Just a random thought: $JBL seems highkey compelling long idea at $38B.
Don’t really think markets have priced in their 1.6T LRO pluggable transceiver business yet.
Especially if it’s “how much can you make” with $SIVE as the bottleneck H1 2027. Not really is there enough demand.
They already have the massive supply chains setup… and took over $INTC pluggable lines.
Seems more scalable than $AAOI capex ATMs for laser fabs, if you have $SIVE + tons of different fabs like Win Semi + others mass producing lasers and $JBL doing the rest.
So you’re getting that Innolight style setup for free (with US premiums), with an already validated hyperscaler supply chain.
Don’t currently have positions, just throwing out a thought for others to do research on.
Prob H1 2027 is when everyone starts realizing. Maybe 40% rereating seems plausible?
(dont have any open positions, just a thought)
I don’t quite think photonics from $AAOI to $LITE or $SIVE are disappearing anytime soon…
Just extremely volatile.
Anyway, curious what other people are buying today?