Sababa

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@b123_tom @Arg0nic @yuanyi_z Additionally, the value Argentina places on the Malvinas is substantially higher than the value that the Uk places on them.

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@b123_tom @Arg0nic @yuanyi_z <gestures vaguely at four decades of Argentine politics and economic history>

<gestures vaguely at the collapsing post-WWII order>

<gestures vaguely at the current state of British politics, foreign relations, the economy and military readiness>

[Sababa @rubusursinus]

@lunasceiling @CrimsonBomb20 @yuanyi_z Also where is “there”? For deterrence you would have to harden multiple “theres”

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@lunasceiling @CrimsonBomb20 @yuanyi_z The imagined scenario lacks strategic sense: it assumes a squadron all in one place, with nothing else in play at the same time. And why wouldn’t Argentina acquire BVR missiles?

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@b123_tom @Arg0nic @yuanyi_z The Malvinas are very important to Argentinians. When it comes to making sacrifices and allocating resources, there will be a limit to what the UK is willing to pay. Argentina simply needs to find that limit.

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@CheeseQuavers @yuanyi_z Hence my phrasing. But he demonstrated a successful economic model and if the next government maintains stability, Argentina will have changed.

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@CrimsonBomb20 @yuanyi_z And how many countries might be interested in signing R&D contracts to test their systems?

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@CrimsonBomb20 @yuanyi_z Hypothetically, how much money would it cost the British government if Argentina, just for shits and giggles, demonstrated strong electronic-warfare capabilities that could counter it? No attack, no hostilities, just… oops! and a social media post.

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@CheeseQuavers @yuanyi_z Assuming Javier Milei’s reform trajectory continues and becomes entrenched, regardless of electoral outcomes, and sovereignty over the Malvinas genuinely becomes a national priority that serves as a unifying and motivating force, Argentina has the potential to boom.

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@hugoagogo_ @NadsDogs @yuanyi_z Why on earth would it make strategic sense to fly the plane all the way to Port Stanley?

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@imvestnight @HardPower_ Treating the residents of the Islands as potential citizens and providing services for them until the boomers that remember the war pass away and the dysfunction in the UK makes reunification with Argentina the only obvious choice.

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@Arg0nic @yuanyi_z Again, why would Argentina give you the opportunity? Simply keep stacking capabilities and force you to pay to counter them.

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@CrimsonBomb20 @yuanyi_z In a dog fight? Ok. But why would that be the intelligent use of 6 f-16s? And why would they stick around after they finished whatever skullduggery they were doing?

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@NadsDogs @yuanyi_z They announced a new base, and again the question isnt what Argentina will do.
The question is how much will it cost the UK to counter all the things they could do?

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@TheSeditionists @yuanyi_z And how much money is Mainland China bleeding them in security costs and is this sustainable?

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@CheeseQuavers @yuanyi_z They have massive mineral and oil wealth. If they care to, they can have money.

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@1_JayJay_20 @andrew_lilico And you think there aren’t Israelis living there? You imagine the rights of local populations to be inviolable, then simply choose which populations count. And why does the Falklanders’ preference impose an unlimited obligation on 70 million Britons to defend it?

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@CheeseQuavers @yuanyi_z The nice thing about credible threats are the longer Argentina does nothing and continues the military buildup, the bigger the threat grows and therefore the more expensive defence of the Falklands costs.

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@UnionJacked__ And then the US would destroy you for interfering in the Americas.