@rbzappCT @FishtownCap@StealthQE4 Terrible take, IRAs allow for at least annual dollar cost averaging and when market draws down you have better buying opportunities… Thinking Gen X got it bad from a markets perspective evidences little financial literacy as we sit here at all time highs, every dip gobbled up.
imo: if you’re deliberate about “doing the reading”, whatever that means for any domain, within a year it’s possible to be in the top ~5% in the scene. This is because 95% of people don’t do the reading
imagine having this thesis - "i think maybe one day this team can transform the company and it could work out well in the long term" - and expressing it with two-week call options, love it
Investors spend a decent amount of time thinking about how to construct a portfolio with both positive carry and positive convexity.
Turns out all they need to do is get a job managing other investors.
@ArifHozef sheffield and his son, like the rice brothers, truly stand out as self-dealing grifters but investors love them because they say all the things they wanna hear
Funny thing is how few PMs will raise their hand & take the L, even when it’s actually their fault. Analysts would be blamed & careers threatened. If you want to be more like Buffett, my guidance would be start with the basics like this.
@ArifHozef indeed, flows (whether client driven or generalist PM driven) tend to occur at inopportune times for specialists 🤕. plus many use product of spread+duration as a risk metric and that’s highly procyclical: discourages leaning into dislocations / encourages reaching for yield.
@ArifHozef are you suggesting (1) that pro-cyclical risk measures are tragically flawed, (2) structural overweights to higher carry but negatively skewed assets should be reconsidered, or (3) both? i’d personally agree with (1) but (2) probably more nuanced.
@inner_scorecard @ArifHozef Too many things that sound good and don’t work. Too many folks focused on sounding good instead of doing the right thing. 😮💨