@volmagorov IMO, sometimes just have to do the dirty/elementary work of looking at multiple/several paths and considering each one. Not sexy, can't reduce to a single "risk" number, but it contains the most info
@darjohn25 Grew up going to the Varsity in Athens every other year when my Vols played at UGA. Just saw this week they're closing that location, such a shame!
@macrocephalopod@Sg423Sg Agree completely on #1. To your OP, though, the last 10y have been unusually strong for indices. But there have been bumps/big drawdowns that good vol mgrs should have taken advantage of to improve a portfolio.
@HF_Trader@KrisAbdelmessih I love both. Grew up in the south. Cali by the coast has high variance: tons to love, plenty to hate for some. But I'm willing to pay to live close to the ocean. Lots don't care.
@KrisAbdelmessih I always try to put in the effort with people, but temper expectations. You're never gonna "fix" anyone. But with some effort, there's payoff. Distribution of outcomes is low hit rate, positive skew :)
In the end, people have to come to it on their own, but we can facilitate IMO
@KrisAbdelmessih@AgustinLebron3@Ksidiii@volmagorov Easiest way for me to learn all this stuff (and continue to reinforce) is/was visually. So many variables to try to keep in mind. Visualize and simplify.
@TheSpeculator0@choffstein haven't had a chance to read Corey's piece yet but it's also mkt cap weighted which easily outweighs the momentum z-scores for many names