paulo

markets. medtech

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild.

He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed.

When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them.

Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate.

The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions.

Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement.

The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean.

That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.

[John Arnold @johnarnold]

The Atlantic has a sobering, first-person look at the ramifications of legalized online sports betting. Here are a few of the more telling passages.
1/5

[Jon Finger @mrjonfinger]

Testing out @HeyGen_Official translation on French and German. I don’t speak either language so let me know if it sounds natural if you do.
I hope if you pay you can turn off the color correction.
It didn’t work on my phone so I had to upload on my pc.
https://t.co/FMJp9sJEBI

[paulo @ps_iii]

Bucket list. https://t.co/efAQiOamqW

[Dr. Nicole LePera @Theholisticpsyc]

Dad,

Today is a reminder of how you're not here anymore. I wish I could pick up the phone and call you. It's really hard to see everyone talk about their dad today. I miss you.

[paulo @ps_iii]

10/10

[paulo @ps_iii]

@GainesTweets Electric. Thanks coach

[paulo @ps_iii]

@Zammbo True.

[paulo @ps_iii]

@hashtag_rally17 @macdiesel21 plaxico burress also wore #17

[paulo @ps_iii]

@hashtag_rally17 @macdiesel21 Tim?

[paulo @ps_iii]

@DJSansone1 @SLUHfootball What’s up d

[paulo @ps_iii]

@TrevorMcDonagh @AlecAbeln It was so fun watching knese destroy people.

[paulo @ps_iii]

@BryceMauro Godspeed

[paulo @ps_iii]

@BryceMauro Respect. What about the sojourn 16? Had the 14 a couple weeks ago. Solid as well

[paulo @ps_iii]

@KingGoon450 What do we do now?

[paulo @ps_iii]

@StefanSansone6 What’s up Steve

[paulo @ps_iii]

@AppleMusic your personally curated playlists are garbage