QuantPhenomenon

VIX/SPX Trader

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

After placing the trade on Thursday, the only money lost was Friday’s gains. The trade broke even to positive.

I was willing to ride out bad news and temporary downside given the strengthening breadth and constructive daily market, but closed out immediately once this news hit.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

All in on SPX calls today. The market is changing. The sideways movement we’ve been in since the beginning of June is phasing out, and now we are entering a new trend. The goal isn’t certainty. Instead it’s embracing uncertainty by tilting the odds in your favor.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

@jimcramer @Grok, according to the inverse Cramer theory, is this bullish or bearish for the market (S&P 500)?

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

@michaeljburry U.S. equities companies flipping from aggressive buybacks to selling shares is bullish. Companies sell into strength and buy back into weakness.

Dear @Grok, please fact-check me. Thank you, friend.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

All in on SPX calls today. The market is changing. The sideways movement we’ve been in since the beginning of June is phasing out, and now we are entering a new trend. The goal isn’t certainty. Instead it’s embracing uncertainty by tilting the odds in your favor.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

To better interpret the $MAGS chart, switch to the 2x $MAGX. Sometimes higher volatility causes the moving averages (MA) to produce sharp, precise bounces, making the clean 500 SMA hold visible. In contrast, lower-volatility $MAGS simply drifts without that clarity.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

$MAGS Falling towards the 500SMA

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

Leverage. Like a cold shower. Quick in. Quick out.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

SPX. When the odds are in your favor, but you’re still uncertain, embrace the discomfort of uncertainty. This is where you earn your money. To alleviate the discomfort, apply time analysis by stepping away.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

Thinking a 4-7% drop from SPX ATH is bearish is like thinking a fighter jet is no longer in good condition simply because it needs to refuel. $SPX

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

SPX has been and is still in an AI bull market. ADL is at its “all-time high”. This does not mean in the slightest that we cannot see price drop from where we are right now to the 100 & 150 SMA.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

If you look at SPX price data from Cboe and backtest to 1871 on the daily chart using the 100 SMA and 150 SMA, you will see that in every major bull market, when price dropped to either, it was a bullish signal.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

@OddStats Hahah haters are going to hate and ain’ters are going to ain’t

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

$MAGS Falling towards the 500SMA

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

Been riding bullish these past few weeks. But $MAGS is failing its Oct ATH, failing its 20MA, double top... tsk tsk tsk.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

Like clockwork. It’s not about being right; I couldn’t care less.
It’s about managing uncertainty. Truth is, I didn’t know what the future held. While I love heavy leverage trades, without proper risk management, it’s over. Years of blowing up taught me that not knowing is part of the trade thesis.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

1/15 I went very aggressive on bullish SPX calls Tuesday, June 9th, last week right at the low of the dip. Still holding them, but I’m planning to sell before Friday close.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

15/15 At the end of the day, this is disciplined event trading. Ride the anticipation while it works, exit before the high-risk resolution and gap window, then re-enter once the market has digested the actual outcome. Structure and process.
$SPX $SPY $VIX $USO #FOMC

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

1/15 I went very aggressive on bullish SPX calls Tuesday, June 9th, last week right at the low of the dip. Still holding them, but I’m planning to sell before Friday close.

[QuantPhenomenon @quantphenomenon]

14/15 My plan after the holiday is simple: re-enter once we have clarity. If we get a clean dip to those moving averages after the news settles, that becomes the re-entry zone.