PredictableShow

Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

TONIGHT on Predictable w/ Stu:

Mary Peltola’s campaign faces election interference allegations following new reporting from The New York Times, just days before Alaska’s Senate election.

@StuDoesAmerica breaks down the latest reporting and examines the prediction market odds in Alaska’s Senate race.

Plus, @keendawg from @EventualNews joins the show to discuss midterm trading strategies! https://t.co/q6x3RTi5Xp

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

Full episode here! https://t.co/4vIqFUSVDf

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica breaks down allegations that people connected to Mary Peltola's campaign searched phone books and online listings for other individuals named Dan Sullivan, reportedly offering them financial backing and other incentives to enter the race.

[Stu Burguiere @StuDoesAmerica]

Only a couple of days left to enter your Senate Fantasy League team. Entry is free, with $2,500 for first place and prizes for the top 100. https://t.co/t8qV4ulk12

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

A localized ceasefire allowed a humanitarian mission to enter Russian-occupied Oleshky, Ukraine, on Friday. A convoy of buses, ambulances and aid vehicles was set to bring food and medicine and help residents who want to leave; about 2,000 people remain in the city. The White House says Melania Trump helped broker the truce, while Pope Leo XIV had also urged Russia and Ukraine to allow aid and evacuations. Fighting continued elsewhere, so the pause is limited to the area around Oleshky.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

Binance says a security incident had an estimated $6.3 billion impact after unauthorized withdrawals were made from its wallets. Blockchain analysis firms TRM Labs and Chainalysis attribute the attack to TraderTraitor, a North Korean hacking group, though Binance says it has not confirmed who was responsible. About $3 billion in affected assets have been frozen, and Binance says it will cover user losses. The exchange temporarily suspended withdrawals while it investigates.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

An August clip shows Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola saying, “It should be a criminal offense to lie or mislead the electorate,” during a discussion of a Welsh law on deliberately misleading voters. The National Republican Senatorial Committee recirculated the clip after The New York Times reported that people connected to Peltola’s campaign allegedly helped recruit another candidate named Dan Sullivan, potentially splitting votes from Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan. Peltola has denied knowing about the effort, which remains under investigation. On Polymarket, Peltola is around 71% to win and Sen. Sullivan around 29%, with roughly $2.1 million in volume.

[Stu Burguiere @StuDoesAmerica]

Going live now to discuss the midterms. https://t.co/773cpMk0AW

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

LIVE NOW: @StuDoesAmerica is going LIVE to break down his midterm picks, the races he’s watching most closely, and where he sees value heading into Election Day.

Link: https://t.co/Ty7gIUSk4P

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

One of the biggest editions of Stu’s Picks is officially LIVE!

Just days before the midterms, @StuDoesAmerica breaks down the key races, the latest odds, and where he sees value heading into Election Day.

Check out his latest picks now! https://t.co/hJmVm9VPSU

[Stu Burguiere @StuDoesAmerica]

Growing fast! Get in the game for free!

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

TONIGHT on Predictable w/ Stu:

Mary Peltola’s campaign faces election interference allegations following new reporting from The New York Times, just days before Alaska’s Senate election.

@StuDoesAmerica breaks down the latest reporting and examines the prediction market odds in Alaska’s Senate race.

Plus, @keendawg from @EventualNews joins the show to discuss midterm trading strategies! https://t.co/q6x3RTi5Xp

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

The latest Candidate Countdown takes us to Nebraska.

@StuDoesAmerica explains why he’s backing Republican Gov. Jim Pillen and breaks down the prediction market odds.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

On another edition of Candidate Countdown, we head to Oklahoma.

@StuDoesAmerica explains why he’s backing Republican Mike Mazzei for governor and examines the prediction market odds.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

WATCH: @keendawg from @EventualNews explains why he believes prediction markets benefit society.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

REMINDER: Election Day is almost here, and there’s still time to enter the Senate Fantasy League!

Make your picks on the biggest Senate races ahead of the midterms for a chance to win cash prizes.

Free to enter. Don’t miss out! https://t.co/xXdqCXjrbM

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

@PolymarketTrade Good on you for making traders whole with no claims or tickets needed. Now the postmortem will be the interesting read.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

REMINDER: Election Day is almost here, and there’s still time to enter the Senate Fantasy League!

Make your picks on the biggest Senate races ahead of the midterms for a chance to win cash prizes.

Free to enter. Don’t miss out! https://t.co/xXdqCXjrbM

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

NEW: President Trump has rescheduled previously canceled rallies in Iowa and Kansas, with back-to-back appearances now planned for Sunday, just two days before the midterms, per the AP.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

@Kalshi 15 million jobs is a headline built to scare. Traders will price the timeline, not the headline.

[PredictableShow @PredictableShow]

@Polymarket Intel down 29 percent at the open is not a drift, that is a repricing. The question is what the market knew before the bell.