Roi Hernández

ex ante economist

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@AleBarredaM Juega, tu di cawn

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

tengo amigos, paper, clases, tesis, final de la carrera, romance... que bonita es la vida

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@AleBarredaM Saca un coffee we

[Superman @thesupermanmx]

Two economists mathematically proved that AI will destroy the economy.

Researchers from Wharton and Boston University published a terryfiying paper called "The AI Layoff Trap."

They mapped out the economic end-game of the AI transition, and it exposes a fatal flaw in competitive capitalism.

When a company replaces a worker with AI, it captures 100% of the wage savings.

But that displaced worker is also a consumer. When they lose their job, they stop buying things.

The company gets all the savings, but the loss of consumer demand is spread across the entire economy.

If there are 20 competitors in a market, a CEO only absorbs 1/20th of the economic damage their layoffs just created.

So every single rational CEO has a mathematical incentive to automate as fast as possible.

They can literally see the cliff approaching, and they still step on the gas.

It triggers an unavoidable Prisoner’s Dilemma. If you don't automate, your competitors will, and they will crush you on price.

It doesn't just hurt workers. It destroys the businesses, too.

The economy gets trapped in an automation arms race. Companies fire their workforce to stay competitive, until the entire consumer base is completely hollowed out.

At the limit, the paper concludes: “Firms automate their way to boundless productivity and zero demand.”

And the scariest part?

The researchers mathematically tested every popular fix.

Universal Basic Income? Fails. It raises the living standard but doesn't change the corporate incentive to cut jobs. Retraining? Fails. Worker equity? Fails.

The paper proves that more competition actually makes the collapse happen faster. And "better" AI makes the damage worse.

The only thing that mathematically stops the collapse is a targeted automation tax, forcing companies to pay for the purchasing power they destroy before they automate the job.

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@DiegoCastaneda @MazzucatoM El sueño :"(

[Mariana Mazzucato @MazzucatoM]

Plan México, puts prosperidad compartida at the centre of a strategy to raise investment, expand domestic productive capacity and ensure growth is distributed across people, sectors and territories.

My new @IIPP_UCL report with @LaraMerling analyses what delivering it requires: the institutional coordination and economic instruments that can turn that direction into a new growth path. This begins with a macroeconomic framework aligned with those goals, in which fiscal rules recognise the productive capacity that public investment creates.

Read the report ➡️ https://t.co/fWEh9M4HzJ

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

El verdadero entendimiento de los mercados te vuelve escéptico de las bondades del capitalismo

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

Malos oppenings y un fandom normal. Dos cosas que no tiene Beastars

[Mouin Rabbani @MouinRabbani]

Mexico City

[La Jornada @lajornadaonline]

A 90 años del asesinato del poeta y dramaturgo Federico García Lorca, que se cumple el próximo 18 de agosto, instituciones de México, España, Venezuela y Uruguay realizan multitud de exposiciones, obras de teatro, ópera, conciertos y mesas de discusión que conmemoran la vida y obra del autor andaluz.

En junio, se llevó a cabo en México el estreno mundial de la ópera Lorca... lluvia en cada párpado, de Víctor Nájera. La escenificación parte del fusilamiento de Federico García Lorca y, en retrospectiva, explora su relación con el pintor Salvador Dalí.

Más información en: https://t.co/8ZfLyo3lZ2

[Alex Taylor @AlexTaylorNews]

"Gianni Infantino carefully explains to Donald Trump that he is not part of the Spanish national team"

Brilliant titling from @Guardian 🤡

[Juniow @J1semJ]

@k_psmj Cucurella

[El Financiero @ElFinanciero_Mx]

🇦🇷🏴 Tras vencer 2-1 a Inglaterra y avanzar a la final del Mundial 2026, jugadores de Argentina mostraron una bandera con la frase "Las Malvinas son argentinas", pese a que la FIFA prohíbe mensajes políticos en los estadios. El gesto contradijo el llamado previo de Lionel Scaloni a separar el fútbol de la geopolítica.

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@_ichbincarlotta alcohol / marijuana

[La Carla 🫨🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 @_ichbincarlotta]

Chi ha scelto le foto è un genio

[La Jornada @lajornadaonline]

La vigencia deportiva y mediática de Lionel Messi y la selección de Argentina se han consolidado como activos estratégicos clave para la FIFA en su objetivo de penetrar en mercados emergentes de alta densidad como China e India, de acuerdo con especialistas en mercadotecnia de la Universidad Anáhuac.

Respaldada por acuerdos comerciales de largo plazo con la agencia asiática All Star Partner y firmas automotrices, la Asociación del Fútbol Argentino (AFA) ha logrado capitalizar su marca de forma inmediata, reportando ingresos de hasta 6 millones de dólares por encuentro disputado en territorio chino.

Este posicionamiento comercial se complementa con los acuerdos vitalicios de patrocinio que el delantero mantiene con la firma Adidas, convirtiendo al conjunto sudamericano en una pieza fundamental para la rentabilidad de la Copa del Mundo 2026.

Más información en: https://t.co/p4Ef5OLalO

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@FIFAWorldCup Market Wins

[Roi Hernández @roihcs]

@DjokerNole @Wimbledon G_O_A_T