@ankit_investing Are mere bhai wo 1980 tha....
Tab situation alag thii tab silver 1.50$ se 50$ tak gya....
1971 to 1980 ... 10 years bull run chala tha...
Tab industrial demand nhi thii....
Tab logo ko fiat currency ka matalab pata nahi tha...
Tab etf and ज्वेलरी mai buying nhi aa rahi thi
@AshishGupta325@MCXIndialtd@MCXIndialtd so raha haii..... or mcx ka share bhag raha hai salo ko akal hi nhi hai... silver future @ 330000 and last ce options available 320000 and last pe option 150000 pe
@MCXIndialtd Silver and silverm option chain there is no otm options available..... this problem was last 6 months
Silver intraday move now days 25000 to 30000 point...
Yesterday silver was 252000 nd last ce option open for trade 250000.... ..so pls open ce... atm to 50000 far otm...
@MCXIndialtd Silver and silverm option chain there is no otm options available..... this problem was last 6 months
Silver intraday move now days 25000 to 30000 point...
Yesterday silver was 252000 nd last ce option open for trade 250000.... ..so pls open ce... atm to 50000 far otm...
@MCXIndialtd Silver and silverm option chain there is no otm options available..... this problem was last 6 months
Silver intraday move now days 25000 to 30000 point...
Yesterday silver was 252000 nd last ce option open for trade 250000.... ..so pls open ce... atm to 50000 far otm...
@RajeshJain0609 Dnt pay emi....
And
Focus on
Hard work...job business..
And live simple life for few years
Back to normal soon....
And dont back to this black stock market world....
1/ Selling “penny puts” in the $SPX complex has become commonplace in today’s markets, it’s essentially now a socially acceptable practice amongst portfolio managers. This is the story of James Cordier from Optionsellers, a fund that blew up and the infamous $150M margin call.
4/ This exact philosophy of high leverage trades is what’s going to cause the ultimate blowup of his fund, but how did it happen?
In the fall of 2018, the BLS reported that Natural Gas storage supply hit a 16 year low. Fast forward to November 14th, 2018 and warnings of a cold front spiked natural gas futures by 18% to a 4 year high on that day, as shown in the chart below. The optionsellers fund was short calls in very large quantities. This ultimately led to a snowball effect of those short calls needing to be covered, or in other words, his broker decided the position had more unrealized loss than what was in the account balance, leading to a margin call. When James didn’t post collateral for the margin call, his broker liquidated his positions, leading to a $150 Million realized loss. Not only did everybody lose 100% of their investment, they were also hit with margin debt calls equal to about a third of their investment.
Unfortunately, a Twitter user (who I won't out) had $400,000 invested with James, and between November 8th- November 15th, that $400K amounted to over a $1,000,000 loss. The user made a spreadsheet with the exact positions which I’ll leave a link to in the sources. Most of the short calls 5-10x in value within a single trading day!
You can see from the picture below that the short call positions never really went or actually expired in-the-money despite the Nat Gas spike. This technically means that James Cordier was correct in his prediction, but how did he manage to blow up his fund to the tune of $150M in losses?
7/ In the equity derivative world, puts are more expensive than calls because of what’s known as skew. The risk is always that stocks will crash but the most likely move is higher, so option prices reflect this. You might have heard the saying “Up like an escalator, down like an elevator.” While this is true in equities, the opposite is seen in commodity derivatives. For example, look at the chart below which shows Nat Gas futures dating back to 2001. The major spikes you see are “crashes upward.” So, call prices reflect this reality.
The calls that James sold have a positive spot/vol correlation which means that as the spot price rises, so does the volatility of the underlying. You can think of this as the option Greek Vega. Remember from tweet 5/ that if you’re short Vega and volatility rises, you lose value. It’s important to drill home this concept because it’s the real reason why his short call position blew up despite the calls never expiring in the money.
As the spot price of Nat Gas went on an 18% tear, the implied volatility went higher on the calls, therefore the delta increased, which priced in a higher likelihood of those short calls expiring in the money. Likelihood is the keyword there. If your broker sees that you're short all these calls and they "could" finish in the money and your account can’t support the exercise cost, that’s when they issue the margin collateral requirement.
All of this is to better explain that the option Greeks is the reason why his position got absolutely pummeled like a steamroller.
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