$BTC
What's interesting this cycle is that despite Bitcoin dropping 53%, global liquidity has barely declined.
That's notable because in previous bear markets, the primary driver was liquidity drying up across the board.
Hence why BTC went lower.
This time, however, liquidity appears to be holding up much better than in past cycles.
If global liquidity begins expanding again after such a relatively shallow pullback, BTC could bottom much sooner, and at a much higher level, than it has in previous cycles.
Something interesting to keep in mind.
Key Events This Week:
1. Markets React to Strait of Hormuz Closure - Today, 6 PM ET
2. June CPI Inflation data - Tuesday
3. June PPI Inflation data - Wednesday
4. June Retail Sales data - Thursday
5. July Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday
6. July MI Inflation Expectations data - Friday
7. July MI Consumer Sentiment data - Friday
8. ~10% of S&P 500 Companies Report Earnings
We have a highly eventful week ahead of us.
ELON MUSK'S ADVICE FOR ENTREPRENEURS:
“ANYONE WHO WANTS TO MAKE MORE THAN THEY TAKE HAS MY RESPECT.”
“THE MAIN THING YOU SHOULD AIM FOR IS TO MAKE MORE THAN YOU TAKE...
AND BE A NET CONTRIBUTOR TO SOCIETY.”
“DON'T CHASE MONEY.
CHASE BUILDING USEFUL PRODUCTS AND SERVICES.
IF YOU DO THAT, MONEY WILL COME AS A NATURAL CONSEQUENCE.”
“EXPECT TO GRIND SUPER HARD.
ACCEPT THERE'S A MEANINGFUL CHANCE OF FAILURE.
JUST FOCUS ON ONE THING...
ARE YOU A VALUE CREATOR?”
ETH is money, & Robinhood chain proves it
It uses ETH as gas: you need to buy ETH to use the chain, same with base
Robinhood is worth $100B
Coinbase is worth $42B
Robinhood has 28M users
Coinbase has 108M users
Together they have $900M in assets
This is so bullish for ETH!!
.@solana spot volume has now exceeded Bybit for eight straight days.
On July 10:
Solana DEXs: $1.52B
Bybit: $1.36B
The one day flip is starting to look more persistent.
Only Binance to go...
LATEST: 🏦 Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick expects to see 10-20x more announcements within the next 3-12 months about TradFi institutions plugging into DeFi.
Difference #3 - $OTHERSBTC
In 2018 & 2022 $OTHERSBTC fell in sync with $BTCUSDT 📉
Now in 2026 we're seeing the opposite - $OTHERSBTC is showing strength while $BTCUSDT is declining.
All these 3 differences make me think that 2027-2029 will be very bullish, especially for #Altcoins 😉
There is an insane level of euphoria in the market right now.
The Put/Call Ratio just dropped to 0.61, down 29% in a single day, one of the sharpest one day drops on record.
This measures how much traders are betting on prices falling versus rising.
Right now it shows traders piling into bets that stocks keep going higher, with almost nobody betting on a drop.
The last time this indicator dropped this low was in July 2024, which led to a market dump shortly after.
Extreme confidence like this doesn't always mean a crash is coming, but historically it's often shown up right before the market cools off.
Chart: @Barchart
This is a massive level for $ETH.
Break back above $1,820 with strength and this recent breakdown is a deviation.
$ETH bottomed respecting the Wick low trend set back in the 2022 bear.
It's not trading:
1. Above the wick low trend from 2022
2. Below the recent range breakdown
3. Below the Candle body trend from 2022
Back above $1,820 and $ETH is back above them all.
ETH/BTC also signalling that this likely isn't a nothing burger.
Back above $1,820 and things improve quite quickly imo.
$BTC
700M worth of shorts will get f*cked if BTC reaches 65.7K.
Not sure about you but... If we were genuinely going to 54K, I would make sure to take out them shorts first.
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