Rasmus FPL

Overthinking FPL since day one 📊
Chasing EV, ignoring the eye-test.
Analytics Elite 64

[FPL Review @fplreview]

Price Bonus is now live on FPL Review as a solver setting!

This acts as an incentive to buy or sell players based on forecasted progress towards an SV change

Getting these market effects integrated into the solver is a significant step, something many of us had been estimating manually on top of solver outputs for years

This is currently a beta feature and is defaulted off, as it's quite a big change for many. You can default it on from the settings sidebar.

[FPL Alerts ⚽️ @FPL_Alerts]

🤑 Price Warning! ⚠
⬇ Potential Price Fall ⬇

Havertz (ARS)

#fpl

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@FantasyFootyFix @FantasyFootyFix - Price Change predictions haven't updated all day - could you take a look?

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@wiscostretford Sad. Like to follow you moves. Time issue?

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@BigmanFpl Interrested

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@smithgary Interrested

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@fplreview What are the weights? EV is MD?

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@UkendtPerson45 @fplreview Amount of gws out could force a sell next gw with 0.0 itb and wanting to roll.

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@fplreview I've done this 0.1 less itb for each future transfer for a long time - but I am considering to remove because the plan always change a lot anyway.

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@fplblackbox_az 538 has BHA as 10th in the world - sounds like almost a CHL 1/4 final 😉

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@fpl_schultz ... Problem is off course I'm not sure how much trouble i'll be in navigation BGW22 followed by DGW34/37 with probably big teams (MCI, MUN, TOT, BHA) blanking and doubling.

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

#FPL #GW25
So I calculated EV 9 GW horisont for the 95 combination of WC GW25-33, FH in GW25, 27, 28, 29 or 32 and BB i GW29. I did for both LIV playing and NOT playing i BGW28.

Best strategy FH25, WC26 and BB29. I never planned towards this and I do even have 2 FT!

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@fpl_schultz Not locked until deadline, but certainly still seriously considering. The case itself is fine I think. Giving me aroung 20 EV for each of the chips is broadly accepted. Also just checked that only FH25 makes sense for my team if FH before GW33.....

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@CrayfishFpl Sorry - No without decay (you can tell by the 9 GW EV)

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@CrayfishFpl I have my own Excel solver, but use Review default settings - pretty much.

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@FplAuto Absoluttely - I just don't know (yet) how much it is worth. And if I can gain 54-60 EV by playing know, I think I wont loose out. Also gives me lot's of FT to plan with fixture certainty towards GW33+

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@CrayfishFpl Only WC can compete as 1 chip strategy (until GW33) and the FH28/FH29 conversation don't look like fitting my team.

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

@UkendtPerson45 I must commit to FH25 right? Good thing is the strategies are the same wether LIV blank in GW28 or NOT and the WC26-28 played when we know. 5-6 more EV if LIV blank which is more likely. Question is how much EV can be gain by saving chip for GW33+?!

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

Top 10 strategies IF LIV play in GW28 (40% likely)
Best scenario +53,9 EV

[Rasmus FPL @rama96ab]

Top 10 strategies IF LIV blank in GW28 (60% likely)
Best scenario +60,9 EV