Ryan Esplin

Energy economist. Views are my own.

[Jacob Mays @jacob_mays]

Our new study led by @fnbillimoria on "Hedging and tail risk in electricity markets" is now out in Energy Economics. 50-day share link: https://t.co/6euBTw4OOG

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@Rainmaker1973 This would have been handy @MutabaziSr

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@dylanjmcconnell 2% != superprofits...

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@beckyquick83 @JCribbEcon @TheIFS The >50% at ~45k is crazy.

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@BevansAdvocate What software do you recommend for doing this?

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@emollick Might be of interest @_paulcrosby

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@EnergyWrapAU The Productivity Commission published a report recently talking about how inefficient it is to have all these policies which have implied carbon prices of 50 - 10k+ per tonne

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@EnergyWrapAU I think a big subset of those groups have been calling for an economy wide carbon price! Certainly has been my experience amongst people working in energy policy, market bodies, industry and academia, etc. Howard took an ETS to the 2007 election

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@QuixoticQuant To be clear, I think we *need* to build the new transmission along with a lot of VRE, storage and peaking gas. But it's going to cost more than people think.

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@dylanjmcconnell @alison_reeve 😍

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@dylanjmcconnell @alison_reeve why isn't anyone reporting the real price (in Dec 1998 terms)?

[Australian Energy Council @energycouncilau]

Reliability Standard: the existing simple USE output form approach remains the best approach for the future power system, just as it is in the current power system: https://t.co/MMceY0MftN

[Aidan Morrison @QuixoticQuant]

I'm proud of my first video. But it's long, and deserves a 🧵to explain why it's worth an hour of your time.

It's about the most audacious bait-and-switch sales ploy attempted in modern military history. Which almost worked... 1/
https://t.co/M1lKGpNPh5

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@p_hannam Well, it is arguably a "step change" @dylanjmcconnell

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@DavidOsmond8 Good point about QLD wind, I think you might be right and its the other way around i.e. the model might improve over time as less correlated resources are built. In that case, last week's result is particularly bad!

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@BurkeKB @Energex No problem, I agree with the broader point that there is a lot of potential for further network tariff reform!

[Ryan Esplin @ryanesplin]

@BurkeKB @Energex You might be on the wrong (legacy) network tariff because the off-peak TOU window is already 9am-4pm. Unless you're talking about CL?