@TheJoeMarino The human brain cannot root out the emotion. The general population would rather lose on the last play with more uncertainty and no time to react than know more information earlier with time to react.
@slaugin@adamlevitan +2098 is the “fair” odds if the book applied no vig. Assuming the model is correct with that fair odds price, you would expect to lose money, and a lot of it, if you bet it at +1100 over a large sample.
@goldengoose2800 @jklbets EV Ohio isn’t a capper 😂 +EV betting is just using simple math to make profitable bets. Stick to the process and you make a lot of money in the long run. Also, why are you so angry?
@EthanAz_@PlusEVPenguin@DarylFlanagan@PlusBoosts Ah okay. So is an end of regulation tie on Circa effectively a push? If so, that’s still a fundamentally different market from a 3 way line.
Also, what’s Circa’s hold? I think Pinny is roughly 4% on the 3 way.
@EthanAz_@PlusEVPenguin@DarylFlanagan@PlusBoosts Right, because those are two fundamentally different markets. Circa’s line includes OT. Pinny is end of regulation result. Fwiw, I trust Pinny alone on this market, but others may have differing opinions.
There is less than a week until the 2024 election.
I am fully supporting the Harris-Walz ticket and the re-election of Sherrod Brown to the U.S. Senate from Ohio.
I am not going to force my political beliefs on anyone, but I will encourage everyone to vote for Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, and Democrats up and down the ballot. This is the most consequential election of my lifetime.
If you want to have civil discourse on the issues, I am happy to have that. I will not, however, engage with baseless attacks on candidates or myself for expressing my political beliefs.
@EV_Architect@IWONTHEMONEY7 Agree with these. Also: NHL 1P totals have sample sizes in the thousands. Presidential elections happen every 4 years—and every one is very different. We will never have a sample size to determine if someone is sharp or not on a market like this.