With a temperature of 34.1C and still rising, today is now hotter than any day outside of July/August in North London since records began in 1881. Hotter than any day in June and September, and it's still spring!
Except the jet stream is actually on average shifting north...
https://t.co/TA4arZ63m2
https://t.co/L6eoB1a18H
The increased rain however, could be worse than the models predict...
https://t.co/5T3Al65W8y
2O consecutive days of no sunshine in Aberdeen - the longest period since records began in 1957. It’s part of the same story as extreme cold in the US and Eastern Europe/Ukraine. Jet stream moving south. We are not living through a climate change hoax. It’s for real.
10 points to whoever identifies the very obvious reason you cannot "supply the waste heat from your cooling system to power homes and businesses nearby."
This is your hint:
Surely the oldest restaurant west of the Mississippi is deserving of a RIH episode @holland_tom@dcsandbrook! After all, General Custer dined here and I don’t think the @TheRestHistory club members have heard enough facts about Custer.
@levsolonothan I’ve actually thought about this a lot, they’re really designed for American roads and not a lot of “urbanist” roads where the boundary between pavement/road is a lot more blurred
This is totally absurd. We should absolutely not be spending 1.5x the amount we have given to Ukraine (!) to give these islands to Mauritius. It's bad for our national security, and the Chagossian people themselves don't even want it! @ChagossianVoic2
I'm reasonably happy with the directional shifts I based my prediction on, but I missed on the magnitude. Trump outperformed with minorities, winning the Sun Belt. Harris held steady with white women, but they didn't swing to her, so it wasn't enough to win the Rust Belt.
US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)
A stark lesson from the US for energy policy in the UK: You don’t get the chance to make grand plans about climate or anything else if people feel poorer when they go to the polls in 5 years.
Looks pretty clear to me that Harris isn’t winning white people by enough to overcome Trump winning diverse people. In fact she might not have improved upon Biden there at all. Trump appears likely to win the election now.
So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)
US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)
And we'd see Trump win in PA (+ WI/MI) & then win overall. Plus I wouldn't underestimate the anger of Arab-Americans abt Gaza in MI that might not show up well in polling (like the UK election). I am not really confident at all, but if I had to bet, this would be my guess. (4/4)
So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)
@holland_tom On your recommendation from the Aztec episodes I visited the fantastic Silbury Hill in Wiltshire. Surely far greater than any Aztec Pyramid, only surpassed in recent UK mound history by the timeless one at Marble Arch!