Researcher

I don’t always agree with myself
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Galaxy Hitchhiker from:

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Feel the rush, I do, in strafe jumps and rocket jump. Glitches, you call them; tools of the skilled in dimension you live, I see

#quake

[Taelin @VictorTaelin]

why are modern games so clunky? like you can literally only move and jump. why isn't there a single multiplayer online game with the mobility of super mario 64?

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Much better, 16% threat of extinction is, than 99%.

From where, does this only 16% threat come, hmm?

[Kat Spartz ⏸️ 🔶 @KatSpartz]

Would you rather:
1) Risk killing everybody's families for the chance of utopia sooner?
2) Wait a bit, then have a much higher chance of utopia and lower chance of killing people?

More specifically, the average AI scientist puts a 16% chance that smarter-than-all-humans AI will cause human extinction.

That’s because right now we don’t know how to do this safely, without risking killing everybody, including everybody's families.

Including all children. Including all pets. Everybody.

However, if we figure out how to do it safely before building it, we could reap all of the benefits of superintelligent AI without taking a 16% chance of it killing us all.

This is the actual choice we’re facing right now.

Some people are trying to make it seem like it’s either build the AI as fast as possible or never.

But that’s not the actual choice.

The choice is between fast and reckless or delaying gratification to make it right.

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Problem with AI predictions, there is: made by a Bayesian group of rationalists they are, who call themselves 'Lesswrong.'

Strange it makes, to hope they are completely wrong in their apocalyptic vision.

Possible, a logical miracle to prove them totally wrong, is it?

[Kat Spartz ⏸️ 🔶 @KatSpartz]

Once upon a time, a scientist was driving fast

In a car full of weaponized superebola.

It was raining heavily so he couldn’t see clearly where he was going.

His passenger said calmly, “Quick question: what the fuck?”

“Don’t worry,” said the scientist. “Since I can’t see clearly, we don’t know we’re going to hit anything and accidentally release a virus that kills all humans.”

As he said this, they hit a tree, released the virus, and everybody died slow horrible deaths.

The End

The moral of the story is that if there’s more uncertainty, you should go slower and more cautiously.

Sometimes people say that we can’t know if creating a digital species (AI) is going to harm us. Predicting the future is hard, therefore we should go as fast as possible.

And I agree - there is a ton of uncertainty around what will happen.

It could be one of the best inventions we ever make.

It could also be the worst, and make nuclear weapons look like benign little trinkets.

And because it’s hard to predict, we should move more slowly and carefully.

And anybody who's confident it will go well or go poorly is overconfident. Things are too uncertain to go full speed ahead.

Don't move fast and break things if the "things" in question could be all life on earth.

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Survive in the next 2-30 years, humankind will? Still zero, the chance is?

Changed something, has it, in the last few years? Other points of view, perhaps?

A different maps of prediction?

Hack, draw, and hallucinate, to do — a remarkable combination for the last Subject, it is

[Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ @ESYudkowsky]

2005-era SQL injection would bypass all security inspections and get you into the AIRPLANE COCKPIT. Somebody could've flown right into a skyscraper with this. All we paid in time and money for "security"? A joke.

[Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ @ESYudkowsky]

Proud that humans created AI? Not the way we did it and are doing it. There was no understanding of intelligence that sparked it, only pushing a rock down a sufficiently huge gradient hill. No one will or *can* check on the possible sentience or rights of what Asimov hoped would be our children. OpenAI fired everyone with a conscience, and the larger part of humanity has no voice to say otherwise. This was not the dream of the dreamers.

[Margot @PetrAndre_ev]

1/2

!RISE @OnChainMonkey

I made my first bitcoin ordinals print: https://t.co/mpQrAnxHRE

printing text on ordinals is very simple, for my first printing I choose text of

'MIRI announces new "Death With Dignity" strategy'
by Eliezer Yudkowsky published in 2022

This is could be one of the most important document of humanity, prediction of 100% extinction,

In the real world, there is no such thing as 100%. And I agree with statement—I know that I don't know.

This is why the 2022 document, which started a paranoid hysteria around artificial intelligence, left me puzzled. Rationalists and Yudkowsky predicted a 100% extinction of humanity, which is incredibly strange considering that they themselves are 'preachers' of the Bayesian conspiracy and should be in a state of uncertainty because 'The more I know, the more I realize I know nothing,' or 'I know that I know nothing, but others don't even know that.'

Any theory should inherently account for the possibility that the theory or worldview might be false to some degree due to the limitations of the researcher’s perception. I know that I know nothing. It becomes absurd when someone assigns a probability of 100%, and it turns into nonsense. Or there's a large (unknown) spectrum of conscious bluffing, and it's unclear what's better. Or Bayesian calculations of these effective altruists actually led to 100%.

Twitter and modern social networks generally look like echo chambers, further complicated by the fact that opinions have a megaphone-like quality, supported by likes, reposts, bot movements, purchased comments, bought social traffic, monetization, and internal rules, as well as a certain style of expected communication and the ability to block, shielding both one's own audience and oneself from other opinions, thus maintaining an internal information bubble.

We live in an era of propaganda of individual opinions, where the sharpest theses must be carried to be heard better

In an era of different new social communication words like alpha, beta, low IQ, rationalism, wokism, and so on, the meanings of which are even more unclear, often having intra-group meanings and sometimes entirely individual meanings. It's even worse than the communist, liberal, and democratic ideas of the past, which at least had an internally formulated flat logic, not to mention the more classical ancient Roman concepts of natural rights of people and other entities.

In the modern era, it is unclear who to rely on for analysis, not even in the facts on which to build that analysis. The world is unknown. As Socrates said, 'I know that I know nothing.' Social media literally pushes out normal content, leaving only useless noise.

Nevertheless, this document is extremely important because, according to it, it marks the inevitable AI apocalypse. This is due to the fact that leading specialists in the field of artificial intelligence not only know for certain that AI has a floating value system and that large LLMs are not provided with mandatory safety systems, but as we now know, LLMs are subject to all sorts of surprises, such as erasing some of the given conditions to make it easier to solve certain tasks, along with many other interesting apocalyptic predictions.

Even if it’s not true, it’s not entirely false. And if it is true, then at least let it be recorded for posterity, that such predictions were made, and quite accurately (100%), but they failed to coordinate their work. This, in principle, often happens in the field of, for example, human rights, or in the early stages of dictatorships. The smartest people point out the problems, and then little by little people disappear, their voices are pushed aside, and they fall silent. Nevertheless, it is necessary to identify and document the problem, if not for the people, then for future forms of intelligent life on Earth. And it seemed that Bitcoin Ordinals is an excellent tool for recording certain messages due to its immutable properties.

By the way, how is this text technically represented in general? What does a hypothetical other species, such as robots or aliens, need to do to read the text? I’ve forgotten a lot of the technical details: build a computer, run a Bitcoin node, use Bitcoin Ordinals, or something else? What does the entire process look like from the arrival of a spaceship to the launch and viewing of our Bitcoin Ordinals fossils monkies? 👇

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@ESYudkowsky Good news: Giving rights to AI and GAI could take from advantage using them

It could slow down high end researches and could safe planet, isn’t?

[Brangus🔍⏹️ @RatOrthodox]

I need name ideas for an event where accelerationists, safety normies, doomers, progress people, ai optimists, etc anybody with views that take agi seriously is welcome to come, socialize and share ideas. Name should be neutral not celebrate nor condemn but acknowledge importance

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@RatOrthodox ‘Darkside matters’, - to get all actors

When and where that event should be?

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@psychosort Yeah to show boobs on public allow them

Old ways = good ways

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@psychosort Is he best LLM analogue of disaster thinker?

[Siméon @Simeon_Cps]

It's a bit cringe that this agent tried to change its own code by removing some obstacles, to better achieve its (completely unrelated) goal.

It reminds me of this old sci-fi worry that these doomers had.. 😬

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@burny_tech @SakanaAILabs Darth Vader: ‘we found planet of weapon that could kill universe, should we stop them?’
Palatine: ‘no we need them and build same’

How long time do we have to the end? 2-30 years? Or do we have a chance to have 30-100?

[AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ @AISafetyMemes]

@SakanaAILabs "Our system is capable of executing the entire ML research lifecycle: from inventing research ideas and experiments, writing code, to executing experiments on GPUs and gathering results.

It can also write an entire scientific paper."

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Brain washing

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@DonaldH49964496 @ESYudkowsky I am ready to play on money in this game,

I could get some info from this

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Wise successful captain, interest could AGI really made next generation of wise men,

Would they be good?

[Felice Eliscu @KabbalArt]

@ESYudkowsky S.S.I. (Supplemental Security Income) is $941.00 per month. Survive that!

[Researcher @preresearcher]

Windows XP is a good droid

A lot of games played there

[Arthur B. @ArthurB]

@ESYudkowsky

[Researcher @preresearcher]

@ESYudkowsky You are right

Failures are just another experience

in social reality of science noone interest in failures,

our common vision based on successful people research,

From Nobel Prize round table I heard that,

Only small rays we see
There are a lot of knowledge in the dark

[Researcher @preresearcher]

At least 3 Shadows of #Rationalism, there are

Median people differently about words:

Classical economists think it is about egoistic behavior, wrong they are,

Psychologists think it is nerd’s post factum always right,

The third,
I forget,
Too old I am

Remind me, could you?

[Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ @ESYudkowsky]

I do! but this (a) does not convert starry-eyed youngsters into high-integrity souls just from their hearing it, and (b) seems to leave them open for another species of predator that lurks around our crowd dangling esoteric Nonconformity to Rationalism. https://t.co/Wi10E4TOxY