Cory Smith

Assistant Professor of economics @UofMaryland AREC. Development and economic history; frontier economies. ||

[Cory Smith @politicory]

Very excited to put up a draft of my paper with @AmritaKulka: "Agglomeration Over the Long Run:
Evidence from County Seat Wars"

https://t.co/5y63kUw4Pw

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@iam_elias1 @Noahpinion Unfortunately, this study is widely seen as fabricated

https://t.co/sGIJ8efE5r

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@paulnovosad Claude auto mode seems to work pretty well for this, but maybe my experience has been different?

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@instrumenthull A curiosity: if you make strong assumptions on independence (RCT), is it ever more efficient to do something other than OLS? The idea would be residualizing X just adds noise

More formally: GMM where you add lack of correlation with T and X as moments?

[Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 @JosephPolitano]

Unsurprisingly, Trump's immigration crackdown is still not delivering labor market improvements for the US-born

Over the last year, the native-born unemployment rate has increased from 4.2% to 4.3%, while native-born employment rates have decreased

[Igor Bobic @igorbobic]

There have been no public hearings on the war, both chambers of Congress have left town on recess, and now Pentagon drawing up invasion plans

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@phl43 @andreamatranga Hope you’re right it’s instead a psyop

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@phl43 @andreamatranga If “dumber” why not “so dumb they are telling the truth and believe this will cause Iran to relent”

[Phil Gordon @PhilGordonDC]

When Obama sent Iran $400m + $1.3bn in interest in 2016 Trump called it "insane" and he and others spent a decade mocking the idea of "pallets of cash" even though it was Iran's own money, American prisoners were released, courts were likely to require the U.S. payment, and Iran had just agreed to significant and verified reductions and restrictions on its nuclear program for 15+ years. Now Trump is giving Iran up to ten times that amount of revenue--one of the most significant measures of sanctions relief provided to the Islamic Republic since its founding--in exchange for marginal and temporary relief from the big increase in oil prices his actions have caused, without any concessions from Tehran, and even as Iran continues to target the United States, its allies, and world oil supplies. No way to read as anything other than desperate recognition of the situation Trump's own actions have created and the lack of available alternatives for dealing with it.

[Paul Novosad @paulnovosad]

Any U.S. citizen can end up in one of these horrific concentration camps.

Maybe they'll let you go once they realize their mistake, after 3 months of hunger, disease, and abuse, with no recourse.

All it would take to stop this is a handful of brave Republicans.

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@RAVerBruggen Wasn’t sure!!

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@TomPMarshall @_alice_evans @NORTH_o2 your videos are helping me win Internet knowledge games

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@TomPMarshall @_alice_evans Just late-night archaeology YouTube!

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@_alice_evans Check out North02!

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@_alice_evans Great! Serendipitous since I just watched a YouTube on them (amateur archaeologist currently trying out stone/stone-age weapons)

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@BlatantlyDumb I half agree on #1: depends on who the next president is (we don’t know). Continuity with the admin is possible, change takes work

Fair on #2, but can be informative if you haven’t been following its actions recently (or just needed a reminder)

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@BlatantlyDumb What about as a credible & consequential signal of how the agency is operating & will continue to operate?

[Claudia Sahm @Claudia_Sahm]

There is ZERO evidence that the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the data, not the CPI, not payrolls earlier this week.

I am not being naive and people are watching carefully for signs of tampering. Such accusations now are harmful to economic discussions.

[Cory Smith @politicory]

@besttrousers @mattyglesias Common pool problem, I see it all the time