The Voice of Reason

The Voice of Reason on everything sports related — Fantasy Sports

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

Kansas State QB Avery Johnson’s father was in a fist fight with his other son in the parking lot after today’s lose😳

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@ThompsonFoto12 @yinzerfred You wanna explain why he would be to blame instead of saying blank statements as if they are a fact?

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@CaseL731 @Boomstick1741 Those were the two studies that tracked labrum and AC joint data.

The one with 71% was a smaller study of I believe 39 people. So that one could be a bit high but the correlation is there for sure.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

There is A LOT of bad fantasy football advice telling people to BUY LOW on DJ Moore right now.

The argument? He’s had nearly a month to rest that shoulder and should be ready to go.

I think people are missing the bigger picture.

A labrum tear can feel manageable in everyday life. The real problem is the violence of playing football.

Getting hit, landing on the ground, or making contact with another player can put that shoulder at risk of dislocating AGAIN.

And when it happens? You’re looking at serious pain and potentially more missed time.

Look at Xavier Worthy last season.

He tore his labrum, missed games, played through the injury, and ultimately needed offseason surgery.

Resting a torn labrum doesn’t mean the underlying damage is repaired. Rehab can improve stability, but most tears require surgery, depending on the severity.

DJ Moore could’ve been one of the best value picks in fantasy this year playing with Josh Allen.

But if his injury is a significant labrum tear, I don’t believe a few weeks of rest suddenly make him a safe bet for the rest of the season.

Until that shoulder is properly addressed, the risk of reinjury isn’t going away.

STOP blindly calling DJ Moore a buy-low candidate just because he’s had time to rest.

The upside is obvious. The risk is what everyone seems to be ignoring.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@VaughnGrandi Yeah I punted on the bigs for sure! Need someone to outperform expectations!

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

I am a novice in the NBA fantasy world so I decided to only draft 1 single team rather than having a random exposure to a bunch of random guys I know nothing about.

How does my team look to any NBA ball knowers out there?

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@BreidenFehoko These NFL players and ex NFL players are ao out of touch with reality…

Go pull a gun on a coworker in a normal job and your “mental health treatment” will be in the county jail.

Is their any career in the world that has more of a victim mentality than professional athletes

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@tdurkin34 @ThompsonFoto12 @yinzerfred Agreed!

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

I am not particularly fond of Nick but what are you even talking about??? Out of all the people to blame for this disaster Nick is low on the list.

It is the coaches job to put together the best possible lineup with the available players.

It’s up to the NFL, the medical staffs, and the players themselves to determine if they should be cleared to play.

How do you actually think Nick is the one who should fall on this sword?

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

The Eagles and the NFL have painted themselves into a corner where they now have to cover up this entire incident.

Past lawsuits by players have already set the president for what steps Jalen Hurts could choose to pursue.

I believe if Hurts deals with more health complications related to the blood clots the NFL and the Eagles could be staring down a lawsuit north of 500 million dollars in lost earnings, pain & suffering, punitive damages, long term care, ect.

https://t.co/iBaIyHBNel

[Ari Meirov @MySportsUpdate]

Statement from the NFLPA on the #Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts:

“The NFLPA is not aware of any NFL investigation into the medical care provided to Jalen Hurts. In fact, the league previously informed the union that it did not plan to review the care he received. Before conclusions are drawn about how this situation was handled, there must be a full investigation into what occurred. Determining the facts is essential to ensuring players receive the highest level of care and protection going forward.”

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

https://t.co/iBaIyHBNel

This is why that can’t happen. We could be talking about hundreds of millions of dollars in lost earnings, pain & suffering, punitive damages, future medical care, ect…

The Eagles and NFL have painted themselves into a corner where they have to cover everything up or they could be staring down a 500 million dollar lawsuit.

[Ariel Givner @GivnerAriel]

Let’s talk about the Chris Maragos case… aka the one where a Philly jury hit Eagles doctors with a $43.5 million verdict for negligently ending a Super Bowl captain’s career.

Maragos tore his PCL (with meniscus issues) in a 2017 game vs. the Panthers. Dr. James Bradley (longtime Steelers doc) did the surgery; Rothman Orthopaedics (Eagles team docs) handled rehab.

Plaintiffs argued the meniscus wasn’t properly addressed and rehab was advanced too aggressively (including running) despite a 2018 MRI showing persistent problems. That caused further damage and forced retirement in 2019.

Defense said the meniscus was stable and more surgery would have done more harm than good.

After a two-week trial (Nick Foles, Trey Burton, and Jordan Hicks testified), the jury found negligence in under three hours.

Liability: Bradley 67% ($29.2M), Rothman 33% ($14.3M). An economist put lost earnings at ~$8.7M as the floor; the rest reflected pain, limitations, and future care.

The verdict was upheld on appeal in 2024.

Maragos’ lawyer put it bluntly: it forces team doctors to stop focusing only on “when can he return to play” and start thinking about the next 50 years of a player’s life.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

I think that is highly unlikely. Study’s show that 27% to 71% of AC joint sprains also come with damage to the labrum. The fact that it has been reaggravated likely points to instability in the whole joint.

These things are all connected in the shoulder and I’d be willing to bet he gets everything cleaned up this off season.

In summary I think it’s going to be a reoccurring issue all season regardless of how long he rests it and he is going to have to be very careful to not take big hits or land on that shoulder again.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

@bbrianb44 Me either!

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

Here is my single surviving Elim teams matchup for week 7

I am missing a lot with the bills being on bye week.

This is likely going to come down to what the Bears do against the Patriots. If the Patriots can keep it a low scoring affair I like my chances even without by Bills stack

If this team advanced this week I will have almost all of my core pieces through their bye week. (Walker, cook, Josh, Moore, Diggs, Hockenson)

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

Advanced to week 7✅

Going to need a good matchup to advance my lone surviving Elim team next week. (Bills stack so gotta fight to get through the bye week)

Also squeezed out the win with the only frenchie eliminator I entered this year.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

Wow Terry really just tore his ACL

The injuries have been brutal this year!!!

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

This right here is why Caleb Williams received the criticism he did after a much milder hamstring injury.

[FOX Sports: NFL @NFLonFOX]

Rams HC Sean McVay announced WR Davante Adams ruptured his hamstring and will be out 6-10 weeks.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

It’s only fitting to repost this banger after watching Sunday Night Football

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

Like what are we even doing Blake?!?!

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

New Rams Kicker Blake Grupe might be the worst tackler of all time.

Had a nearly identical tackle attempt today that left him injured.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

I am not referring to the consumer as smart money. I am saying that by only accepting overs they can inflate lines and the casual dumb consumer will still take the over and the sharp money will not have the ability to capitalize on the intentionally high line set by the books since unders are now unavailable on some bets.

They will not receive less bets from the problem gamblers.

Only the sharp money who spot the unjustifiably high totals and would want to capitalize by betting the under if available.

[The Voice of Reason @reasonlocker]

This is inherently unfair to the consumer and a GIANT win for Big Gambling Companies

One way markets that only allow betting on the overs is already a problem with books.

When books offer lines such as Any Time Touchdown Scorers without offering the option to take the under they are heavily incentivized to offer terrible odds.

Now they are starting to also do that on normal player props…

The problem gamblers will bet the overs regardless and the books will make even more money.

Here is an example of what we are looking at with these new changes:

In a two way market on a bench player the books used to offer

“Player X”
6.5 points over or under at (-118) either direction

Now books are trying to make it to where they can offer only the over of that same bet.

All of a sudden “Player X” line on points is set at 8.5 points (-118) because the book knows they will still get some problem gamblers to take the over and they have zero downside of any sharp money hurting them on the under which would now be unavailable.

Expect worse and worse lines as regulations like this one are implemented.

[Shams Charania @ShamsCharania]

The NBA and prominent sportsbooks have agreed to ban multiple types of bets, per me and @DavidPurdum, such as:

- Parlay bets involving the under on the same player's statistics
- "First of" market; examples: winner of opening tip, an individual's specific shot, rebound, assist, steal
- Under bets on players expected to play less than 12 minutes a game