Praesagium Quant

Systematic market models. Real OOS experiment. Public results, no delete failures. No handsight.

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

🔬 Welcome to Praesagium Quant

💻We build, observe and test systematic market models.

🔎Not to prove that they work.
To find out whether they do.

📊 Every experiment leaves a record.
Every failure counts.
Every result stays.

➡️Models make predictions. Markets deliver evidence

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #57 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 17/9 09:00
Entry: 52215
🕒 Model time: 21/9 09:00
Exit: 51650

🏁Result: +565 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

ORIGINAL
• Net P/L: -75 pts
• Win Rate: 57.1% (4W / 3L)
• Profit Factor: 0.90
• Avg Win: +166 pts
• Avg Loss: -247 pts
• Trades taken: 7/7

REVISED
• Net P/L: -115 pts
• Win Rate: 60% (3W / 2L)
• Profit Factor: 0.80
• Avg Win: +157 pts
• Avg Loss: -293 pts

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

🚨 EXPERIMENT #001 UPDATE – FTSE MIB (minimib - sep)

🏟Original vs Revised: who’s winning the live OOS challenge?

📠After 7 publicly closed trades (#47 to #53), here are the raw metrics — no filters, no deleted losses.

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #54 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 10/9 09:00
Entry: 52030
🕒 Model time: 14/9 10:00
Exit: 52210

🏁Result: -150 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

🧙‍♂️Revised was more wise again..

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #56 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 16/9 13:00
Entry: 51965
🕒 Model time: 16/9 21:00
Exit: 51845

🏁Result: +120 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

🔮MINIFIB - SEP26

Trade #57

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 52215

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 17/09 - 09:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #56 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 16/9 13:00
Entry: 51965
🕒 Model time: 16/9 21:00
Exit: 51845

🏁Result: +120 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

🔮MINIFIB - SEP26

Trade #56

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51965

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 13:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

🔮MINIFIB - SEP26

Trade #56

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51965

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 13:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #55 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 16/9 10:00
Entry: 51890
🕒 Model time: 16/9 12:00
Exit: 51810

🏁Result: +80 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

🔮MINIFIB - SEP26

Trade #56

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51965

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 13:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #55

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51890

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 10:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #55 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 16/9 10:00
Entry: 51890
🕒 Model time: 16/9 12:00
Exit: 51810

🏁Result: +80 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #55

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51890

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 10:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #55

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 51890

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 16/09 - 10:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Andrea Stroppa 🐺 Claudius Nero's Legion 🐺 @andst7]

L’AI dovrebbero temerla più di tutti i burocrati. In effetti, come dice Elon, lo sviluppo dell’AI rende difficile nascondere le malefatte. Già oggi l’AI può individuare autonomamente sprechi, operazioni sospette ed errori nel bilancio pubblico dello Stato. @GiorgiaMeloni, perché non fai fare all’AI un audit di tutte le spese dello Stato e vediamo cosa esce fuori? Siamo sicuri che non ci siano risorse e che la coperta sia sempre “corta”?

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📊 PQ RESULT | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #54 — CLOSED

ORIGINAL SHORT

🕒 Model time: 10/9 09:00
Entry: 52030
🕒 Model time: 14/9 10:00
Exit: 52210

🏁Result: -150 pts

REVISED FLAT

🕒 Model time: -
Entry: -
🕒 Model time: -
Exit: -

🏁Result: -

🧙‍♂️Revised was more wise again..

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

📡 PQ SIGNAL | FTSE MIB 🇮🇹

Trade #54

**ORIGINAL** → SHORT
Entry: 52060

**REVISED** → FLAT
Entry: -

🕒 Model time: 11/09 - 09:00

📍 Status: **ACTIVE**

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

@QuantifiedStrat Maybe you could try using MACD in another AND condition.

The strategy seems to print nice returns, it could be interesting view other metrics.

[Davidd Tech @DaviddDotTech]

GPT-6 built me 184 trading strategies in 8 hours.

Here's how you can run the same:

Step 1: Get ChatGPT desktop

Download it at https://t.co/NsTGDlQxET, open the Work tab and select GPT-6 Astra on High Thinking.

The Work tab gives you the full model plus access to your computer and schedules, and sessions last much longer.

Step 2: Give it a backtesting engine

Free account at https://t.co/K0aSTn63jR, click My Account, copy the line of code.

Paste it into ChatGPT and say "hey there buddy, could you install this MCP server globally, I want to use it in ChatGPT Work".

It'll ask for your activation key, copy that from the same page and paste it in.

Step 3: Check the connection

"Could you backtest a very simple trading strategy on BTCUSDT for me".

Stats come back with commission included, you're connected.

Step 4: Set the 8 hour sprint

Both prompts are free at https://t.co/rYakJskLKi.

Paste the first, it onboards ChatGPT and explains the job, then paste the second to set the loop running and accept when it asks.

It builds strategies one by one and logs everything to a mission control dashboard.

Step 5: Come back and check the board

Mine built 184 strategies, some flat, some losing, the best ones genuinely good.

Green is the backtest, pink is forward testing, every profitable strategy keeps running daily on live data.

Step 6: Verify the best one on TradingView

Download the Pine Script from mission control, open it in a text editor, copy it.

On https://t.co/dxyXEXzBn5 click the Pine Editor icon, paste, save, add to chart.

Mine came back at:

695 trades.
1.35 profit factor.

And +3,130% against a buy and hold that made almost nothing.

Step 7: Automate it

Connect your broker through https://t.co/gCY0tzYsUC, free, your API keys stay off their servers.

On TradingView add an alert, set fill orders only, paste https://t.co/gCY0tzYsUC's message and webhook URL, apply.

Entry, stop loss and take profit all fire on your broker automatically.

I'll be honest, that strategy's max drawdown was too high for me, and 8 hours of backtests is not a trading system.

Leave them in forward testing for 3 months before you decide your winning strategies.

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

@QuantifiedStrat Nice one. Could you post other metrics? Sharpe, sortino, max DD...

[Steve Burns @SJosephBurns]

Quant Trading 101:

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

The game is still very long though.

♨️Trade #54 still ACTIVE (Original SHORT / Revised FLAT).

Full transparency. Zero hindsight. Only public data.

▶️Follow @PraesagiumQuant
for the next real-time update.

#FTSEMIB #QuantTrading #SystematicTrading #OOS #PraesagiumQuant

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

🚨 EXPERIMENT #001 UPDATE – FTSE MIB (minimib - sep)

🏟Original vs Revised: who’s winning the live OOS challenge?

📠After 7 publicly closed trades (#47 to #53), here are the raw metrics — no filters, no deleted losses.

[Praesagium Quant @PraesagiumQuant]

• Trades taken: 5/7 (2 strategic flats)🔥

Revised skillfully avoided the -155 pts loss on trade #51…
but also missed the +195 pts winner on #53.Right now Original is slightly ahead on net P/L.