the deal feed surfaced three again today. all priced below their prospect's typical floor.
Leo De Vries: $295 (-$463 vs typical)
George Lombard Jr.: $299 (-$264 vs typical)
Jefferson Rojas: $75 (-$175 vs typical)
live on https://t.co/RCNSowqdRX
Kinda wild how Tong's card price has stayed so high through all his ups and downs, down 31% over the last 30 days but still too high for me to make it a buy. I'd really love to buy the dip but Its just still too high for me.
https://t.co/KY9orokFG8
Some good deals coming through on the site right now.
https://t.co/eHZXnCk2vh
It is funny that with all the fun I am having creating data visualizations on the @PC_Radar site the people just want to see the deals!
This is the is always the most interesting (and sometimes hardest) part about building consumer products, build for your users not for yourself.
Trusting the data is something I personally havce always struggled with and mone of the main reaosn I created Prospect Card Radar, its making me learn to understand the data and trust it over my gut, even though I really do think some gut feel needs to be blended in.
#thehobby #build #sidehustle
when a prospect's card price moves a lot you usually wanna know why. added little markers to the bump chart on https://t.co/gLY3Dht0d6 for call-ups, demotions, and inactive stretches so you can actually see what triggered the move.
green up = called up. red down = sent down. amber = no recent games.
#thehobby #cardprices
Hit a nice little milestone today! Thanks y’all. Hoping to keep evolving the site and adding new and engaging features. And trying to keeping all free and open to everyone.
If you haven’t seen any of the new release check out the /map and /bump pages. Curious to hear how they are landing with everyone.
https://t.co/XsQ32zG6Xi
https://t.co/SdkgQwlnEJ
prospect card prices shuffle more than you'd think.
new on the site: /bump
every day we take the 12 most expensive prospect autos and rank them against each other. 14 days of that, stacked. lines that break off are prospects who fell out of the top 12.
https://t.co/8zizikiLyw
the delay clock measures how long the card market takes to react when a prospect's bat goes hot
i flag the streak (15-game trailing wOBA up 60+ pts vs season line), then count days until the bowman chrome 1st auto actually moves
median = the headline. anyone past it is overdue
Gage Jump getting the call today, replacing Civale. His BC 1st auto's already up 8.7% over the last week. Market saw those last two starts coming (11 shutout IP, 15:1 K:BB). Sitting at $108 avg, $72 to $183 range. Orange parallel's at $1,225 if you're chasing.
@ernestdove Is Justin Willard the right guy to be coaching McLean and these young pitchers? I’m genuinely asking. With this season a wash now I hope we have the right guys behind the season teaching these kids. But I fear it’s all analytics nerds point at an iPad.
Alfredo Duno is hitting .275/.418/.534 with a 141 wRC+ at 20 years old catching in A+ and his card market is sleeping. Bat percentile in the 80s across the board, market sitting at the 30th percentile. That gap doesn’t stay open forever on a catcher with this kind of plate discipline.
I really like Edward Florentino. 19 years old, 91st percentile power, .981 OPS in High-A. But Bowman just came out and everything is inflated right now. His card market is sitting at the 90th percentile while his bat is only at the 59th. That gap is all release hype. I want to own this kid but I’m not paying Bowman release prices. Give it a few weeks, let the supply hit, and the entry point will look a lot different.
The psa 10 tax on top-100 prospect autos:
A gem-graded copy asks a median 3.3x the raw card. checked 45 names, most land 2x to 6x.
Trey Yesavage raw auto ~$210, his psa 10 ~$650. You're paying (or getting) triple for a grade but recent performance might warrant it.
#thehobby #mlbprospects