Brian Whitmore

A blog about Russian politics by Atlantic Council Senior Fellow and UTA Adjunct Prof. Brian Whitmore. I block trolls & anybody else I find remotely annoying.

[Brian Whitmore @PowerVertical]

The newly launched @PowerVertical franchise is not only back, it now has a brand new website! https://t.co/g4rDa9AJxm

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

If he wins, this has to go down as one of the best political ads of all time.

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical) writes for the Shatterbelt Brief on what "root causes" really means, how the Kremlin is influencing Washington's position on Ukraine, and why the war will still be decided on the battlefield.

https://t.co/WJFZKU9oLp

[peacefare.net @DanielSerwer]

@PowerVertical has it right, briefly: https://t.co/yzHgQHpsJ9

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

A former border guard got 3 1/2 years for reporting Russian troop movements to a citizen-monitoring project.

He’s one of at least 419 Belarusians convicted for helping Ukraine — and none of them, Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical) notes in the Shatterbelt Brief, have been freed in Washington’s prisoner deals with Minsk.

https://t.co/l79DRaEnQH

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

The Eurasian Economic Union was supposed to be Moscow's answer to the EU — but it can barely hold on to its members and 80% of its trade happens outside of the bloc.

In this week's Shatterbelt Brief, Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical) traces how far the project has fallen.

🔗 https://t.co/4ge4oj3lGu

[Eurasia Center @ACEurasia]

🎧 LISTEN | Russian hybrid attacks, sabotage campaigns, and assassination plots against Europe have been steadily rising this year.

@PowerVertical hosts @mikercarpenter and @maxbergmann to discuss the Kremlin's intensifying gray zone aggression.

More ⬇️
https://t.co/pRjlDbQDjr

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

In his Shatterbelt Brief, Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical ) says the United States may have effectively switched sides, choosing Russia over Ukraine.

👉 Read the commentary on our website:
🔗 https://t.co/DSAZfV3hmX

[JBANC Baltics @JBANCchatter]

Commentary: Putin’s Plot — Why Europe is Preparing for the Worst https://t.co/4ECfijfSVM @PowerVertical

[Ia Meurmishvili @iameurmishvili]

The fear on NATO’s eastern flank is not abstract. @PowerVertical writes that the emerging consensus is that Putin is plotting something escalatory: a false-flag attack, a deniable drone strike, or a limited grab in eastern Estonia designed to test whether Article 5 still means anything.

[Ia Meurmishvili @iameurmishvili]

Is it a Kremlin psyop? @PowerVertical's Whitemore gives three reasons to treat the threat as real.

[Ia Meurmishvili @iameurmishvili]

Whitmore’s closer: In “The Boy Who Cried Wolf,” the wolf does eventually come for the flock. Read the full @indavemedia's Shatterbelt Brief by @PowerVertical https://t.co/iz6H4CKxIy

[Eurasia Center @ACEurasia]

🗓️ OCTOBER 7 @ 1:00 pm ET | Report launch: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?

@PowerVertical moderates an expert panel discussion launching our new #RussiaTomorrow report by @AgniaGrigas.

Register to attend ⤵️
https://t.co/QzY7Im85Bn

[Eurasia Center @ACEurasia]

🗓️ WEDNESDAY @ 1:00 pm ET | Report launch: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?

@PowerVertical moderates an expert panel discussion launching our new #RussiaTomorrow report by @AgniaGrigas.

Register to attend ⤵️
https://t.co/QzY7Im85Bn

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

Russia’s threats against Europe are escalating quickly — from warnings aimed at Lithuania to nuclear saber-rattling over Kaliningrad. Is Moscow manufacturing new pretexts for aggression?

Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical) examines the warning signs in this week’s Shatterbelt Brief.

🔗 https://t.co/2dVVfK5vZn

[Brian Whitmore @PowerVertical]

A consensus appears to be emerging in Europe that Russia is plotting something big to test NATO's resolve. In this week's the Shatterbelt Brief, my column for @indavemedia, I take a closer look.
https://t.co/34K0rB6bID

[Brian Whitmore @PowerVertical]

This has become quite timely in light of recent developments. Looking forward to this discussion

[Eurasia Center @ACEurasia]

🗓️ OCTOBER 7 @ 1:00 pm ET | Report launch: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?

@PowerVertical moderates an expert panel discussion launching our new #RussiaTomorrow report by
@AgniaGrigas.

Register to attend ⤵️
https://t.co/QzY7Im85Bn

[Brian Whitmore @PowerVertical]

Always worth listening to @MBielieskov

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

Mykola Bielieskov (@MBielieskov) , a research fellow at Ukraine’s National Institute for Strategic Studies and senior analyst at Come Back Alive, fears Russia could exploit Ukrainians’ war trauma and disappointment with Western partners.

He warns that a political “third way” — neither openly pro-Russian nor pro-Western — could become a vehicle for manipulation, citing Georgia as a troubling comparison.

👉 Watch the full interview on YouTube.
🔗 https://t.co/pMTSDziYla

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

Mykola Bielieskov (@MBielieskov) , a research fellow at Ukraine’s National Institute for Strategic Studies and senior analyst at Come Back Alive, fears Russia could exploit Ukrainians’ war trauma and disappointment with Western partners.

He warns that a political “third way” — neither openly pro-Russian nor pro-Western — could become a vehicle for manipulation, citing Georgia as a troubling comparison.

👉 Watch the full interview on YouTube.
🔗 https://t.co/pMTSDziYla

[Independence Avenue Media @indavemedia]

🔹 Lithuania is preparing evacuation routes, Germany is readying hospitals for potential armed conflict, and France is strengthening protection of critical infrastructure.

In the Shatterbelt Brief, Brian Whitmore (@PowerVertical) says the threat of Russian escalation in Europe is real — and Putin may see a window of opportunity to splinter NATO and the European Union.

🔗 Read the commentary
https://t.co/ZbJQSUkwhO

[Eurasia Center @ACEurasia]

🗓️ OCTOBER 7 @ 1:00 pm ET | Report launch: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?

@PowerVertical moderates an expert panel discussion launching our new #RussiaTomorrow report by
@AgniaGrigas.

Register to attend ⤵️
https://t.co/QzY7Im85Bn