Prosper

Ex-hedge fund PM | Founder of TradeTonic — A Macro + Quant research tool for serious options traders that are tired of retail-grade platforms.

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

I ran a hedge fund.

Most serious retail options traders are playing a different game than they think.

They’re not losing because they can’t find setups. They’re losing because they lack the institutional decision stack — regime context, quant validation, and a proper way to test ideas before size.

That’s why I built TradeTonic.

It’s not another scanner or alert service. It’s a focused research platform with:

• Live Macro Regime classification (7 regimes that act as a hard gate before any trade)
• Quant Lab with auditable models (IV/RV, dealer gamma, vol surfaces)
• Thesis-driven ideas with explicit invalidation and POP bands
• Professional paper trading that forces discipline instead of gambling

No execution. No broker bullshit. Just the research layer serious traders are missing.

I’m building this in public as a solo founder who actually traded institutional capital.

If you’re tired of retail tools and want higher-conviction research, follow along.

https://t.co/BkqqklvrTg

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

@ultCLEsports @SandoNFL The old media is outdated and dying. @Gbush91 is the media in Cleveland now. I bet you their ratings are horrible

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

@GrantCardone @XMoney My @XMoney card came in the mail this week!

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

I am pleased to announce the launch of @TradeTonic_app!

TradeTonic is an institutional-grade options research and quant platform built for serious traders.

We combine: • Macro regime classification • Thesis-driven Top Plays with clear invalidation • Quant Lab (IV/RV, GEX, Stat Arb, Delta Neutral) • Proper paper trading with real structure-level P&L.

The vision is simple: bring the research process used at the professional desk into a focused, high-integrity platform — without the noise, the scanners, or the hype.

Most retail tools optimize for activity. We optimize for conviction, structure, and process.

This is just the beginning. We’re building in public with serious traders who want better research infrastructure.
https://t.co/BkqqkluU3I

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@zerohedge I try to warn them, but they just double down … 🤷‍♂️

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

New Bull Call Spread on NVDA | $900 profit potential

Just opened a new Bull Call spread on NVDA

Long Aug 21 205 Call @ $8.57
Short Aug 21 220 Call @ $2.65
Net debit: $5.92

I researched the idea using https://t.co/ZZr9JdlRYI

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@stevenmarkryan Few understand

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Just made my first purchase using @XMoney so cool!

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

@XMoney Nice!!

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

In this video I walk through my full process for evaluating and selecting a new options trade.

I start with the current macro regime (we’ve shifted from stagflation into a reflation late-cycle environment heading into FOMC), review the existing Meta/Nvidia pair trades, and then build a high-conviction NVDA bear put spread for the August 21 cycle.

Trade details covered:
Buy 200 put / Sell 190 put
Net debit $4.32
Approx. 55% probability of profit
Risk/reward ~1.3 to 1

I also show how the trade fits into the paper trading workflow.

Timestamps:
00:00 Intro and trading plan
03:18 Pair trades update
05:02 Strategy types for this regime
06:59 NVDA trade setup
14:31 Paper trading workflow and conclusion

#OptionsTrading #NVDA #Nvidia #OptionsStrategies #PutSpread #StockTrading #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #Options

[Ansem 🐂🀄️ @blknoiz06]

there's a million dollars in your computer you just have to press the right buttons to get it out

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

(Former) Trillionaire

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Meta earnings are next week — and I just put on a $5,961 credit short straddle.

In this video, I break down the full setup using TradeTonic’s volatility framework and macro regime analysis.

Details:
- Short straddle centered on the 630 strike (sell 630 call + 630 put)
- Taking advantage of elevated IV (36.5% vs 22% realized)
- Morningstar fair value $850 vs current price ~$630
- Historical big moves on Meta earnings

I explain the thesis, risk management, and why this fits the current regime.

Timestamps:
00:00 Welcome and context
01:59 Morningstar fair value summary
05:18 Price range and chart view
07:27 Earnings volatility trade ideas
15:55 Final trade selection and paper trade

If you trade options around earnings, this is a real example of how I approach high-IV setups.

Join the controlled beta (opens August 1st):
https://t.co/103uI511ZX

#MetaEarnings #META #OptionsTrading #ShortStraddle #VolatilityTrading

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Their next step is to agree that there are large numbers of illegals voting (or usually getting harvested by Dem operatives who pick up their ballots and fill them out) and that it is a good thing and anyone who opposes it is racist

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

@FootbaIIism He was the cheat code in Madden 😩

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Looking at a defined-risk way to play Tesla higher into earnings.

Long: Jul 24 380 call
Short: Jul 400 call for a net debit of $4.66 ($466).

Breakeven sits around 384.66. Max loss is the $466 debit. Max gain is about $1,534 if it pushes through 400.

Not trying to be a hero here. Just a small, defined-risk long bias with the short call helping offset some of the premium. IV is still elevated so the debit isn’t cheap, but at least the risk is capped.

Only putting a small amount on it. Curious what others are doing into the print.

Not financial advice.

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Looking at a defined-risk way to play Tesla higher into earnings.

Long: Jul 24 380 call
Short: Jul 400 call for a net debit of $4.66 ($466).

Breakeven sits around 384.66. Max loss is the $466 debit. Max gain is about $1,534 if it pushes through 400.

Not trying to be a hero here. Just a small, defined-risk long bias with the short call helping offset some of the premium. IV is still elevated so the debit isn’t cheap, but at least the risk is capped.

Only putting a small amount on it. Curious what others are doing into the print.

Not financial advice.

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Tesla earnings are coming up fast. Here’s exactly how I’m thinking about a potential bullish setup using TradeTonic.

In this video, I break down a bull call spread on TSLA (buying the 380 call and selling the 400 call) along with a long strangle for volatility protection.

I walk through:
- Why I like the setup based on Morningstar’s $450 fair value estimate
- The full structure, probabilities, and risk/reward of the trades
- How I’m using macro regime and quant signals to evaluate the trade

Timestamps:
00:00 - Options and earnings
02:37 - Morningstar valuation and timing
04:39 - Bull call spread setup
07:08 - Paper trade placement
11:05 - Earnings week closing thoughts

If you trade options around earnings, this is a real example of how I approach it using TradeTonic.

Join the controlled beta (opens August 1st): https://t.co/103uI51zPv

#teslaearnings

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Tesla earnings are coming up fast. Here’s exactly how I’m thinking about a potential bullish setup using TradeTonic.

In this video, I break down a bull call spread on TSLA (buying the 380 call and selling the 400 call) along with a long strangle for volatility protection.

I walk through:
- Why I like the setup based on Morningstar’s $450 fair value estimate
- The full structure, probabilities, and risk/reward of the trades
- How I’m using macro regime and quant signals to evaluate the trade

Timestamps:
00:00 - Options and earnings
02:37 - Morningstar valuation and timing
04:39 - Bull call spread setup
07:08 - Paper trade placement
11:05 - Earnings week closing thoughts

If you trade options around earnings, this is a real example of how I approach it using TradeTonic.

Join the controlled beta (opens August 1st): https://t.co/103uI51zPv

#teslaearnings

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

@ItsKingSlime She needs her own show lol

[Prosper @prosperjohnikin]

Most traders would probably skip this JP Morgan setup. I didn’t.

In this video, I break down exactly why I took this zero-cost collar on JP Morgan using macro regime analysis — even though the current market regime is stagflation and volatility is elevated at 18.32.

I walk through how I used over 32 macro indicators to evaluate the trade, why it scored 77% favorable in TradeTonic’s top plays, and the exact structure I used (buying the $3.30 put and selling the $3.50 call for August 21st expiration).

I also share my profit target at $352 and the stop-out rules I’m using.

Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction and goal
01:41 - Reading the macro environment
04:08 - Choosing a trade opportunity
06:08 - How the trade is structured
07:56 - Trade rationale and signals
10:55 - Adding to paper portfolio

If you're interested in how macro regimes can influence options trading decisions, this is a real example of how I approach it.

Join the TradeTonic beta (launching August 1st):
https://t.co/103uI51zPv

#OptionsTrading #JPMorgan #MacroTrading #OptionsStrategy #tradeideas