rond

less is more

[rond @rond26]

大模型终究只是概率模型。
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它从不理解世界，只做token统计预测。
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绝大多数问题都没有100%正确答案，只有幻觉。
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如何把正确率硬干到接近100%？
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这才是2026年AGI最血腥的战场。
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Scaling递减、参数低效、CoT出错、工具复杂度爆炸。
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你敢扔进零容错真实世界吗？

[rond @rond26]

The beauty of engineering

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Engineering is real magic

[rond @rond26]

@vern33 Claude版《记忆碎片》

[Tw93 @HiTw93]

https://t.co/RTkJ3NQKeS

[rond @rond26]

看到一句话，每天狂刷短视频的人已经提前插管进入黑客帝国了。

[rond @rond26]

需要什么就自己开发什么，��头就是个性化定制。

一个感触是，有些通用功能是否应该refactor成一个可以复用的function，还是干脆每次都重新写，以前是个不用考虑的问题，现在得认真考虑一下了

[Naval @naval]

Vibe Coding Is the New Product Management

“There’s been a shift—a marked pronouncement in the last year and especially in the last few months—most pronounced by Claude Code, which is a specific model that has a coding engine in it, which is so good that I think now you have vibe coders, which are people who didn’t really code much or hadn’t coded in a long time, who are using essentially English as a programming language—as an input into this code bot—which can do end-to-end coding.

Instead of just helping you debug things in the middle, you can describe an application that you want. You can have it lay out a plan, you can have it interview you for the plan. You can give it feedback along the way, and then it’ll chunk it up and will build all the scaffolding.

It’ll download all the libraries and all the connectors and all the hooks, and it’ll start building your app and building test harnesses and testing it. And you can keep giving it feedback and debugging it by voice, saying, “This doesn’t work. That works. Change this. Change that,” and have it build you an entire working application without your having written a single line of code.

For a large group of people who either don’t code anymore or never did, this is mind-blowing.

This is taking them from idea space, and opinion space, and from taste directly into product. So that’s what I mean—product management has taken over coding. Vibe coding is the new product management.

Instead of trying to manage a product or a bunch of engineers by telling them what to do, you’re now telling a computer what to do. And the computer is tireless. The computer is egoless, and it’ll just keep working. It’ll take feedback without getting offended.

You can spin up multiple instances. It’ll work 24/7 and you can have it produce working output.

What does that mean? Just like now anybody can make a video or anyone can make a podcast, anyone can now make an application. So we should expect to see a tsunami of applications. Not that we don’t have one already in the App Store, but it doesn’t even begin to compare to what we’re going to see.

However, when you start drowning in these applications, does that necessarily mean that these are all going to get used or they’re competitive? No. I think it’s going to break into two kinds of things.

First, the best application for a given use case still tends to win the entire category. When you have such a multiplicity of content, whether in videos or audio or music or applications, there’s no demand for average.
Nobody wants the average thing. People want the best thing that does the job. So first of all, you just have more shots on goal. So there will be more of the best. There will be a lot more niches getting filled.

You might have wanted an application for a very specific thing, like tracking lunar phases in a certain context, or a certain kind of personality test, or a very specific kind of video game that made you nostalgic for something. Before, the market just wasn’t large enough to justify the cost of an engineer coding away for a year or two. But now the best vibe coding app might be enough to scratch that itch or fill that slot. So a lot more niches will get filled, and as that happens, the tide will rise.

The best applications—those engineers themselves are going to be much more leveraged. They’ll be able to add more features, fix more bugs, smooth out more of the edges. So the best applications will continue to get better. A lot more niches will get filled.

And even individual niches—such as you want an app that’s just for your own very specific health tracking needs, or for your own very specific architectural layout or design—that app that could have never existed will now exist.”

[rond @rond26]

春节在家彻底躺平，不管主业副业都不再关注。最暖和的春节里没有去太多地方玩，以前春节假期去过的景区也上了新闻，人太多导致不到天黑就得限制客流。
开了一天半的车，听了不少podcast，AI永不停歇，还在各种mind-blowing进化，捋捋思绪开始 #从躺平模式进入牛马模式

[rond @rond26]

看各地燃放烟花爆竹的盛况，除了局部还有余力余粮执法的地方，已经没多大影响了。我老家这里基巡逻的继续巡逻，老百姓到点几乎一家不缺继续燃放，虽然街上没有售卖烟花爆竹的地方

[rond @rond26]

最近推上的币圈话题看得有点生理不适了

- 诈捐女在诈捐前就三番五次作恶，依然获得币安的行业贡献奖 @binancezh
- 迪拜当街舌吻这种违反当地法规的事件居然被Bitget拿来营销 @Bitget_zh

币圈的名声会更差，而你们功不可没。
@heyibinance @cz_binance @GracyBitget @xiejiayinBitget

[rond @rond26]

有才啊，以这场论战的参与人数之众，币安运作得当会有不错的跨界流量，公告标题我都想好了《受中文技术圈kol启发，币安广场支持Markdown输入》，《微信不做的我币安来做》。
登味十足的冯大辉老师如果顺着味喷过来，效果堪比Star喷 #币安人生 。

@heyibinance @jason_chen998

[Vern @vern33]

建议币安广场能够支持 Markdown 输入
@heyibinance @yingbinance

参考近期 宝玉 vs 前丁香园 CTO 冯大辉的「Markdown 论战」， Markdown并不小众，建议广场跟进，提升创作者效率！

这场论战颇有十年前微博掐架的风范，Grok总结如下:
https://t.co/oVPr8UdIQS

#币安广场 #Markdown #产品经验为零

[rond @rond26]

喜欢这期游记

另外X博士的BGM配上玉米地画面，让我想起星际穿越

https://t.co/vsdCdI61dN

[rond @rond26]

活久见，徐明星居然阴阳别人开赌场

[Star_OKX @star_okx]

去澳门或者拉斯维加斯百家乐牌桌上，一脚天堂，一脚地狱，把把都有财富效应。
This is not the crypto industry.

[rond @rond26]

每次从浙江山里回来，都得感慨：这是真的藏富于民

[rond @rond26]

在山里躺着慢慢听
https://t.co/79pWOH7l7R

[rond @rond26]

@VitalikButerin EF is the only big whale dumping $ETH like no tomorrow. What's the cyberpunk standard here?

[GitHubDaily @GitHub_Daily]

在 GitHub 上发现一份颇为全面的自托管服务列表：Deploy your own SaaS，帮助我们快速寻找到可平替付费产品的服务。

涵盖了音乐流媒体服务、照片托管、电子书管理器、云存储、笔记、密码管理、RSS 阅读器等等。

GitHub：https://t.co/9AgCHSD7H3

每个类别都精心筛选了多个优质开源项目，并提供详细的部署教程链接。

同时按功能分类整理，方便我们快速找到所需要的服务，感兴趣的同学可以收藏一下。

[rond @rond26]

@qinbafrank 能长期拿住核心资产的人，认知和视野很重要，其次是运气

[rond @rond26]

今天这个前端项目是两年前做过的，当��从选型到填充内容前后花了一���时间，用了chatgpt但是大部分只是对话。如今需要改架构改部署，用CodeX一天就干完了，其中一半时间在调教CodeX，因为刚开始用还不太习惯，中间遇到cloud模式先是很卡后来干脆一直报错用不了，大部分活都是local模式完成的 #CodeX

[rond @rond26]

CodeX的cloud模式实在太卡了 #CodeX #OpenAI

[rond @rond26]

没想到还有能让反贼和粉红们同时反对的政策 #k签证