I’ve been an $AERO enjoyer for a while now.
It finally seems to be getting its moment in the sun again, but short-term pumps and people yelling on twitter can distort the timeline’s view of what’s actually happening here. I hope this post helps some people look beyond the last 24hrs of green candles and see the larger picture.
Facts:
-Aerodrome is the leading DEX on Base. Its sister protocol, Velodrome, built the same model on Optimism.
-The model is different from most DEXs: ALL protocol revenue flows back to participants in the ecosystem rather than simply accumulating to a company or treasury.
And wherever the “dromes” have operated, they’ve dominated. There isn't a better word to describe their performance where they operate. Currently:
-Aerodrome: 61% of Base DEX volume
-Velodrome: 56% of Optimism DEX volume
On Oct. 21, that same model expands to Ethereum Mainnet, Robinhood Chain, Arbitrum and several others.
Let’s NOT assume they repeat 50-60% market share. Let's cut it in half... Assume 30%.
Here’s the size of the pie today:
Ethereum
~$41.2B/month of DEX volume
30% share = ~$12.4B/month through AERO
≈ $183M/year in gross fees
Robinhood Chain
~$52.1B/month
30% = ~$15.6B/month
≈ $231M/year in gross fees
Arbitrum
~$6.2B/month
30% = ~$1.85B/month
≈ $27M/year in gross fees
Combined:
~$358B/year of additional AERO-routed volume
~$441M/year of gross fees (again, this is ALL passed to aero token lockers)
No assumption that tokenized stocks explode. No assumption that more of global finance moves onchain.
-No bull-market volume expansion.
-No Arc (I'm unsure what this one will become.. could be big, might be noting).
-No Ink (also unsure what this can become).
Currently, the existing Base/OP business
generates roughly $17.5m per month in fees.
At 30% share, Ethereum alone would add roughly that much again.
Robinhood Chain alone would add even more.
Do I think Aero will do better than 30% on these chains? Probably yes. But it doesn't need to, the pie is big enough already.
Good job on coms the last couple of weeks by the team. I know they've been dragged heavily on twitter since Novembers incredibly impressive event... now it's time to have a smooth launch and gobble up some market share.
Rock n roll.
告诉大家一个省钱小妙招,买苹果电脑之前先去闲鱼买一个高校认证,几十块钱,在官网下单买苹果电脑可以省一千多块钱,
最近用 AI 折腾炒币和美股,居然真让我小赚了一点。
钱不多,但人一下就来劲了。刚才又下单了一台 Mac mini。
真不是为了奖励自己,是现在这台电脑快被我榨干了。行情监控、新闻抓取、策略回测,再加上一堆 AI Agent,经常一起开工,电脑经常被我卡死。
这段时间也算慢慢摸到了一点门道。
我基本不让 AI 直接告诉我买什么,更多是看到盘面有异动,就让它先去查发生了什么,顺着新闻、成交量和相关市场往下挖,再回头挑一遍我自己判断里的毛病。
有时候它真能翻出一些我没注意到的风险,这个比单纯猜涨跌有用多了。
最近还发现 TradingView @TradingView 的 MCP 工具挺不错。可以让 AI 直接读取行情、自选列表、基本面和新闻,省得我在十几个页面之间来回切,研究一个标的确实快了不少。
AI 没让我突然变成什么交易高手。
只是以前我一个人根本忙不过来的东西,现在终于有人帮我盯着、查着、记着了。
所以赚到的钱先不拿去消费,继续买机器、跑策略、交学费。