I've summarized where things stand at the AI frontier:
- Unreleased models (Anthropic's Models 3 and 4) are now half-way between AI2027's Agents-1 and 2 (graphs fixed for the bug flagged by the AI2027 authors). @DKokotajlo please let me know if I missed something.
- We're right on track with AI2027's prediction of an automated coder (AC) for April 2027, wild. Public models are now massively lagging unreleased models (1 day vs. 1 week of autonomous high-quality work). Fuelled by RSI, the gap is huge and growing.
- This trajectory, if continued, means a world-changing intelligence explosion in 2027, so the public needs to know. I highly recommend reading more on the topic to grasp what's coming.