💔 British Missionaries tortured Nagas to convert.
Then In 1964, Nehru barred Hindu sadhus from entering Nagaland “to protect culture” but freely allowed Christian missionaries.
Result today: Nagaland is 88% Christian, Hindus just 8.7%.
https://t.co/7rPNjFDmUs
Oswal Pumps Limited IPO
Final Verdict
Risk Takers Can Evaluate For Medium Term
Highlights of the Issue :
Date : 13-17 June
Price Band : 584-614
Size : 1,387 Crore
Fresh - 890 Crore
OFS - 497 Crore
*Promoters have sold another 308 Cr via Secondary Sale
M.cap : 6,998 Crore
Objects Of The Issue :
▪︎ Repayment Of Debt - 311 Cr
▪︎ Funding CapEx towards Setting up Aluminum Frame Facility, 1.5 GW Solar Module Facility and 1.5 GW EVA Encapsulant Facility - 273 Cr
▪︎ Funding CapEx for Purchase of New Machinery, Automation, Modernization - 90 Cr
▪︎ GCP - 216 Cr
Key Pointers :
▪︎ Oswal Pumps is India's Fastest Growing vertically integrated Solar Pump Manufacturer
▪︎ Oswal Manufactures Solar
Powered and Grid-connected Submersible and Monoblock
pumps, Electric Motors comprising Induction and Submersible Motors as well as solar modules, under the ‘Oswal’ Brand and now foraging into Solar EPC Segment
▪︎ The Company Has done backward integration which includes Plastic Moulding, Submersible Wires, Aluminum Die Casting, Thrust Bearing,
Stamping, Investment Casting, Solar Modules, Etc.
▪︎ The Company Intends to Deleverage its Balance sheet by a large margins and increasing Capacities and backward integrating into Solar Modules, Aluminum Frames and EVA Encapsulant
▪︎ Oswal Pumps is a direct Beneficiary of Government's PM Kusum Yojana (87.3% Revenue from this scheme)
Financials and Projections :
FY23
Revenue : 387 Cr
PAT : 34.2 Cr
FY24
Revenue : 761.2 Cr
PAT : 97.7 Cr
9M FY25
Revenue : 1067.3 Cr
PAT : 216.7 Cr
FY25 TTM
Revenue : 1,415 Cr
PAT : 285 Cr
FY26E
Revenue : 1,950 Cr
PAT : 410 Cr
Valuing Oswal Pumps at 20× FY26E PAT, Fair Value Comes At 718, Implying An Upside Of 17%
Key Concerns :
– Overdependance on Government Schemes (PM Kusum Yojana - 87% Revenue)
– The Scheme is getting ended to 31st March 2026
– It is very likely that the scheme will be extended/Reformed/Rebranded
– The Cash Flows aren't giving a comfort and diversification in Solar modules and EPC looks unnecessary
I myself cannot value a business with a rich Multiple which has such a large dependancy on a specific scheme, Yes it is likely to get extended but not at all interested to invest in ifs/buts
The Payment Cycles are having some concerns in some specific states off late
Yes, the Demand is robust, FY26 will be very healthy and lot of scope in Solar Pump Installation
But not sure will Markets give it a better multiple or look for more clarity in future
It's even similar for its listed peer, the Market is lesser interested to discount future but want to value based on short term developments and results
In Future Markets might Fetch better Multiple For Oswal after getting better clarity but atleast at this point I am not comfortable to give it
The Strong Government Push, Capacity Expansion, Backward and Vertical Integration and Inhouse Modules are key Positives
There are less than 10% chances where Government Tinkers the scheme but yes, It's Open and not completely shut
I Personally Feel That such companies should come at attractive Multiples (25-26× FY25 is not at all cheap)
Shakti Pumps, it's exact and larger peer with Comparatively lower Overdependance and with a track record as a Listed Company is available at almost similar Multiple
Non Risk Takers Can Avoid this IPO
This Whole Analysis Is Just A Personal View,
Only For Educational Purposes
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