’s internal cluster management was handled entirely by its own engineering teams. But under this agreement, NVIDIA is for the first time allowing third-party management, bringing in Mirantis to participate in cluster orchestration and operations. This also signals a transformation in NVIDIA’s latest compute architecture R&D approach — beginning to “strengthen external collaboration” for lower-level operational work such as server cooling, restarts, and Kubernetes configuration.
As the ability of individual GPU chips to increase computing performance gradually approaches physical and engineering limits, the next phase of AI compute advancement is shifting from “single-chip performance competition” to “system-level scalability competition.” This is NVIDIA’s direction of transformation.
The primary paths for the next stage of AI compute improvement include: GPU clustering, high-speed interconnects, rack-scale computing, and data-center-level coordination. This requires GPU manufacturers (NVIDIA), data center designers/builders/operators (IREN), and supercluster operating systems (Mirantis) to jointly collaborate on development.
What they are developing is precisely the NVIDIA DSX architecture referenced in the NVIDIA-IREN partnership announcement. And IREN’s hyperscale SW site in Texas is becoming the flagship deployment location for NVIDIA’s DSX architecture. This is absolutely not a simple narrative of NVIDIA investing in a company and becoming a shareholder.
For the world’s leading company that holds the core secrets of AI compute chip R&D, this is not a trivial matter.
From NVIDIA’s perspective, there appear to be many potential partners, such as CoreWeave, Nebius, Oracle, Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, and Crusoe, and NVIDIA has already invested in or partnered with these firms before. But why did it choose IREN for this most important transformation?
Because IREN possesses too many things that are uniquely its own:
Multiple GW-scale single sites with secured long-term power supply
Grid interaction capabilities
Vertical integration
Ultra-long-term site planning and abundant land supply
Green energy
Acting as its own design-and-build general contractor
Long-term accumulation of data center operational experience
Advanced design and technical capabilities
Compared with the companies above that NVIDIA has already partnered with, even if IREN temporarily lacked software capabilities, NVIDIA was still willing to wait until IREN acquired a software company before announcing this deep cooperation. Moreover, Mirantis has long been one of the three software companies that have collaborated with NVIDIA for many years. It is highly possible that NVIDIA itself played the role of connector behind IREN’s acquisition.
NVIDIA is transforming toward system-level compute scaling and building an AI factory template. In the future, the products it sells may no longer simply be GPU chips, but complete racks, clusters, or even entire AI factories.
That inevitably requires standardized data centers in order to guarantee performance, compatibility, scalability, and token efficiency.
What NVIDIA needs are facilities with massive long-term secured power supply, land, GW-scale campuses, HPC DNA, rapid construction capability, neutrality, automated scheduling capability, workload routing, GPU virtualization, fault recovery, and cluster operating systems capable of distributed training management.
At present, IREN is the only company that possesses all of these elements simultaneously.
What they are trying to build is the industrial standard for the next phase of the AI industry.
The greatest companies do not merely participate in industries — they define the standards.
From this perspective, there is no larger strategic theme than this one.
Selling compute capacity to hyperscalers, partnering with Anthropic, or developing new sovereign AI businesses are all important, but none compare with this.
The deeper meaning of last week’s announcement will require time for the market to fully interpret and understand. I believe I have already analyzed this trend relatively clearly.
This move by NVIDIA and IREN, once executed successfully, could once again widen the gap between the NVIDIA ecosystem and Google just as Google had begun catching up — and it carries major implications for the entire AI industry.
Overnight, $IREN traded almost AUD $10 billion in a single session on the NASDAQ - more than the entire @ASX's on-market daily turnover of AUD $7.5 billion.
I'll be honest. That number is humbling. But it also stings a little.
Because two and a half years ago, we were told we weren't welcome on the ASX.
The rejection was disappointing - not just for what it meant for us as a company, but for what it said about Australia's willingness to back next-generation technology at scale. We believed then, as we do now, that the future of digital infrastructure and compute deserved a place in Australian capital markets. Apparently, the feeling wasn't mutual.
But we never gave up on Australia.
We have continued to try and do business here. We have several large-scale data centre development sites across the country, and our commitment to building world-class, renewable-powered infrastructure on Australian soil has never wavered.
Australia has everything it needs to be a global leader in AI infrastructure - the land, the renewable energy, the engineering talent.
The permitting and regulatory process remains our biggest challenge - and I won't pretend otherwise. It is slow, complex, and at times deeply frustrating for a business operating at the speed that AI demands.
What it needs now is the regulatory and policy environment to not miss out on this opportunity.
But we are working through it, and when we get to the other side, we are ready to accelerate.
@rufflife222@_209681716596 LOL you really haven’t been all here then. Check the chart on when the $1B ATM was issued and how vertical the stock went following that. If you’ve really been here since 5 bucks you wouldn’t be complaining about it being at 60 bucks.
$IREN just announced a massive 5 GW partnership with none other than $NVDA....
I love how it references $IREN's "global" pipeline.
$IREN is fast fast-tracking its path to becoming the next hyperscaler.
It turns out that having gigawatts of grid-connected energy, while everybody else is severely power-constrained, is a real MOAT.
$IREN shareholders have just been validated BIG TIME.
We are just getting started! 📈
$IREN is making all the right moves…
I'm pleasantly surprised by $IREN's acquisition of @MirantisIT. Previously I thought $IREN would eventually move up the stack through M&A, but I anticipated this to happen in 1-2 years, not today.
I interpret this as things genuinely moving VERY fast at $IREN behind the scenes and all of us just underestimating the pace this company is on.
Remember, two years ago everybody saw $IREN as "just another BTC miner".
Six months later (late 2024) it became the most formidable competitor in the space, breaking growth records and being the only profitable entity in the industry.
Then, last year, the story evolved to $IREN having genuine potential in the AI/HPC colocation space with its gigawatt scale power portfolio.
Not long after, this company surprised everybody with its first hyperscaler deal consisting of leasing out cloud capacity, moving up the value chain and skipping the lower-yielding colocation segment.
Today, $IREN's product portfolio is evolving once again.
Previously they were widely regarded as a pure-play "bare metal" compute provider, yet with the acquisition of Mirantis, the company moved up to a full-stack AI cloud, now covering everything from the metal up through the managed AI services that enterprise and sovereign customers actually plug their workloads into.
Contrary to what most analysts interpret this as, I don't see this as a pivot, but rather a hedge. A hedge against customer concentration.
There are fewer than 10 companies in the world that can rent hundreds of megawatts of compute. Think hyperscalers and frontier AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic.
Even if $IREN managed to establish relationships with >50% of these tier-1 customers, that would still result in an incredibly concentrated client composition.
This sort of reliance on a handful of customers just adds more risks, which in turn leads to lower valuations, higher cost of capital, and arguably most importantly, a weaker hand at the negotiating table.
All that said, I still think bare metal will continue to be the majority of $IREN's contracted cloud capacity going forward.
The big players' appetite for compute is just insatiable and $IREN is in a prime position to become THE "plug" for high-quality, low-cost compute, given its fully vertically integrated infrastructure portfolio and massive power pipeline.
Yet with this acquisition $IREN now has a solid shot at also taking meaningful market share in the smaller subsets of the AI compute market, namely the enterprise & sovereign AI (governmental) sectors.
The end result could be a much more diverse and thus more robust client mix.
If I had to take an educated guess at the reason why $IREN acquired Mirantis at this point, I believe it could very well be related to the multi-billion-dollar deal Co-CEO @danroberts0101 referenced in last quarter's earnings call:
"One of the contracts we are negotiating at the moment is a multi-billion dollar contract where we would have to bring a software solution".
I believe the counterparty in question isn't a hyperscaler or a frontier AI lab. These are exactly the kind of customers who DON'T need the software layer, as they develop it in-house and retain full control.
Likewise, I don't think there are many enterprise clients requiring cloud compute in the "multi-billion" dollar range.
Thus, by process of elimination I think the most likely fit is a sovereign entity, i.e., a state or government. Mirantis just happens to be one of the few companies validated by NVIDIA as part of its sovereign AI reference architecture.
As for which sovereign entity it might be, there are many possible candidates, but there is none more obvious than the Australian government itself, be it federal or stae-level, given $IREN's roots in the ‘land down under' (founded and headquartered in Sydney).
This would also explain the company's recent advertising push in several regions across Australia, perhaps to attract the necessary local tenant to successfully pull off a venture of this magnitude.
I'm just thinking out loud here, and much of this is nothing more than speculation at this point, but in any case, this acquisition appears highly strategic in multiple ways.
I'm very much looking forward to tomorrow's earnings call, in anticipation of getting more insights into the motivation behind taking Mirantis on board.
Over the coming days post-earnings I'll publish a very extensive earnings breakdown on Substack, of which the acquisition of Mirantis will be a substantial focal point.
I'll lay out everything there is to know about this tech company & provide you with my unfiltered opinion in an easy-to-digest manner.
Stepping back one more time, it's incredible to see just how far $IREN has come since I started covering it. It's truly a generational unicorn company. Something you don't come across very often.
The growth trajectory has been unprecedented. The company is firing on all cylinders, and I think we stand right before some major commercial victories.
Another piece of data pointing in that direction is the company's recent hiring spree. $IREN now has 142 job openings across a wide range of departments and geographies.
This company is not standing still!
Cheers, guys ✌️
S/O to my friend @_Sgr_A_Star for providing the job listings pics
IREN is acquiring Mirantis.
Our advantage is infrastructure and execution.
This builds on existing capabilities and strengthens how compute is deployed, managed and operated.
Read more: https://t.co/pjjHrwtDjv
Sweetwater 1 has been successfully energized – a key milestone in the development of the broader 2GW Sweetwater campus.
@danroberts0101, Co-Founder and Co-CEO of $IREN commented:
“Delivering Sweetwater 1 substation energization on schedule reflects our disciplined execution, the strength of our supply chain relationships and the efficiency of our vertically integrated development model. It is another example of our ability to design and construct large-scale infrastructure reliably and at speed to meet market demand.”
Learn more: https://t.co/Bo0tSv67jM