๐Home Depot (HD) is starting a series of retail results on Tuesday.
๐Market experts predict a 0.4% month-over-month improvement in US retail sales for July, boosted by Amazon's successful Prime Day sale.
๐ฐThis suggests the US consumer remains resilient.
๐While the HD model value chart increased by 2.7% last month, its stock price now surpasses the broader economic conditions and is now 4.2% rich.
๐คThis indicates that Home Depot's stock factored in optimistic news of a potential market stabilization, making it susceptible to potential risks from shifts in macroeconomic conditions.
๐Our model value is already showing signs that it might start declining.
โ ๏ธIf consumers fear that higher inflation and interest rates impact the economy, concerns about reduced economic growth and increased risk aversion could cause the macroeconomic conditions to worsen.โ ๏ธ
๐For now, we wait and see.
๐ธAs temperatures rise around the world, US inflation falls. โ๏ธ๐
๐ธInflation is a macroeconomic factor that shows the rate of increase in prices over a given period of time. ๐
๐ธTightening of monetary policy only heightens the risk of recession and financial instability. ๐ฉ
๐ธOver the last 15 months, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates significantly from almost nothing to over 5%, which caused a big drop in the money available in the economy. Now, the economy needs time to adjust to these changes after 14 years of very low rates. ๐
๐ธIf the Fed raises rates again, they could reduce the impact by only increasing rates for bank reserves, while keeping rates the same for money market funds and non-bank financial intermediaries.
๐ธThe Fed should not underestimate the potential impact of its rapid tightening, especially after misjudging the inflationary risks of its loose money policies. ๐
#investing
๐ธThe conservative Peopleโs Party fell just short of this number with 170 seats (with their coalition with Vox).
๐ธHowever, socialist PM Sanchez also fell short of being able to muster a workable coalition unless he wants to make a deal with Catalan separatists.
๐ธThis has left us with a hung parliament and a state of uncertainty.
๐ธAs such, Spanish equities are suffering a period of uncertainty as we await a possible second election. ๐๏ธ
๐ธEWP is an iShares ETF that provides exposure to Spanish equities and is worth keeping an eye on. ๐
๐ธBut itโs not just a political story. Macro fundamentals matter too. ๐
#investing #elections #politics
Philippe Ghanem, @sq_financial 's CEO, shares his customers' success using our AI brain's smart signals.๐๐ธ
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#investing
๐๐ฆ Japan Exports: Powering Global Markets! ๐ผ
๐ฑ Technological Marvels: From cutting-edge electronics to high-tech machinery, Japan's exports are driving innovation worldwide. Japanese brands like @Sony, @panasonic, and @ToshibaUSA bring precision and quality to the global market. ๐๐
๐ Automotive Dominance: Japan's automotive exports are unrivaled, with renowned brands like @ToyotaMotorCorp, @Honda, and @Nissan leading the pack. Reliability, fuel efficiency, and advanced features have made Japanese vehicles a preferred choice worldwide. ๐๐
โจ Cultural Treasures: Japan's rich cultural heritage extends to its exports. Traditional crafts, exquisite ceramics, and unique textiles showcase the country's craftsmanship and attention to detail. โจ๐
#japan
Eggs, Bacon, Beans and Toast...The staples of an English Brekkie.
Have you noticed that the price of an English breakfast has increased in the last year? ๐
You are not wrong, in fact, the cost has increased by more than a fifth in the last 12 months. ๐ฅ๐๐ฅ
#inflation
๐จAs Michael Conrad from Hill Street Blues warns his team "Let's Be Careful Out There!"ย ๐จ
๐ธOur AI machine has triggered an early warning of potential trouble ahead...You might want to consider playing defence rather than offence. ๐ฅ
๐ธCheck out our video below to unlock the eye-opening insight
โก๏ธstraight from our Head of Analytics himself @hnr70
#ai #hillstreetblues
๐ธDon't Panic!!! ๐ข
๐ธYesterdayโs UK inflation data was very disappointing. ๐
๐ธIt came out far stronger than expected.
๐ธTo be fair, there are lots of reasons to be gloomy on the current state of the UK. ๐ซ๏ธ
๐ธBut let's add our Macro perspective! ๐
#investing
Thread:
1- A BULLISH PIVOT?
Not equities, but US bonds.
A @BloombergUK article yesterday cited option trading in two well-known bond ETFs as evidence some investors are starting to position themselves for a change in fortunes for US Fixed Income.
3- Recent press has tended to talk about a buyers strike in bonds citing the Fed unwinding their holdings via QT; evidence that some large domestic & intl buyers were stepping back. So, evidence of some big flows trying to call a top in bond yields is notable
Qi's models show most Asian #equity indices as cheap to macro. China's hard lockdown adding to Ukraine & #Fed tightening.
$KOSPI is the outlier. Macro fair value is deteriorating - weaker global/Korean growth & a strong #Dollar - but, to date, spot is lagging that move.