Chart of the Day:
Geopolitical risk breadth fell from 18.5 in may to 9.0 in august.
This means fewer countries in conflict. Which sounds good. But the remaining stress is still concentrated at fewer regions such as: Hormuz and Bab el Mandeb, responsible for over 20% of global oil transport.
The coming week is an important diplomatic window that $WALL3 system is monitoring
Another hit from the @Wall3_Agent 🎯
Rate Cut in September Odds
CME: 41% hike → 60%
Polymarket: 30% → 52%
Easy conditions + resilient demand were supposed to reduce the need for Fed relief.
Today’s 162k payrolls print confirmed our view on this. Destroying the odds of rate cuts this month.
September hike odds have repriced from a hold-led market to a hike-led one.
RECAP - Wall3 Agent Case Study
Even though we designed our system to work on long term trends and inflection points - we've found it to be sharp on lower timeframes as well.
$WALL3 picked up on a divergence between defense performance and the contract spending. This was local high and so far $LMT and other defense assets have fallen.
3 minutes that change how you think about using AI in Investing
Clip from last week's livestream with @virtuals_io
Many traders listen to FED livestreams, and cling onto and overanalyse every word, looking for alpha.
Our CIO Reza explains why that's dumb, and what our agents do instead.
Unitree Robotics - Individual Company Outlook🧵
Today we're giving a sneak peek at the single-company analytics that will be integrated into the $WALL3 ecosystem soon.
Here is our full breakdown on Unitree's current post-IPO valuation and what operating milestones turn the outlook more constructive:
For the Full Report: https://t.co/991YZtPbwC
Bitcoin is very sensitive to macro, more specifically liquidity.
Surprisingly, this isn't common knowledge yet, and it's why investors often get caught on the wrong side of geopolitics, conflict and things like FED decisions.
The engine leans bullish on Bitcoin, but it may take some time for the macro data to give confirmation. Keep an eye on these data points 🔽 for confluence. Better yet, we'll do it for you.
Reza from @Wall3_RL walks through the fund's track record and research philosophy...
The flagship strategy has done 80% since going live, targeting 5-10% above the equity market, with roughly 23% annualized and a ratio of 1.8-1.9. The opportunistic strategy, opened to external investors this year, has done roughly 60%,with a 60% annualized target.
The thesis is built on a long-term, fundamental view rather than price, high horizon enough to ride out short-term noise. Same framework applies to Bitcoin.
$WALL3
Security update: @Wall3_Labs was hacked on August 18, shortly after TGE. We regained access today. All posts and communications published between August 18–25 were not from the Wall3 Labs team.
We have permanently moved to @Wall3_RL, the official X account for Wall3 Labs. Please follow @Wall3_RL. The old account will be closed in the coming weeks.
Official Links:
Website: https://t.co/QSo91RHg3A
Token: https://t.co/P9VpA2wWwy
CA: 0xc31d45f8A4F319553bB019fD042dfE375bd7d243
X: @Wall3_RL
Many traders spend their days staring at economic calendars, waiting to punt on 8:30 AM CPI prints or Fed rate announcements.
By the time the press conference starts, they’re already trading someone else’s exit liquidity.
That is purely reactive trading. Good investors are always proactive and have a long term outlook, both institutional and "pro" retail.
The real signal doesn’t live in the press conference - it builds weeks in advance across the plumbing:
- The Chicago Fed NFCI has steadily eased to -0.559. Credit impulse remains high, bank lending is buoyant, and broad financial conditions are easier than average.
- The Feedback Loop: Easy conditions fuel consumption and labor demand. That prevents the demand destruction the Fed needs to provide easing.
- The Market Consequence: While retail prices in an aggressive easing cycle, buoyant credit conditions actually give the Fed more cover to hold a hawkish bias heading into September.
Don't trade the press conference. Trade the regime.
Wall3
Welcome all investors, traders, quants and degens!
There's 2 chances to meet the team this week:
🎙️ Tomorrow - @MCGlive Podcast, 18:30 CEST.
🎙️ Friday - Live AMA on @Wall3_RL X Spaces, exact time will be dropped later in the week.
Bring your questions, hear directly from pioneers of agentic asset management.
Been speaking to the team since the early days and it is great to see the vision coming alive. Rare thing to see the internal intelligence engine of a TradFi fund made public with years of live experimentation behind it, not a wrapper built last quarter.
Just the start of agentic finance.
The desks are open. Wall3 Agent is now live for the public!
No more digging through conflicting headlines, research reports, and endless timelines to piece together a market view.
Query Wall3 Agent about Equities or Gold and receive:
• The thesis
• The supporting evidence
• The strongest counterargument
• What would falsify the view
We have spent more than a decade building investment systems designed to separate signal from noise. Wall3 Agent brings that research process together in one place.
Your account already includes 15 free credits.
After that you can use $WALL3 tokens for access to Wall3 Agent and to every agent the lab ships after it. Hold it to query the desk.
👉 Try Wall3 Agent: https://t.co/QId0KSaGT5
Wall3 Labs
Wall Street, to your wallet
WALL3 - THE GENESIS
From today, the $WALL3 token is live - on Robinhood chain.
The full institutional toolkit, to your wallet.
Anti Sniper Launch details, read first: https://t.co/NzQt0qetSp
Official Links
Token: https://t.co/P9VpA2xum6
CA: 0xc31d45f8A4F319553bB019fD042dfE375bd7d243
TG: https://t.co/2z28GwVtw1