poorersob

prediction markets researcher. trading polymarket and posting what i find along the way
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[Bitcoin Magazine @BitcoinMagazine]

NEW: 🇺🇸 Bitcoin ETFs saw $226.92 million in inflows yesterday, bringing the five-session total to $727.3 million 👀

This marks the longest winning streak since May 🚀

[Bitcoin @Bitcoin]

$66,562.93

#Bitcoin

[0xAkky @AKKY33157665]

一个中国大学生用 Bot 在 Polymarket 跑，10 天赚了 21.8 万美元。

策略极简：实时盯 Binance 和 Coinbase 的 BTC 价格，#Polymarket 赔率延迟半拍时就抢先入场，几分钟平仓。

354 次操作，大多在 BTC 市场。

散户还在争论谁当总统，它已在闷声收割 5 分钟行情。

真正的优势有时不是信息，而是速度

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: $66,000 Bitcoin

[断浪 @waveking1314]

用 Claude 搭的 @Polymarket bot，第一晚跑完，利润 $2,314。

脚本花了 4 个小时写出来。

平均 胜率 大概 70%。

这不是那种夸张的 clickbait，更像是一个很典型的案例：当你把 Claude 接进真实交易流程里，它不只是聊天工具，而是可以帮你把策略变成能跑的系统。

Wallet：
https://t.co/u2PQ4M13iM
这套策略的核心很简单：

5 Minute BTC / ETH Micro Arbitrage。

它专门做 Polymarket 上 5 分钟的 BTC 和 ETH 短周期合约。在行情快速波动的时候，YES + NO 的总价格有时会短暂低于 $1。这个时候市场出现临时 mispricing，bot 会实时扫描，一旦发现 spread，就立刻吃掉。

重点不是预测 BTC 接下来 5 分钟一定涨还是跌。

重点是捕捉价格暂时错位的那一瞬间。

人类交易员在波动来的时候，会犹豫、会确认、会怕追高、会怕买错。但 bot 不会。它只看规则：价差出现，满足条件，直接执行。

很多机会窗口可能只有几秒。

等大多数人反应过来，价格已经修正了。

这也是为什么这类策略更适合自动化。它不是追求一笔暴赚，而是不断重复吃小 spread。单次利润可能不大，但只要频率足够高，执行足够稳定，小 edge 就会慢慢堆成可观收益。

Claude 的价值也在这里。

不是让它告诉你“买 Up 还是 Down”，而是用它帮你写脚本、整理逻辑、处理异常、优化执行，把一个想法变成能 24/7 跑的交易系统。

剩下的事情就是继续 refine code，扩大部署规模，然后让系统自己跑。

如果你不想自己从零写 bot，也可以先用这个入口观察类似策略和高胜率钱包的实时操作：
https://t.co/zZRd9pX4Dg

真正的问题不是这套策略能不能跑一晚。

而是你有没有能力把一个有效的小 edge，变成可以持续执行的 workflow。

你觉得 Polymarket 5分钟市场，未来会被这类微套利 bot 吃干净吗？

[poorersob @poorersob]

@Xaint07 @justinsuntron https://t.co/YdGwxTWNi2

[BitTorrent @BitTorrent]

🔥 $BTT Total Supply exceeds $1.45M on #JustLendDAO.

Visit JustLend DAO: https://t.co/t7ErQpEkQq

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $88,000

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

A small step in helping to make America the Capital of Crypto, by giving access to the 3rd largest crypto.

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

AI will make you jobless.
Crypto will make you not need a job.

Buy and hold now, retire in a few years. 🙋‍♂️if crypto allowed you to retire already.

(Not financial advice)

[Chainlink @chainlink]

https://t.co/scrFShVF8G

[Monero (XMR) @monero]

Full-Chain Membership Proofs (FCMP++) and CARROT development is progressing well, with a new version of the alpha stressnet software released and the developers planning for beta stressnet and audits of the CARROT integration!

'Full-Chain Membership Proofs prove the output spent is one of any output on the chain, effectively removing all of these risks. This means every input goes from an immediate anonymity set of 16 to 100,000,000.'

[Forbes Crypto @ForbesCrypto]

Please be aware that there are individuals impersonating Forbes in direct messages on X. Note that these accounts are NOT LEGITIMATE. Any direct communication from the Forbes team will come exclusively from the
@Forbes, @ForbesCrypto, or @ForbesWeb3 accounts.

[Gate @Gate]

Building beyond borders. In 2025, every achievement was driven by our 47M+ users, valued partners, and a shared vision.

Growing today, evolving tomorrow, bridging innovation with real-world impact.

Gate is your Gateway to the Future.

[Binance Wallet @BinanceWallet]

Introducing 3 new AI-powered discovery tools on #Binance Wallet (Web).

🔸 Social Hype: discover tokens gaining social attention
🔸 Topic Rush: explore emerging narratives through AI-generated topics
🔸 AI Assistant: get instant AI summaries for any token

Building for a #SmarterOnchAIn experience.

Learn More 👉 https://t.co/xTKZ7VQrPJ

[MEXC @MEXC]

2025 wasn't just another year, it was a mission for MEXC.

From 0-fee to ∞ opportunities, one promise remains:
𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲. 𝐙𝐞𝐫𝐨-𝐅𝐞𝐞. 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐬𝐭.

👇 Watch the journey.

[Binance Academy @BinanceAcademy]

Smart trading starts with risk management.

Learn the basics 👇

[Baby Doge @BabyDoge]

There, I've connected the dots...

Is this how you do it?

[Uniswap @Uniswap]

UNIfication has officially been executed onchain

✓ Labs interface fees are set to zero

✓ 100M UNI has been burned from the treasury

✓ Fees are on for v2 and a set of v3 pools on mainnet

✓ Unichain fees flow to UNI burn (after OP & L1 data costs)

Let the burn begin

[KuCoin @kucoincom]

🌟 @zama ($ZAMA) Spotlight Token Auction is LIVE.

✅Receive a 5% ZAMA bonus on the final allocation.
✅Dual currency ($USDC & USDT)
✅Up to 10 simultaneous bids per user
✅No allocation Full refund
✅ZAMA token will be 100% distributed to the Trading Account

Enter now 👉 https://t.co/Hgoi352maW

#KuCoinSpotlight #Zama