Pedro Martínez Llabata

Viajero y trabajador humanitario. Associate Information Management Officer en @UNHCR Guatemala. Innovation Fellow 2021. Las opiniones son mías.

[Pedro Martínez Llabata @pmartinezlla]

Únete al equipo de ACNUR!!!
Entre otras ofertas, en el equipo de IM buscamos a una persona con experiencia en:
📈📊data science
🔬🌎investigación de campo
para un proyecto de innovación apasionante. 💡
Si eres proactivx, dedicado y quieres trabajar con un equipazo, aplica ya!✅

[Andrea Gordillo @AGordillo_]

📢Quieres unirte a nuestro equipo?

✅Asistente de Protección
✅Asistente de Programas
✅Asistente Senior de Finanzas
✅Asistente de Estadística y Análisis de Datos

🔗Mas información: https://t.co/zS2n4jRqmv
@RepACNURGuate @Fernand86586646 @pmartinezlla

[Pedro Martínez Llabata @pmartinezlla]

@leortizcal En una mejor persona!!! 😂

[Besem Obenson @BesemObenson]

Nuestro compromiso con Guatemala🇬🇹

Es un honor liderar las acciones de @ACNURamericas en Guate. Esta visita respaldar los objetivos comunes con @GuatemalaGob en la protección e integración de la población refugiada y guatemalteca🤝🏽

Juntos somos más fuertes

[Santiago @svpino]

Politicians take advantage of this every single day:

One side tells you every major social group is struggling. The economy is not working for them.

The other side tells you that's not true. Look at the data! The economy hasn't been this good!

What's fascinating to me is that both sides use the same data to argue opposite points. They might not be lying.

Look at the attached image.

The trend on individual slices of the data is negative but reverses when you look at the overall trend.

This is the Simpson's Paradox.

It's one of the ways people manipulate data to support any story they want. For those who deal with data, it's a reminder of how easy it is to arrive at the wrong conclusions.

Trust the data, but verify it first.

[Jono Tan @jonotan86]

How loading bars actually work

[Pedro Martínez Llabata @pmartinezlla]

@leortizcal Ánimo! ✊

[Alvaro AS @AlvaroAsBas]

En @ACNURamericas en 🇬🇹 iniciamos el 2024 trabajando con las personas con discapacidad y las personas adultas mayores, aprendiendo de la experiencia para una coexistencia pacífica en nuestro Centro para Personas Migrantes y Refugiados -#CAPMiRs, Ciudad de Guatemala

[United Nations @UN]

On Thursday’s #WorldBrailleDay, see how Braille helps blind and partially-sighted people realize their full human rights: https://t.co/7dcoZreBTi…

[Filippo Grandi @FilippoGrandi]

It is difficult to celebrate #Christmas when children are killed every minute in Sudan, Gaza, Ukraine, the Sahel, Myanmar, Eastern DRC and too many other places.

But we must continue to hope that the peacemakers will prevail over the men with guns.

[Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ @ESYudkowsky]

Consider a young but bright kid, who's about to play chess for the first time after studying the rules, facing Stockfish 15 as an opponent.

"Why are you so sure I'll lose?" asks the kid, who happens to be a boy. "The game AI and I start with the same pieces. We both know the rules of chess. I get to move first, which seems like a big advantage."

"Stockfish 15 ranks at ELO 3700 and world champion Magnus Carlsen ranks at ELO 2882," you reply.

"What do those numbers even mean?" says the kid (who really is quite bright).

"Interesting question," you say. "I'd say—it measures the player's ability to achieve their desired outcomes, against the efforts of an opposing player, with equal resources, under equal rules. By choosing *which* move to make."

"That sounds kind of weird and mystical and abstract," says the kid. "Can you tell me *how* Stockfish is going to beat me, when it doesn't have any more or better chess pieces than I do, or any better knowledge of the rules?"

"No human being could reliably predict how Stockfish will defeat you," you reply, "even if we knew exactly which moves you'd make yourself in every situation. If I could predict exactly where Stockfish 15 would move, I could defeat Magnus Carlsen just by making the moves I'd predict Stockfish would make. Maybe if your moves have sufficiently straightforward vulnerabilities there'll be an obvious way to exploit those, as seen by a human grandmaster; but Stockfish can search more moves than any human can, better than we can, and it might find an even better way to defeat you."

The kid rolls his eyes at all this worshipful talk of Stockfish and how it's better than he is. "Have you ever seen Stockfish play?"

"Actually, no," you reply honestly. "I'm nonetheless *very* confident in its ability to defeat you."

The kid rolls his eyes again, and starts by moving his queen's bishop's pawn, so he can get his queen out onto the board and start capturing enemy pieces—as soon as there's one that's not defended under the chess rules, that is. "How about if I move my rook over here?" the kid says, a few moves into the game. "Then the AI will try to take it with its queen, and I'll come in and grab the queen. How will the AI win after I've got its queen?"

"Okay, now you're failing at putting yourself in the AI's shoes and asking how to win from its position, even using *your own* intelligence," you tell the kid. "You're imagining the chess AI as doing things that you wouldn't do in its shoes; *you* think the AI loses if it grabs for your rook, but you're not imagining the AI as knowing that. You're evaluating everything from the perspective of how it could turn out well for you, but not from the perspective of an opponent who sees everything you see and wants you to lose."

"Oh," he says, "so you're saying the AI can read my mind? That just sounds like magic."

"Well, *this* AI can't read your mind," you say. "What I'm saying, rather, is that it can think of at least everything you can, and probably a lot more. So any time you ask what Stockfish sees in the chess game's state, you have to assume it sees *at least* what you see. There's a learnable mental motion for it, like not just running out to put your life savings into Microsoft stock as soon as it occurs to you that Microsoft makes a lot of money selling Windows, because you realize that the broader market already knows this and the price of Microsoft stock already takes into account their Windows revenue stream."

The kid is now ignoring you. He makes his moves, quickly by chess standards, though the kid doesn't seem to realize he's moving fast...

The game ends quickly. Faster than you expected, even having some abstract idea of Stockfish's cognitive abilities.

"I see what I did wrong," says the kid. "Let me try again, this time I won't—"

"Sorry," you say, putting the chess board away. "It's the nature of this game that you only get one try at playing it, ever."

[Diego Aguilar @diego_aguitta]

Un poco de cómo se vivió la simulación de planifcación de sitios para Albergues 🏘👪 en el Taller de Emergencias Sitaucional SET de @ACNURamericas en Petén, Guatemala
#siteplanning #Shelter #shpere #SET

[Besem Obenson @BesemObenson]

Sin importar quién eres o de dónde vienes tienes derecho a una vida sana⚕️

En @ACNURamericas🇬🇹 buscamos que todas las personas refugiadas y en movilidad que viven con VIH reciban el tratamiento requerido

#DiaMundialDelSida La salud es un derecho de todos.

[Migración Guatemala @MigracionGuate]

#Refugio | Se realizan jornadas móviles para informar y atender solicitudes de refugio en el país.➡️ https://t.co/NhvfsJakaJ

Agradecemos el acompañamiento y apoyo de @ACNURamericas

[Manuel Rodriguez Pumarol @m_rodriguez_pum]

🕊️ Incluso en tiempos de guerra, los niños tienen derechos, y están siendo negados en Gaza. Exijamos un cese al fuego y acceso humanitario sin restricciones.

[António Guterres @antonioguterres]

I repeat my call for a humanitarian ceasefire in the Middle East, the unconditional release of all hostages, and the delivery of life-saving supplies at the scale needed.

Everyone must assume their responsibilities.

This is a moment of truth.

History will judge us all.

[Federico Guzmán Rubio @feguz77]

Me niego a aceptar que el destino de Latinoamérica sea la violencia, por lo que creo que resulta indispensable leerla. Abro🧵con las 21 novelas latinoamericanas en torno de nuestras muchas violencias que más me han impactado, enojado y conmovido.

[Besem Obenson @BesemObenson]

Si buscas orientación y apoyo no dudes en buscar el Centro de Atención para Personas Migrantes y Refugiadas #CAPMIR más cercano a ti.

👉🏽Aquí encontrarás ubicación, horarios y servicios https://t.co/cmZkOqTDaq

@ACNURamericas en Guate🇬🇹, para servirles!

[United Nations @UN]

Civilians and civilian infrastructure are #NotATarget.

They must be protected.

At all times.

Everywhere.