We're seeing very similar trends across multiple different concepts. Traffic down with partial offset from higher avg ticket. Most publicly traded companies in Q2 reported positive same-store-sales from avg ticket growth (price) with traffic down. Looks like you're doing just fine!
In Q2'25, publicly traded quick service and fast casual restaurants saw continued mixed results with 12 of the 24 core brands we track posting negative comps.
Full year 2025 outlook remains mixed with continued softness from lower income guests.
It's been another mixed quarter of results for publicly traded quick service and fast casual restaurants across Canada and the US.
Here's a look at same-store-sales over the last 4 quarters for some of the largest players.
Cava and Taco Bell had a very strong Q1 2025, despite on going macro headwinds.
This is tricky - we run into the same issues.
What we usually do is charge a one-time fee for clean-up/initial data model build (typically in Powery Query) with founder alignment on KPIs and then charge an on-going retainer for reporting/analysis.
It’s so hard to offer a template solution.
@brett_finance The adoption of FP&A across SMBs and unlocking value for founders who traditionally have never thought to hire for said function.
5 to 10 years back there was way less adoption. Your Bookkeeper was your finance department.
@brett_finance Less is more.
Early on in my career I would make the most complex models.
Now I keep things simple stupid and the output is pretty much the same as before.
My rule of thumb is I want any of my execs to be able to open any of my models and be able to follow along.
@secret_FPA_guy Started out of school in GEs 2 year financial management rotation program (FMP). Was the corner stone to now a very great finance career
@FranchiseBob PDF a PowerPoint - makes scrolling on phone much easier and much more clean.
Be mindful of small font.
Let me know if you need some examples!
Currently the head of finance for a Canadian non-restaurant franchise. Prior to that I was in finance for a Canadian publicly traded fast-food chain.
Going from restaurants to non-restaurants is night and day...for a few reasons.
- Non-restaurants have much more predictable revenue streams (Example: gyms have a monthly membership vs. McDonalds where they only have same day transactions) this will result in higher valuations which mean larger exits
- Majority of non-restaurants have data on all their customers so it makes measuring customer frequency & LTV 10x easier. In restaurants a good chunk of transactions are still done via in-store/drive-thru where 1:1 customer data doesn't exist. Understanding your customers frequency & LTV can set you apart. That's why the best performing QSR brands push you to their apps - they want a 1:1 relationship with their customers
- In terms of the space, I think it picks up in popularity over the next few years but if you want to invest you got to make sure it's with the right brand paired with A+ real-estate.
- Ultimately, not having to deal with food costs, having more predictable revenue streams, and having data on 99% of your customers make for better cash-on-cash returns vs. restaurants
- There will still be pain points like labor but the ROI and your time and effort to me seem much greater than a restaurant franchise