Ruslan Bes

Life, Universe and everything

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@Noahpinion Out recent reports is that 10% of captured occupied forces are not Russian. And the geography of captives is pretty wide.

And not every govt want to admit that their soldiers fight for Russians so here you are

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@thesupermannx So, who is Satoshi?

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@SwissMFA @ISEUConcerned do you have a Swiss branch?

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@bayraktar_1love Where's the Stinger when you need one :)

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@Tatarigami_UA They have two options left to fix the budget: 1) extract even more money from the welfare fund 2) print money.

Probably they will do both because they need to save the banks. WB's debt will be "forgiven" by printing money.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@LauraLoomer The other participants are not inspired by his speech at all.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@durov Did you at least get an RPG?

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA Doubt that, but I'm pretty sure there are lots of oligarchs who are looking to buy this business once it goes bankrupt

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@levelsio @ostap you'll like this

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@SpaghettiKozak AI as in Absolute Idiocy?

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@HenriPiquet2 @christogrozev @elonmusk Except the US has no problems openly admitting that they help Ukraine while China is too shy to do it.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

The Art Of The Defeat

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@YigalLevin I think their top-generals and top-officials share the delusion of endless russian ressources. If they are endless it doesn't matter how much you lose.

No one dare to contradict it so they all eventually started to blindly believe it.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

There are lies, damned lies, statistics and AI slop.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@joni_askola You are missing important context. In Hungary Orban was 20 years in power and during this time went from a moderately liberal politic to a cleptocrat-populist.

Hungarians were so fed up with him that they would vote for anyone except him.

MAGA doesn't have 20 years of ruling

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

This is why you need to always check the rules.

There are quite a lot of polymarkets that can be manipulated. Especially those "will X happen on day Y?".

In this case the damage was quite low and this is rather a teachable moment.

[@aaronjmars @aaronjmars]

holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer

- polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded

- the guy bought the long-shot outcome (like "22°C" when everyone expected 18°C) for pennies, since nobody thought it'd hit

- then he walked up to the probe and briefly heated the air around it with a portable heat source, spiking the reading just long enough to register as the daily max

- temperature snapped back to normal in minutes, the market resolved in his favor, and he cashed out - twice, on April 6 and April 15, before Météo France caught on and filed charges

hyperstitions.

[Metaculus @metaculus]

Today, with @RenPhilanthropy and @SchultzFamilyFd, we launched the Labor Automation Forecasting Hub: a live tracker of expert and crowd-sourced predictions on AI's impact on the US labor market through 2035.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@RyanSAdams What's wrong with installing a model on your own hardware?

It won't be as powerful as Claude, but good enough for many cases, and much cheaper.

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@MichaelAArouet Easier trans-border payment.

But that's a strange comparison. Hungary didn't adopt Euro too and its economy is exremely shitty too. Finalnd did adopt Euro and doing well.

Euro isn't the decisive factor

[Ruslan Bes @ruslanbes]

@Polymarket I continue to think that unfollowing this acount was a good idea. Now I'm thinking to start demoting your posts in my feed.

Guys, you have to change whoever manages this account. Seriously