Chief Market Strategist at @CarsonGroupLLC
🔎 for the perfect BBQ
Host to the Facts vs Feelings podcast
CNBC Contributor
Portfolio Manager to +$8B in AUM
Did you know that YTD 2026 S&P 500 earnings estimates are up 15.9% and 2027 is up 13.5%?
This is pretty amazing, as the average year usually sees this trend lower as the year progresses.
This time is different.
Total balance of delinquencies decreased for the second quarter in a row. We keep hearing how bad things are, but this is more data that says it might not be true.
via @NYFedResearch Q2 Household Debt and Credit report
Less than 2% of all podcasts get to 200 episodes. Well, Facts vs Feelings just did 🥳
We were honored to be joined by @ArthurHoganIII for a very special milestone.
Links below 👇
🇺🇸 S&P 500
When the S&P 500 explodes higher by more than 10% in a single month, as it did in April, bulls get excited for a reason. Since 1950, the market has been higher a year later 85% of the time, with a median gain of 17.6%
👉 https://t.co/yIk7SZYp6p
h/t @RyanDetrick $spx
The economy is becoming less k-shaped.
According to Bank of America, both spending and wage growth across the whole range of household incomes, are compressing
Lower-income household consumption growing faster. Upper income decelerating.
Did you know that YTD 2026 S&P 500 earnings estimates are up 15.9% and 2027 is up 13.5%?
This is pretty amazing, as the average year usually sees this trend lower as the year progresses.
This time is different.
Earlier this year, there was a 9% mild correction and many long-term bulls turned bearish in late March.
We noted then that Staples underperforming was a clue the world wasn't ending.
This is a very bullish chart, more new lows relative to S&P 500.
The message of the market is you want this the lag.
Nice one from @AlfCharts