Robert Doane-Solomon

Atmospheric Physics PhD @ Pembroke, Oxford.

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

With a temperature of 34.1C and still rising, today is now hotter than any day outside of July/August in North London since records began in 1881. Hotter than any day in June and September, and it's still spring!

[nw3weather @nw3weather]

Today very unusual. 33.4 is well past the May record and would rank 5th highest for June, whose record temp is 34.0 https://t.co/0CrlWLYnN2

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

@peacockreports You might be interested in this!

https://t.co/goZ7Bd2ZHu

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

Except the jet stream is actually on average shifting north...

https://t.co/TA4arZ63m2
https://t.co/L6eoB1a18H

The increased rain however, could be worse than the models predict...

https://t.co/5T3Al65W8y

[Will Hutton @williamnhutton]

2O consecutive days of no sunshine in Aberdeen - the longest period since records began in 1957. It’s part of the same story as extreme cold in the US and Eastern Europe/Ukraine. Jet stream moving south. We are not living through a climate change hoax. It’s for real.

[Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil]

10 points to whoever identifies the very obvious reason you cannot "supply the waste heat from your cooling system to power homes and businesses nearby."

This is your hint:

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

Surely the oldest restaurant west of the Mississippi is deserving of a RIH episode @holland_tom @dcsandbrook! After all, General Custer dined here and I don’t think the @TheRestHistory club members have heard enough facts about Custer.

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

@levsolonothan I’ve actually thought about this a lot, they’re really designed for American roads and not a lot of “urbanist” roads where the boundary between pavement/road is a lot more blurred

[Laurence Price @PriceLaurence]

the lengths you have to go when the Botley Road is closed to traffic

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

This is totally absurd. We should absolutely not be spending 1.5x the amount we have given to Ukraine (!) to give these islands to Mauritius. It's bad for our national security, and the Chagossian people themselves don't even want it! @ChagossianVoic2

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

Botley Road has got nothing on this...

[BBC London @BBCLondonNews]

Hammersmith Bridge could stay closed to vehicles for another decade, an MP has warned.

https://t.co/ziGHLUi4Ba

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

BA if my flight is cancelled it’s usually a good idea to email me to let me know…

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

They’ll cancel trains for literally any reason nowadays, even existing…

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

I'm reasonably happy with the directional shifts I based my prediction on, but I missed on the magnitude. Trump outperformed with minorities, winning the Sun Belt. Harris held steady with white women, but they didn't swing to her, so it wasn't enough to win the Rust Belt.

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)

[Clem Cowton @ClemCowton]

A stark lesson from the US for energy policy in the UK: You don’t get the chance to make grand plans about climate or anything else if people feel poorer when they go to the polls in 5 years.

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

Looks pretty clear to me that Harris isn’t winning white people by enough to overcome Trump winning diverse people. In fact she might not have improved upon Biden there at all. Trump appears likely to win the election now.

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

@levimaxsolomon I think that’s more likely than a super tight race but you have to pick 1 lol

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

US election prediction: Harris will win 270-268 by winning the 3 Rust Belt states, while losing all 4 Sun Belt states (except possibly NC). I'm fairly convinced we will see white women swing towards Harris, and Latino men swing to Trump. I think pollsters are herding (1/n)

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

And we'd see Trump win in PA (+ WI/MI) & then win overall. Plus I wouldn't underestimate the anger of Arab-Americans abt Gaza in MI that might not show up well in polling (like the UK election). I am not really confident at all, but if I had to bet, this would be my guess. (4/4)

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

So extrapolating this to swing states implies Harris doing better than her polling in the 3 whiter states (WI/MI/PA) and worse in the 4 more diverse states (NV/AZ/GA/NC). However all it takes is the exact magnitude of these shifts to be a little different than I expect (3/n)

[Robert Doane-Solomon @robert__ds]

@holland_tom On your recommendation from the Aztec episodes I visited the fantastic Silbury Hill in Wiltshire. Surely far greater than any Aztec Pyramid, only surpassed in recent UK mound history by the timeless one at Marble Arch!