A. B.

Entrepreneur. Curious, observant and imaginative. Learning every day. Trading/Broking/Sales - did it all. Not financial advise, just thinking out loud.

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

Sp500 7462
Nq100 29680
Nikkei 65860

Day after turn dead cat bounce now

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

Demark 13th?

Sp500 7369
Nq100 28592
Nikkei 62077

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

First reaction down :

So far:

Sp500 7419
Nq100 29145
Nikkei 64710

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@dampedspring @JaredKubin Those are 1st day post IPO close expectations by retail and live market to trade on IG index.

(Just felt it to short Anthropic at 1.97 trillion cap)

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@Vivek4real_ Anthropic secondary liquid valuation is north of $1.2t.

You are using wrong data

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The S&P 500 is at an all-time high while Consumer Sentiment is at an all-time low.

We've never seen a gap this wide between Wall Street and Main Street.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Investors have never used this much leverage:

US margin debt surged +$83 billion in April, to a record $1.3 trillion.

Over the last 12 months, margin debt has risen +$453 billion, or +53%.

As a result, margin debt is up to a record 5.2% of US GDP.

This is ~3 percentage points above both the pre-2008 Financial Crisis level and well above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak.

Market leverage is through the roof.

[Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat]

A 20% gain in the S&P 500 tech sector in four weeks has happened only three times in 100 years.

1929. 2000. 2026.

The first two times ended badly.

The third just happened.

The market is a great teacher. It just charges very high tuition for the same lesson.

[Will Meade @thechartdr]

Demark 13 top signal in the Nasdaq 100 futures

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

S&P futs new record high, and yes: with 350 S&P names down, we may see the narrowest breadth record high today in history

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@dampedspring @vulturetrades just called “much higher”

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

Sp500 7414
Nq100 29223
Nikkei 63067

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

Sp500 7415
Nq100 29296
Nikkei 62753

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@dampedspring Buffett’s market-cap-to-GDP indicator is at all-time highs at 225%, way above the 2000 peak - so when you wave off the comparison by cherry-picking single-stock multiples, you’re arguing the air at the top of the mountain is thinner than the air higher up the same mountain

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@verniman S&P closed 7.7% > its 50-dma Friday, but only 52% of components were above their own 50-day. In 30 y that breadth divergence has never happened when the index is this stretched. Friday was also only the third time since 90 the S&P hit a new ath with more new lows than new highs

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@MasterPandaWu S&P closed 7.7% > its 50-dma Friday, but only 52% of components were above their own 50-day. In 30 y that breadth divergence has never happened when the index is this stretched. Friday was also only the third time since 90 the S&P hit a new ath with more new lows than new highs

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

S&P closed 7.7% > its 50-dma Friday, but only 52% of components were above their own 50-day. In 30 y that breadth divergence has never happened when the index is this stretched. Friday was also only the third time since 90 the S&P hit a new ath with more new lows than new highs

[A. B. @prometheusAB]

@JesseCohenInv You miss the major point; total cap vs GDP.