方殊墨

I would love to live like a river flows, carried by the surprise of its own unfolding.” - John O'Donohue

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

😂

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 反正中国人怎么开心怎么来..

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 冒号后没空格看着也难受.....如果她做丘吉尔秘书会秒被辞退.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 听说国内的新闻都得反过来理解. 😁

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Looking forward to working with Intel on the Terafab!

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@LVTGW666 智勇双全

[Dr.Xiao.AI @xiaoxiao_2580]

A Stanford mathematician spent forty years watching one brilliant student after another crash into hard problems.

Not because they weren’t smart.

But because no one had ever taught them what to actually do “before” they started solving.

His name was George Pólya.

In 1945, he published “How to Solve It”. The book sold over a million copies and has never gone out of print.

Even Marvin Minsky, who built the first neural network, said that everyone should read it.

Yet most people still haven’t heard of it.

What Pólya kept seeing was the same failure pattern, again and again:

The moment a difficult problem appears, students get anxious and immediately start calculating.

Not because calculating is the right first step, but because doing somethingfeels much more comfortable than sitting with “I don’t know.”

They end up working hard in completely the wrong direction.

The step he found most neglected was this: Truly understand the problem first.

Not just skim it. Not just think “this looks familiar.”

His test was simple but ruthless: Can you restate the problem in your own words without looking at the original?

If you can’t, you don’t actually understand it yet.

Most people skip this step entirely. They jump straight into execution and then get stuck on a problem they never truly grasped.

Pólya outlined four steps for solving problems. But in real life, the two that matter most are usually the first and the last:

1. Understand the problem deeply
2. Devise a plan (if you’re stuck, try solving a simpler version first and bring the insight back)
3. Carry out the plan
4. Look back — verify, generalize, and reflect

The people who get truly good at this aren’t the ones who practice more.

They’re the ones who’ve learned to slow down when every instinct is screaming at them to just start calculating — especially at the beginning, and again at the end.

What struck me most after reading this:

We assume hard problems are difficult because they are.

Most of the time, it’s simply because we never took the time to truly understand them.

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

The Two Different Paths: We are about to find out which path we are on.  As I said in my last note, from my conversations with a number of world leaders in a number of countries, and as seems obvious to me, there will either be a) a U.S. win over Iran, which will require taking control over the Strait of Hormuz and assuring that Iran's nuclear program is dead—i.e., defanging Iran, or b) a U.S. loss, which is the result if these things don't happen.

Most senior policy makers I speak with believe that we are likely headed down the b) path and that will be made clear soon. It needs to be made clear soon because continuing on the current path or being more forceful will cause sharp increases in oil and gasoline prices and great difficulties during the high travel season, bad political consequences for President Trump, and difficulties in his upcoming meeting with President Xi in China. So, we should have that verdict soon.

The perception that the b) path is most likely is already leading to a view that the United States will not be a reliable protector against possible opponents like Russia in Europe and/or China in Asia, and that is already leading to actions being taken that are sensible in light of that belief, like leaders paying "tribute" visits to China. As explained before, this set of circumstances is likely to have some analogous consequences to Great Britain losing the Suez Canal in 1956. By the way, this is also happening at a time when China is earning huge amounts of money through its very strong exports—so much money that it is difficult for those Chinese earning the money to know what to do with it. This is making China a very important player in world capital markets as well as world trade. In other words, these events are making China geopolitically and financially stronger.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 高智商税产品.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 感觉健康状况可堪, 无论生理还是心理.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@igeekbb 好像他的小孩也送美国去读书的. 猜想很多人就是去学习他的这种精致利己主义的.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@igeekbb 英缺斯汀

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@igeekbb 病人乱跑

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 美国总统有没有心理保健医生. 😅

[李少明 @dakache01]

经典武侠电影《自古英雄出少年》于 1983年 上映。是继《少林寺》之后，再次在全国范围内引发“武侠热”的代表作品之一。

故事背景设定为清朝初期，天地会后代（小英雄们）躲避清廷追杀、逃往四川的故事。

剧中大丈夫是一个年仅十来岁的小男孩（童养夫），而他的妻子小媳妇则是一个武功高强、性格泼辣的大姑娘。

“大丈夫”的饰演者郝勇凭借古灵精怪的表演成为当时最红的童星之一。

而“小媳妇”的饰演者张小燕是真实的武术运动员出身，动作舒展干净。

与《少林寺》相似，该片主演大多是来自各省武术队的专业运动员，打斗场面扎实、精彩。同时全片穿插了大量孩子间的童趣和“大丈夫”的诙谐表演，风格轻松愉快。

影片在四川九寨沟、黄龙等地取景，展现了极具魅力的自然风光。

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@macastel3 Additionally, North Korea has largely isolated itself; there is basically no incentive for others to provoke it. 😀

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 猜想主要是指伤害了克拉斯诺夫同志

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 我碰到过这样的人, 感觉挺可怕的, 大鸣大放的种族歧视.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 这个我今天也看到了, 我感觉很奇怪, 怎么居然可以上网. 我上周末和我一个伊朗朋友见面他跟我说伊朗的电话海外都打不进去的, 也没办法上网沟通. 他的家人不知道想了个什么办法打了个越洋电话才报平安的. 他家在设拉子附近.

[方殊墨 @rainwalker2020]

@fangshimin 😁